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Need Help - Expect win vs Actual win on single table SNG's Need Help - Expect win vs Actual win on single table SNG's

10-05-2017 , 01:35 AM
Can anyone point me in a direction on how to measure my expected win vs my actual win on all in hands on single table SNG's? I don't have a lot of experience in these softwares but I'll pay anything reasonable to figure this out.
Need Help - Expect win vs Actual win on single table SNG's Quote
10-05-2017 , 11:20 AM
Let's say for the sake of simplicity we´re playing HU and each player has $1,000 in chips and the next hand went all in building a $2,000 pot. You have 80% equity vs villains hole cards but end up losing the hand because he suckout on you.
Your actual win on that hand was -$2,000 but you're expected win was +$1,600 ($2,000 that was in the pot x your equity in the hand 80%).
I dont know what tracking software you´re using but generally all of them calculate those stats based at the time the chips went in so for instace, you could´ve have the nuts preflop, flop and on the turn but if the villain rivered you his one outter and you guys went all in on the river the equity you gained on previous streets is irrelevant.
Hope that clarifies things for you, cheers.
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10-05-2017 , 10:47 PM
That's exactly what I'm looking for, from the point one side is all in. Can you give me a specific measure / software. Trial or cheap would be best but I'd be willing to pay. I've played with pokertracker before but didn't have the time to get into it. This is really the one thing I want to know at the moment.
Need Help - Expect win vs Actual win on single table SNG's Quote
10-06-2017 , 11:59 PM
Anyone???
Need Help - Expect win vs Actual win on single table SNG's Quote
10-07-2017 , 06:43 AM
Well, im actually a long time PT4 user and one of the most active members of the PT4 forum and also an official PT4 Premium Add-on Developer and offer PT4 coaching/mentoring alongside with custom stat building and HUD/Popups Profiles creation, if you´re interested we can talk over Skype about my services.
Need Help - Expect win vs Actual win on single table SNG's Quote
10-07-2017 , 06:50 PM
Well, you do have bunch of stats in PokerTracker, I guess HM2 has those too but I dont use it, that shows expected value, in chips, money, BB's and so on. Is that what you mean?
Need Help - Expect win vs Actual win on single table SNG's Quote
10-09-2017 , 01:53 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by xPISCIVOROUSx
Well, im actually a long time PT4 user and one of the most active members of the PT4 forum and also an official PT4 Premium Add-on Developer and offer PT4 coaching/mentoring alongside with custom stat building and HUD/Popups Profiles creation, if you´re interested we can talk over Skype about my services.
How about I'll give you $1 to tell me what stat i need. I'm not a lifer .... i don't need "coaching".
Need Help - Expect win vs Actual win on single table SNG's Quote
10-09-2017 , 02:01 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by boza000
Well, you do have bunch of stats in PokerTracker, I guess HM2 has those too but I dont use it, that shows expected value, in chips, money, BB's and so on. Is that what you mean?
I just want to know my expected value on all in hands vs actual value on all in hands. So if i'm all in a 1000 chip pot at and expected value of 80% and win I'm +200. If i lose that same hand I'm -800.

Or just a graph of 2 simple lines of my all in hands of expected win vs actual win of the same scenarios.
Need Help - Expect win vs Actual win on single table SNG's Quote
10-09-2017 , 08:17 AM
If you want chip EV then you need PT4 stat called All-In equity adjusted. There is also graph tab that can show you this. But I hope that you are aware of ICM and know that chips EV isn't measure of how well are you doing in STT's.
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