Quote:
Originally Posted by BirdsallSa
--- I find it hard to believe that one of them will have a straight 25% of the time when it is a 2 high card gutshot to get there and a lot of their calling range involves low cards. What were your ranges?
can confirm
simulation indicates given hero's hand and the given board, with 2 random hands 1 will have a straight on the turn ~25.4% and both will have a straight ~1.4%
tighten their ranges to ppt's top 35% and it only reduces the values to ~23.4% and ~1.2%.
of course these are preflop ranges and don't account for flop action.
making a rudimentary effort to account for the flop call
preflop ranges: 45% and 65%
on the flop: both must have atleast 20% equity (actual board and hero's actual hand)
~30.6% atleast 1 turned straight and ~.95% 2 turned straights.
preflop ranges: 45% and 65%
on the flop: both must have in their ranges '23,24,25,34,35,45,a6'
~22.9% atleast 1 turned straight and ~1.1% 2 turned straights.
preflop ranges: 45% and 65%
on the flop: one must have in their range '23,24,25,34,35,45,a6' the other must have atleast 20% equity.
its ~23.2% and ~.55% when the 45% has the '23,24,25,34,35,45,a6',
its ~26.3 and ~.7 when the 65% has the '23,24,25,34,35,45,a6'
preflop ranges: 45% and 65%
on the flop: the 45% must have '23,24,25,34' each with a 3rd unpaired low card in its range, while the 65% must have atleast 20% equity
~25% atleast 1 turned straight and ~.45% 2 turned straights.
Last edited by ngFTW; 02-13-2018 at 02:17 PM.