Quote:
Originally Posted by BDHarrison
I'd prefer looking at why they are winning and not just that they are winning. That gives you a better idea of if they are running good in terms of variance. They could be like Utah was last season, except their hot streak comes at the beginning of the season and not the end.
The stat that jumps out the most to me after a cursory glance is that they were the worst team in opponent 3P% last season and the best team this season. A change in defensive scheme can account for some of that, but it is possible that they were unlucky last season and lucky this season and they can be expected to regress in that area as the season progresses.
I remember when Milwaukee moved from dead last to top five in defensive rating when Jason Kidd took over as head coach, then people figured his defense out and the team became average at best. So, it's possible that whatever they are doing different is going matter less beyond this season. It also may not matter as much in the playoffs if more time studying film can allow an opposing team to figure out some weaknesses.
Yeah opponent 3pt percentage has been running hot, but it's been about has hot as their own 3 point percentages have been running cold. The weird part is neither are really regressing or progressing. Denver allows a ton of corner 3's, but they have been elite this year at getting the ball to end up in poor shooters' hands in that spot.
I think they are running equally hot defensively as they are cold on offense atm.