Set aces (Board A 4 5) in bubble
Join Date: Jun 2017
Posts: 46
Situation -MTT FT six players remaining- five prizes
the situation is:
Hero (22BB)
Villain (33BB)
CO (13BB)
BTN (11BB)
SB (9BB)
BB (8BB)
Hero raises 3 BBs with Ac Ah 4c 9s
Villain calls 4 BBs
every players folds
total pot 10 BBs
Flop Ad 5d 4h
Hero checks (18BB),
Villain all in (29BB), hero? perception of villain standard player (no stats).
Join Date: Sep 2004
Posts: 3,258
I believe you just need to fold.
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 94
I'd fold your likely calling for the chance to chop the pot
Join Date: May 2007
Posts: 20,909
Is this a no-limit O8 tourney? Odd.
Is checking the flop really standard here?
Join Date: Mar 2017
Posts: 94
Ouch tough spot. I agree with fold, especially on the bubble. But even in a cash game I think it's a fold.
chillrob NLO8 is pretty common on Stars at least. I think a check is standard because we have no low. We might be 33% to win half if we are against a made wheel.
We have to be up against a made low and a gutshot best case scenario. I suppose villain could be making an aggressive ICM play knowing it's the bubble and that you can't really call him but I think we would be leveling ourselves to call here.
We have three aces so what did he call with preflop? Has to be a 23 hand like 23KQ or he has the case ace and is making a move.
Join Date: May 2007
Posts: 20,909
If he had A2KK and you checked to him, wouldn't villain be betting here?
Join Date: Mar 2017
Posts: 94
A2KK we are 3:2 favorite unless he has a flush draw we are 3:2 dog. It's just not a great spot.
Against a random top 20% hand we are 50:50. Remember this is a tournament we are on the bubble.
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 11,569
Seems like a call in a cash game without any other read, but a pretty easy fold in this exact tournament spot.
