Quote:
Originally Posted by CUSO
I am not the best, but certainly better than average. Out of about 30 live session, i have lost $ 4 times. I fully expect to win every time but occasionaly it does not happen. I have pin pointed the issue. Usually when I try to maximize profits by capping a nut nut draw, that is when I tend to lose money. I can win a lot of money, but I can also lose a lot of money. That is where my flaw lies. It usually is when I am up money and I'm trying to maximize. If I could just be happy at a 10:20 game with a $500 profit, a 15-30 game with a $700 profit, or 30-60 game at $1,000 profit, I would do much better. But when I'm up I start to cap with nut nut draws and that tends to be my downfall.
Like an above poster said, you're thinking about your "downfall" all wrong and doing yourself a massive disservice. You want to play each hand as +EV as possible. Period. That means capping it with nut nut draws. Sure, you're welcoming variance to have a greater affect on your results, which could result in some losing sessions b/c you happened to have lost huge in a few key pots where you had great equity, but who cares if in the aggregate you're making more $.
Keep in mind that you also probably have a cognitive bias leading you to remember bitterly all the times you lost these hands while forgetting a lot of times you won w/ nut nut draw type monsters (b/c you expected to win- "nothing to see here" as far as your mind is concerned).
I'm curious what WR you've observed for yourself at each stake if you wouldn't mind sharing.
I'm following this thread w/ interest as someone who's played mixed on a limited basis for a few years but is starting to take it seriously as it's been more fun for me than my regular PLO. I've been playing in a good 10-20 WHK 15-30 game where I'm pretty sure +2.5BB/hr is possible for the highest WR player. That being said I'm skeptical that's possible in many other O8 games at that stake. For an average winning player, which is the actual question you asked, I'm just speculating but I would think +1 BB/hr seems about right for 8-16 through 15-30. I can't even begin to speculate on larger stakes because I have minimal experience in them as far as straight O8 games are concerned.