2019 NFL Offseason - Page 107 - Sporting Events and Fantasy Sports

What if I told you that you could win almost 1/2 a game more a year just by being smarter about 4th down?

And if you ever got questioned you could pull out statistical evidence showing why you did it.

Amazing that this is still an issue.

Statistical evidence isn't GUTS

Joking aside, I wouldn't be surprised the degree to which even coaches who are well-versed in the numbers make their decisions in the heat of the moment based on feel. Which can sometimes just be an estimate of soft data (i.e. if your specific situation is better or worse for converting than the average in this situation)-- but what you really want to avoid are the super-conservative approaches of just never going for it until it's wildly desperate.

Quote

06-25-2019 , 09:38 PM

#2652

HUstylez

RIP HUNL Champ

Join Date: May 2009 Posts: 13,806

Quote:

Originally Posted by feel wrath

Bengals #11 pick out for the season

Yea because why wouldn’t he be

Quote

06-26-2019 , 05:32 AM

#2653

cneuy3

veteran

Join Date: Apr 2006 Posts: 2,330

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dominic

The statistical evidence also probably doesn't account for additional EV gained on earlier downs (1-3) by having a more aggressive fourth down approach. It opens up the playbook more on earlier downs if the intention is to use the extra down in many of these statistically proven "go for it" type 4th down spots.

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06-26-2019 , 07:33 PM

#2654

feel wrath

The Situation

Join Date: Nov 2010 Posts: 29,876

https://deadspin.com/kansas-city-rad...o-c-1835825649

Kansas City ladies and gents...

Quote

06-27-2019 , 01:57 AM

#2655

suzzer99

Save the Cheerleader, Save the World

Join Date: Nov 2005 Posts: 99,984

Everyone in KC hates Kietzmann. He used to be a boring sportscaster from when I last lived there in the mid-90s. Then he became basically the local radio version of Skip Bayless. People only listen to him because they hate him.

Just **** right off dragging an entire city because of this idiot.

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06-27-2019 , 08:17 AM

#2656

sixfour

should be called sevenfour

Join Date: Dec 2005 Posts: 74,774

Got Raiders/Bears London ticket, just about

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06-27-2019 , 09:32 AM

#2657

dkgojackets

DKGOAT

Join Date: May 2006 Posts: 86,123

was up before 5 am and did not get tickets. needed 4. hopefully stubhub prices drop a bit.

Quote

06-27-2019 , 02:04 PM

#2658

sixfour

should be called sevenfour

Join Date: Dec 2005 Posts: 74,774

Yeah, I was in a queue on ticketmaster for about half an hour, then it crashed and seemingly nothing was there, but refreshed a few times and was able to get the one I needed. Prices'll probably drop nearer the time for sure

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06-29-2019 , 10:49 AM

#2659

DisGunBGud

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2013 Posts: 23,708

I assume when athletes retire they lose weight but damn is Gronk on a serious nose beer diet?

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06-29-2019 , 02:58 PM

#2660

bacalaopeace

old hand

Join Date: Jul 2018 Posts: 1,881

Ladies don't like all that bulk anyway.

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06-29-2019 , 05:02 PM

#2661

Dominic

Tripod

Join Date: Jun 2004 Posts: 74,273

that's what happens when you go off the HGH

Quote

06-29-2019 , 07:39 PM

#2662

dkgojackets

DKGOAT

Join Date: May 2006 Posts: 86,123

everyone drops a ton of weight after retiring since you don't eat like 6000 calories a day when you don't have to

Quote

06-29-2019 , 09:35 PM

#2663

GoDeViLs

veteran

Join Date: Dec 2010 Posts: 3,464

although that's true, it looks like he lost 80+ lbs in 5 mo. Thats not really a stopped working out result, on the surface it looks pretty extreme

Quote

06-29-2019 , 10:11 PM

#2664

MrSawyer

old hand

Join Date: Oct 2012 Posts: 1,569

Quote:

Originally Posted by GoDeViLs

although that's true, it looks like he lost 80+ lbs in 5 mo. Thats not really a stopped working out result, on the surface it looks pretty extreme

80 seems like a big reach. Prob closer to 40-45.

Either way, he could easily put it back on in 3-4 months. If he starts working out in September he should be good by December.

Quote

06-30-2019 , 03:47 AM

#2665

suzzer99

Save the Cheerleader, Save the World

Join Date: Nov 2005 Posts: 99,984

Pretty glad to see concentration camp Gronk probably won't be unretiring midseason to ruin my life.

Quote

06-30-2019 , 04:12 AM

#2666

bacalaopeace

old hand

Join Date: Jul 2018 Posts: 1,881

Quote:

Originally Posted by dkgojackets

everyone drops a ton of weight after retiring since you don't eat like 6000 calories a day when you don't have to

This is what going off HGH and eating less after retirement looks like.

Quote

06-30-2019 , 04:22 AM

#2667

suzzer99

Save the Cheerleader, Save the World

Join Date: Nov 2005 Posts: 99,984

Yeah I went off HGH and didn't get skinny. I just got blobby. But then again I'm not any kind of athlete like Gronk.

Maybe he's trying for movie roles and has become anorexic?

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06-30-2019 , 07:59 AM

#2668

lol_at_you

grinder

Join Date: Nov 2013 Posts: 554

Quote:

Originally Posted by suzzer99

Pretty glad to see concentration camp Gronk probably won't be unretiring midseason to ruin my life.

Instead it will be some mystery Patriot pulled off the scrap heap.

Quote

06-30-2019 , 01:30 PM

#2669

PoseidonCubed

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 15,011

Thought Gronk would have been on a beer only diet since the SB. So yeah...surprised at the new look.

Quote

07-03-2019 , 05:32 PM

#2670

feel wrath

The Situation

Join Date: Nov 2010 Posts: 29,876

somehow Adrian Peterson needed to borrow $4m at 15% interest in 2015 and then managed to default the first payment to move to the VIG so 23%

the mind boggles

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07-04-2019 , 01:02 PM

#2671

Tom Ames

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 45,797

He should take a switch to those loan sharks.

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07-04-2019 , 03:21 PM

#2672

PoseidonCubed

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 15,011

Quote:

Originally Posted by feel wrath

somehow Adrian Peterson needed to borrow $4m at 15% interest in 2015 and then managed to default the first payment to move to the VIG so 23%

the mind boggles

When an interviewer asked him how many kids he had a few years ago, he replied with: "I know the truth, and I’m comfortable with that knowledge.” Maybe that's part of the money problem.

AP is not smart, that's for sure.

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07-04-2019 , 06:45 PM

#2673

00cooler00

old hand

Join Date: Oct 2010 Posts: 1,810

Dolphins DT Kendrick Norton lost his arm in a car accident last night. Sounds likes going to survive but damn that is awful.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.esp...3fplatform=amp