Quote:
Originally Posted by TheHaNgedMaN
Poker Stars, $3.16 Buy-in (300/600 blinds, 50 ante) No Limit Omaha H/L Tournament, 5 Players
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Holdem Manager - The Ultimate
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#10290252
Hero (SB): 6,195 (10.3 bb)
BB: 3,345 (5.6 bb)
MP: 9,544 (15.9 bb)
CO: 5,614 (9.4 bb)
BTN: 2,302 (3.8 bb)
Preflop: (250) Hero is SB with T
8
K
9
3 folds
??? is this always a ship?
No not normally but it depends on BB. You are risking ~50% of your stack should you be called. So lets outline the scenarios. I am assuming the stack sizes posted are pre blinds and antes which I think is how the HH works on Stars.
So hero has 5845. And villain has 2695. Pot is therefore 300+600+250= 1150 before any action.
1. You shove and pick up blinds and antes. Stack size is 5845+1150= 6995. You still sit second in chips.
2. You shove and split. Stack size is 5845+(1150/2)= 6420. You still sit second in chips.
3. You shove and are scooped. Stack size 5845-2695=3150. You sit 4th and are now fighting with BTN to make it to the money.
4. You fold. Stack size 5845. You still sit second in chips.
5. You shove and scoop. 5845+1150+2695= 9690. You are now pretty much =1st in chips.
To make a proper ICM decision you need to know how often he calls and what range of hands he calls with, which is beyond my capabilities. Maybe Buzz can extend this. If BB is very tight especially on bubble I will maybe consider a raise/shove. If BB is loose and calls a high % I fold.
I am not aware of an ICM calculator for 08 though. You do however, get an idea of the different scenarios possible with the above. In only one scenario do you vastly increase your equity in the tournament and that is in the least likely outcome-shoving and scooping. Therefore, I will mostly fold.
Last edited by streityboy; 08-16-2011 at 06:30 AM.