Player Descriptions:
Straddle UTG ($325) - Huge whale in the game. Raises pre-flop with a wide range, always raising his good hands and often raising complete garbage.
UTG + 1 (Covers all we are $950 effective) - Tight, even nitty player, but one who will call it all off with a one way hand. However, any raise pre-flop is absolutely AA, A2, or super strong A3 (i.e. A3KK, A3QQ, A3KQJds, etc).
Other players aren't really important - just know that they're really fishy and call absurdly light.
There's only one blind this hand. Straddle to $15 UTG is on, and UTG + 1 raises to $50. Folds to us and we call $50 in the CO. Fishy player in the blinds calls the $50. Straddle raises to $150 (this sizing is very probably not a strong hand, he's probably just bored). UTG calls, we call, player in the blinds calls.
Flop ~ $600
Ac6sTs
Blind checks, UTG shoves for $175, and tight player quickly calls so the pot is now $950 to us and we have $800 behind. Is this just a trivial shove? After the hand I intuitively thought shoving was a poor play, but looking at the amount in the pot and running an equity simulation against UTG + 1 giving him what I believe is a realistic range, and against UTG as a random hand, it seems unreasonable to think we wouldn't have the equity to make this +ev, and I don't think we have high enough visibility to just call.
Equity Sims:
1. Vs UTG+1 and UTG
Hand | Pot equity | Scoops | Wins Hi | Ties Hi | Wins Lo | Ties Lo |
---|
AA, A266, 3, 4, 5, ss:As), TT, 3, 4, 5, ss:As), 3, ss3, 4, 5, As)) | 42.72% | 112,147 | 283,041 | 23,093 | 109,973 | 65,360 |
Ah2hJs8s4c | 36.74% | 85,707 | 158,677 | 22,421 | 192,146 | 72,147 |
x | 20.54% | 45,056 | 130,946 | 9,616 | 59,341 | 28,627 |
2. Vs UTG + 1
Hand | Pot equity | Scoops | Wins Hi | Ties Hi | Wins Lo | Ties Lo |
---|
AA, A266, 3, 4, 5, ss:As), TT, 3, 4, 5, ss:As), 3, ss3, 4, 5, As)) | 51.96% | 150,653 | 353,032 | 29,408 | 127,719 | 65,346 |
Ah2hJs8s4c | 48.04% | 134,404 | 217,560 | 29,408 | 248,259 | 65,346 |
Edit: The unhappy faces are ": (" which symbolizes "All hands containing". For instance, All A2 hands containing a 6, 3, 4 5, or the Ace high flush draw. Sorry, I'm not sure how to change it.