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04-30-2014 , 05:40 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by HighTillIDieT4L
True, 10K+ games is a proper sample, not 3K. And yea the data is mined but not cherry-picked.

Still, I think you guys need to increase your expectations. I'm far from happy with my stats. If I hadn't made any mistakes or had any tilting sessions, 15% would have been within reach. A truly great player would be 15-20% IMHO.
by playing 20 games per night off peak with no regs sitting, yeah
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04-30-2014 , 05:54 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Brunolf
by playing 20 games per night off peak with no regs sitting, yeah
Nope, even sitting exclusively with SNEs, SNs and leaderboard players, a great player could shoot 15-20%. My stats for $30 games ARE exclusively vs players with > VIP status than me. Last night I had wadzon (soon SNE), epicori* (wrong spelling but SNE with badge), bullstopper (a luckbox wanker), janiosmo (a v good player) and one atrocious SN newbie who donked me 3 times in $100 games.
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04-30-2014 , 06:10 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by HighTillIDieT4L
Nope, even sitting exclusively with SNEs, SNs and leaderboard players, a great player could shoot 15-20%. My stats for $30 games ARE exclusively vs players with > VIP status than me. Last night I had wadzon (soon SNE), epicori* (wrong spelling but SNE with badge), bullstopper (a luckbox wanker), janiosmo (a v good player) and one atrocious SN newbie who donked me 3 times in $100 games.
I'm sorry to say that, but I don't have any other words for it: you are delusional. you would have to play with people that fold to most shoves when blinds are high and they are priced in. Do you really think that will happen with regs (even SNE) at these stakes? Tell me where a 20% edge would be coming from.
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04-30-2014 , 06:37 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Brunolf
I'm sorry to say that, but I don't have any other words for it: you are delusional. you would have to play with people that fold to most shoves when blinds are high and they are priced in. Do you really think that will happen with regs (even SNE) at these stakes? Tell me where a 20% edge would be coming from.
Same place the 9% edge came from.

Lay down many playable hands pre vs the players you rate (stack permitting) and play everything vs position shoves from SN aggro-donks.

Have extensive play notes on everybody and trust your reads HU.

Then obviously don't make any ICM mistakes, steal whenever possible and cross your fingers that if you keep getting in 60/40 or better, that you will post an ROI > 15%.

Target cold players. Avoid boss-fishers and on days when stars is being a total bitch, walk away and don't sit there and tilt like a muppet.
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04-30-2014 , 07:28 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by HighTillIDieT4L
Same place the 9% edge came from.

Lay down many playable hands pre vs the players you rate (stack permitting) and play everything vs position shoves from SN aggro-donks.

Have extensive play notes on everybody and trust your reads HU.

Then obviously don't make any ICM mistakes, steal whenever possible and cross your fingers that if you keep getting in 60/40 or better, that you will post an ROI > 15%.

Target cold players. Avoid boss-fishers and on days when stars is being a total bitch, walk away and don't sit there and tilt like a muppet.
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05-01-2014 , 01:56 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by HighTillIDieT4L
True, 10K+ games is a proper sample, not 3K. And yea the data is mined but not cherry-picked.

Still, I think you guys need to increase your expectations. I'm far from happy with my stats. If I hadn't made any mistakes or had any tilting sessions, 15% would have been within reach. A truly great player would be 15-20% IMHO.
Of course the data is cherry picked, the largest sample you have is at $15s with 5% and a bunch of games at $3s wiith 4%. I have no idea how many $60+ you played, i guess a fair few. Seen as you havn't included these i presume they arnt 10%.

Quote:
If I can make lots of mistakes, play weak, tilt, have bad running periods and still make 9% in reg-only games, it's most def possible to break 15% ROI in 6-max hyper.
Worst 500 @ 2% ROI ish. best 100 @ just under 50% ROI. best 500 @ 17%ish. Both of which got you onto the sharkscope streak leaderboards.

Im starting to believe your posting here is just a massive level.
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05-01-2014 , 05:52 AM
My 8.40% edge (6.8k games, 9.55% in my main games with 6.4k games) does definitely not come from getting it in ahead on average! There is no 20% edge versus regs, even with perfect decision making and extensive notes. Only if you have at least 2-3 people that fold WAY too much in the late game, you might achieve this ROI.
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05-01-2014 , 07:34 AM
This is such gold.

Everyone's getting levelled. Quant's 2+2 avatar anyone?
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05-01-2014 , 09:09 AM
This is a fold because of ICM right?


    Poker Stars, $14.41 Buy-in (30/60 blinds, 6 ante) No Limit Omaha H/L Tournament, 3 Players
    Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #26414491

    BB: 1,277 (21.3 bb)
    Hero (BTN): 589 (9.8 bb)
    SB: 1,134 (18.9 bb)

    Preflop: Hero is BTN with A A 2 5
    Hero raises to 133, SB folds, BB raises to 1,271 and is all-in, Hero folds

    Results: 314 pot
    BB mucked and won 314 (175 net)



    Get the Flash Player to use the Hold'em Manager Replayer.
    Quote
    05-01-2014 , 09:51 AM
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by Angribob
    This is a fold because of ICM right?


      Poker Stars, $14.41 Buy-in (30/60 blinds, 6 ante) No Limit Omaha H/L Tournament, 3 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #26414491

      BB: 1,277 (21.3 bb)
      Hero (BTN): 589 (9.8 bb)
      SB: 1,134 (18.9 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with A A 2 5
      Hero raises to 133, SB folds, BB raises to 1,271 and is all-in, Hero folds

      Results: 314 pot
      BB mucked and won 314 (175 net)



      Get the Flash Player to use the Hold'em Manager Replayer.
      I don not think you can fold this once opened.
      Quote
      05-01-2014 , 10:18 AM
      Quote:
      Originally Posted by Angribob
      This is a fold because of ICM right?


        Poker Stars, $14.41 Buy-in (30/60 blinds, 6 ante) No Limit Omaha H/L Tournament, 3 Players
        Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #26414491

        BB: 1,277 (21.3 bb)
        Hero (BTN): 589 (9.8 bb)
        SB: 1,134 (18.9 bb)

        Preflop: Hero is BTN with A A 2 5
        Hero raises to 133, SB folds, BB raises to 1,271 and is all-in, Hero folds

        Results: 314 pot
        BB mucked and won 314 (175 net)



        Get the Flash Player to use the Hold'em Manager Replayer.
        Reads on BB?

        Not good if Villains learn you always fold to a shove with the the third biggest stack.

        ProPokerTools Omaha Hi/Lo Simulation[/URL]
        600,000 trials (Randomized)
        Hand Pot equity Scoops Wins HiTies HiWins Lo Ties Lo
        Ac Ah 2h 5h63.33% 229,250339,87493,627124,213121,619
        5%36.67% 105,331166,49993,62751,730121,619

        Villain scoops maybe only one time in six. You already put in 2BB of your 10BB. Another BB in the pot after SB fold + antes. Call.

        Last edited by plaaynde; 05-01-2014 at 10:31 AM.
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        05-01-2014 , 11:43 AM
        angibob trying to out level hightillidie, its going to be a tough task. Post in improvment thread for longer time bank.
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        05-01-2014 , 11:58 AM
        Quote:
        Originally Posted by flipya4dinna
        Of course the data is cherry picked, the largest sample you have is at $15s with 5% and a bunch of games at $3s wiith 4%. I have no idea how many $60+ you played, i guess a fair few. Seen as you havn't included these i presume they arnt 10%.
        Honestly? I ran out of free searches on SC, so couldn't check all games - although if it makes u feel any better, I know my ROI is -ve in $60 and $100 games (vs identical field). This is the reason why I dislike JJ and wadzon - they kept position-busting me with rags to the point where I was scared to even sit lol. Makes sense my ROI is lower @ $1.50, $3.50 as if I'm playing these stakes, high chance I'm on 100% tilt.

        Quote:
        Worst 500 @ 2% ROI ish. best 100 @ just under 50% ROI. best 500 @ 17%ish. Both of which got you onto the sharkscope streak leaderboards.

        Im starting to believe your posting here is just a massive level.
        Well, IMHO, even if JJ disagrees, I'm a top 50 player in OH8 6-max, for sure. Honestly, if you play as much as I have and have half a brain, it shouldn't be possible to LOSE over any reasonable sample period (1000+games/2 months).

        I don't get the terminology, "is just a massive level", what does this mean?

        Most of us here are egotistical maniacs with unwavering belief that we are the best. IF WE ARE THE BEST, I re-iterate, 15-20% should be our target, not 5% or 10%.

        Last edited by HighTillIDieT4L; 05-01-2014 at 12:05 PM.
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        05-01-2014 , 12:04 PM
        @ Angribob - uh, I'm prob amongst the tightest of reg OH8 players and I wouldn't ever dream of folding there. Most of the time I'm so terrified of losing A A 2 suited that I would just shove. Unless you are playing weak players, most will call the shove and the raise without distinguishing between them.

        MOST IMPORTANTLY, what are you trying to do here? Cash or win? I reckon @ $15 you are more than good enough to target wins only.
        Quote
        05-01-2014 , 01:34 PM
        Quote:
        Originally Posted by Angribob
        This is a fold because of ICM right?


          Poker Stars, $14.41 Buy-in (30/60 blinds, 6 ante) No Limit Omaha H/L Tournament, 3 Players
          Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #26414491

          BB: 1,277 (21.3 bb)
          Hero (BTN): 589 (9.8 bb)
          SB: 1,134 (18.9 bb)

          Preflop: Hero is BTN with A A 2 5
          Hero raises to 133, SB folds, BB raises to 1,271 and is all-in, Hero folds

          Results: 314 pot
          BB mucked and won 314 (175 net)



          Get the Flash Player to use the Hold'em Manager Replayer.
          I lol'd.

          Nice edit on the HH

          Quote:
          Originally Posted by flipya4dinna
          angibob trying to out level hightillidie, its going to be a tough task. Post in improvment thread for longer time bank.


          Quote:
          Originally Posted by HighTillIDieT4L
          @ Angribob - uh, I'm prob amongst the tightest of reg OH8 players and I wouldn't ever dream of folding there. Most of the time I'm so terrified of losing A A 2 suited that I would just shove. Unless you are playing weak players, most will call the shove and the raise without distinguishing between them.

          MOST IMPORTANTLY, what are you trying to do here? Cash or win? I reckon @ $15 you are more than good enough to target wins only.






          Quote
          05-01-2014 , 02:36 PM


          Tried to be as polite as possible, not saying he had lost it.

          Quote
          05-01-2014 , 03:16 PM
          I played just 1 hour of hypers today that made me think Quant actually does have a point. Please see below. I must have been running so bad over my lifetime to get just 6% over 10k games or so? 50% might not be totally sustainable (think I ran just ok in this session when all my 55:45 and 45:55 flips seemed to scoop) but that's not the point.



          I also tried a new strategy that I think might have worked. I didn't go all in unless I had a hand like AK2*. This seemed to work in that everyone kept pushing and pushing on me using something called Fold Equity (wtf this isn't a strat post Andy), but when I did call them KAPOW! They kept trying to do this, but I kept to my guns and eventually I doubled up at 50/100 blinds. I mean this one dude shoved KQ67 suited on me ? I mean doesn't he know that that hand is dominated by my call range? FISH. I pointed him to PPT as he obviously needed it!!

          ProPokerTools Omaha Hi/Lo Simulation
          600,000 trials (Randomized)
          Hand Pot equity Scoops Wins HiTies HiWins Lo Ties Lo
          kq6739.18% 144,696264,1682,80976,7952,120
          5%60.82% 273,324333,0232,809235,8412,120
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          05-01-2014 , 03:26 PM
          Problem is you don't get hands like A2K* all that often. Playing too few hands in hypers must equal suicide.


          Edit: ahh, it was streityboy's level.

          Last edited by plaaynde; 05-01-2014 at 03:35 PM.
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          05-01-2014 , 03:32 PM
          If it wasnt for the run bad around game 20 you would be a 70% roi player.

          edit: oh and was you targeting wins only?
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          05-01-2014 , 03:40 PM
          At some point my ROI has been the maximum, 264%. Winning every tournament
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          05-01-2014 , 03:48 PM
          I have 274.8% at the 30s this year.
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          05-01-2014 , 05:17 PM
          Quote:
          Originally Posted by flipya4dinna
          If it wasnt for the run bad around game 20 you would be a 70% roi player.

          edit: oh and was you targeting wins only?
          Again. Too much strat ITT.
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          05-01-2014 , 07:01 PM
          I've got 276.32% at 100s lifetime! only fish at these stakes and I'm obviously in boss-fish-heater-doomswitch-Ibribedpokerstars-mode at this level!
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          05-01-2014 , 07:11 PM
          Quote:
          Originally Posted by Brunolf
          I've got 276.32% at 100s lifetime! only fish at these stakes and I'm obviously in boss-fish-heater-doomswitch-Ibribedpokerstars-mode at this level!


          Damn I must really suck.. I've got only 89.4% ROI at 300$ Hypers.
          Quote
          05-02-2014 , 01:26 AM
          gotta play 500s to maximize ev
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