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NFL QB Carousel 2018 Free Agency/Draft Guesstimania - entries due February 4, 2018 NFL QB Carousel 2018 Free Agency/Draft Guesstimania - entries due February 4, 2018

01-09-2018 , 12:59 PM


Heading into the 2018 NFL off-season, a # of teams are looking for QBs, & a # of QBs are looking for jobs. I am going to ask questions regarding where you think QBs will end up, & how much you think they will get paid (& in one case, what you think the trade compensation would be).

The game will be scored as follows:

* For pick a team questions, you will get 1 point for every 3 people who enter, rounded to the nearest whole #. So if 20 people enter, & a QB goes to the team you think he will, you get 7 points.

* For contract/trade compensation/draft questions, you will be judged by how far you are from the correct answer in comparison to other people. In the hypothetical where 20 people enter, if you are the closest, you get 20 points. If you are the furthest you get 1 point.

I have given some thought as the best way to judge contracts because it's going to be difficult to make everyone predict all of years/total dollars/guaranteed dollars & then weigh the contracts off 3 separate criteria.

So my choice is going to be avg per year because it's the easiest to think about, even if it isn't necessarily the most relevant weigh to gauge a contract.

* The winner is whoever has the most points at the end.

Enter by PMing me a list of responses prior to Super Bowl kickoff.

If you have any questions, please ask.

Otherwise, here we go:

1) What team will Kirk Cousins play for in 2018?
2) What will the average salary be on Kirk Cousins' next contract?
3) What will the average salary be on Jimmy Garoppolo's next contract?
4) What will the average salary be on Drew Brees' next contract?
5) What team will Alex Smith play for in 2018?
6) What trade compensation will the Chiefs get for him? (give this answer in terms of a draft pick # (for example if you think the Chiefs will get the equivalent of the 1st pick in the draft for him answer "1" & if you think they'll get the equivalent of a 7th rounder put like "230"), I will convert all back & forth compensation using the Chase Stuart draft value chart. If you don't think he will be traded & that the Chiefs will keep him, say "none". If you say none you will either get max points if correct, or min points if wrong).
7) Will Colin Kaepernick sign with an NFL team? (question only worth max of 3 points)
8) What team will Case Keenum play for in 2018?
9) What will the average salary be on Case Keenum's next contract?
10) What team will Sam Bradford play for in 2018?
11) What will the average salary be on Sam Bradford's next contract?
12) What team will Teddy Bridgewater play for in 2018?
13) What will the average salary be on Teddy Bridgewater's next contract?
14) What team will Tyrod Taylor play for in 2018?
15) Will Jay Cutler retire again prior to 2018? (question only worth max of 3 points)
16) What team will draft Josh Allen?
17) What tam will draft Sam Darnold?
18) What team will draft Lamar Jackson?
19) What team will draft Baker Mayfield?
20) What team will draft Josh Rosen?
21) What team will draft Mason Rudolph?
22) What order will Allen/Darnold/Jackson/Mayfield/Rosen/Rudolph be drafted in? (this will be scored as a guesttimania based on the # of positions away from being perfectly correct you are)

Cliff's: PM me a list of what you think will happen, I'll worry about the scoring.
NFL QB Carousel 2018 Free Agency/Draft Guesstimania - entries due February 4, 2018 Quote
01-09-2018 , 01:45 PM
Quote:
22) What order will Allen/Darnold/Jackson/Mayfield/Rosen/Rudolph be drafted in? (this will be scored as a guesttimania based on the # of positions away from being perfectly correct you are)
Can you explain this? What do you mean by positions away if you're guessing the order?
NFL QB Carousel 2018 Free Agency/Draft Guesstimania - entries due February 4, 2018 Quote
01-09-2018 , 01:53 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Perhaps Shimmy
Can you explain this? What do you mean by positions away if you're guessing the order?
Well, if you pick someone to be the 2nd of the 6 QBs taken, & they are actually the 6th QB taken, you're 4 positions away. I would add up the # of total positions off on all 6 QBs, & that would be your score for how off you are. If you get them all right, you would be 0 off, & get a maximum score.

So if you picked:

A
B
C
D
E
F

& it was actually:

F
E
D
C
B
A

You would get
A = 5
B = 3
C = 1
D = 1
E = 3
F = 5

For a total of 18. The lower the score the better.
NFL QB Carousel 2018 Free Agency/Draft Guesstimania - entries due February 4, 2018 Quote
01-09-2018 , 04:20 PM
Will submit eventually, cool activity.
NFL QB Carousel 2018 Free Agency/Draft Guesstimania - entries due February 4, 2018 Quote
01-16-2018 , 04:22 PM
Entries are pouring trickling in.
NFL QB Carousel 2018 Free Agency/Draft Guesstimania - entries due February 4, 2018 Quote
01-19-2018 , 01:19 PM
I'll probably play. Posting as a reminder.
NFL QB Carousel 2018 Free Agency/Draft Guesstimania - entries due February 4, 2018 Quote
01-22-2018 , 02:51 PM
Bump.
NFL QB Carousel 2018 Free Agency/Draft Guesstimania - entries due February 4, 2018 Quote
01-23-2018 , 01:10 AM
I need to subscribe to this so I remember to play.
NFL QB Carousel 2018 Free Agency/Draft Guesstimania - entries due February 4, 2018 Quote
01-23-2018 , 01:19 AM
I'll enter, only question is how many zeroes I have for Kirk's salary.

Last edited by bazooka87; 01-23-2018 at 01:20 AM. Reason: and no, the first number won't be 0 smartypants
NFL QB Carousel 2018 Free Agency/Draft Guesstimania - entries due February 4, 2018 Quote
01-23-2018 , 01:41 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by bazooka87
I'll enter, only question is how many zeroes I have for Kirk's salary.
Sounds like an overpay.
NFL QB Carousel 2018 Free Agency/Draft Guesstimania - entries due February 4, 2018 Quote
01-25-2018 , 04:41 PM
About 10 days left to get in
NFL QB Carousel 2018 Free Agency/Draft Guesstimania - entries due February 4, 2018 Quote
01-26-2018 , 08:50 AM
inning right now, possibly very very terribly.

Last edited by toedder; 01-26-2018 at 09:04 AM. Reason: yup, very uneducated guesses there
NFL QB Carousel 2018 Free Agency/Draft Guesstimania - entries due February 4, 2018 Quote
01-26-2018 , 11:36 AM
In. Thanks for running this.
NFL QB Carousel 2018 Free Agency/Draft Guesstimania - entries due February 4, 2018 Quote
01-27-2018 , 10:37 PM
have PMd my answers
NFL QB Carousel 2018 Free Agency/Draft Guesstimania - entries due February 4, 2018 Quote
01-28-2018 , 12:41 AM
just seen Bucky Brooks' mock and seen that he and I disagree on the destinations of all of our QBs. This is a good thing for my chances of hitting on at least a couple of them
NFL QB Carousel 2018 Free Agency/Draft Guesstimania - entries due February 4, 2018 Quote
01-29-2018 , 04:21 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SuperUberBob
In. Thanks for running this.
No problem. Hopefully enough people enter for it to be lots of fun

6-day bump.
NFL QB Carousel 2018 Free Agency/Draft Guesstimania - entries due February 4, 2018 Quote
01-29-2018 , 04:54 PM
In with random ass guesses and zero research

Last edited by Dudd; 01-29-2018 at 04:55 PM. Reason: ok, a little bit of research
NFL QB Carousel 2018 Free Agency/Draft Guesstimania - entries due February 4, 2018 Quote
01-29-2018 , 05:46 PM
Will in before the Super Bowl
NFL QB Carousel 2018 Free Agency/Draft Guesstimania - entries due February 4, 2018 Quote
01-29-2018 , 07:02 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JMurder3
Well, if you pick someone to be the 2nd of the 6 QBs taken, & they are actually the 6th QB taken, you're 4 positions away. I would add up the # of total positions off on all 6 QBs, & that would be your score for how off you are. If you get them all right, you would be 0 off, & get a maximum score.

So if you picked:

A
B
C
D
E
F

& it was actually:

F
E
D
C
B
A

You would get
A = 5
B = 3
C = 1
D = 1
E = 3
F = 5

For a total of 18. The lower the score the better.
Quote:
Originally Posted by JMurder3

* The winner is whoever has the most points at the end.

Enter by PMing me a list of responses prior to Super Bowl kickoff.

If you have any questions, please ask.

Cliff's: PM me a list of what you think will happen, I'll worry about the scoring.
Am I missing something? The primary goal is to have the most points overall, but for the particular question regarding what order the named qb's are taken in the draft, it is ideally 'lowest' score is best. Whats the correct play?
NFL QB Carousel 2018 Free Agency/Draft Guesstimania - entries due February 4, 2018 Quote
01-29-2018 , 07:06 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by bigben241
Am I missing something? The primary goal is to have the most points overall, but for the particular question regarding what order the named qb's are taken in the draft, it is ideally 'lowest' score is best. Whats the correct play?
It's a bit complicated I guess.

If you get all 6 right on that question, you get maximum points. So if you're the only person to get out all correct, & 20 people are correct, I would compute you as being 0 off, which is worth 20 points.
NFL QB Carousel 2018 Free Agency/Draft Guesstimania - entries due February 4, 2018 Quote
01-30-2018 , 01:11 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JMurder3
It's a bit complicated I guess.

If you get all 6 right on that question, you get maximum points. So if you're the only person to get out all correct, & 20 people are correct, I would compute you as being 0 off, which is worth 20 points.
Thank you, kind soul.
NFL QB Carousel 2018 Free Agency/Draft Guesstimania - entries due February 4, 2018 Quote
01-30-2018 , 02:05 PM
I see the Chiefs expect to get a 2nd and a conditional 4th for Smiff.

Ahahahaha at any team that gives up those picks for him.

It’ll be the Bills.
NFL QB Carousel 2018 Free Agency/Draft Guesstimania - entries due February 4, 2018 Quote
01-30-2018 , 02:15 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dominic
I see the Chiefs expect to get a 2nd and a conditional 4th for Smiff.

Ahahahaha at any team that gives up those picks for him.

It’ll be the Bills.
Take the rumors to the off-season thread. This is a picks game thread haha.

You should totally play while you're here tho.
NFL QB Carousel 2018 Free Agency/Draft Guesstimania - entries due February 4, 2018 Quote
01-30-2018 , 02:30 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dominic
I see the Chiefs expect to get a 2nd and a conditional 4th for Smiff.

Ahahahaha at any team that gives up those picks for him.

It’ll be the Bills.
Jacksonville is probably the best team in the AFC with him.
NFL QB Carousel 2018 Free Agency/Draft Guesstimania - entries due February 4, 2018 Quote
01-30-2018 , 10:55 PM
So about that deadline...
NFL QB Carousel 2018 Free Agency/Draft Guesstimania - entries due February 4, 2018 Quote

      
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