Quote:
Originally Posted by PokerPlayingGamble
meh, it seems to me that our flush draw is going to be live here most of the time. We are against 15 cards, so it is 2:1 that the ace of clubs was folded or is in the stub / burn, and even if someone else in the hand has it they're not a lock to have a second club to go with it. so most of the time we are sitting pretty with the nut low draw and a strong high combo draw. I guess not having another wheel card is pretty unfortunate.
This logic is pretty faulty. The cards in people's hands are not random, but rather are selected. In this game, people play mostly hands that include an ace. I would expect should expect that in a 4-way pot, between 3 and 4 aces are spoken for, and the holder of the Ac is a big favorite to have another club (again, side cards are not random)