Quote:
Originally Posted by jdr0317
If I give hero a range on the turn of KK, QQ, AKQ, AK9, and JT from the top 25% of hands, villain's AA43 has 58.67% equity.
pretty sure that's not right. (fwiw i believe ~72.78% equity is correct)
while i'm posting
Quote:
But we aren't playing perfectly calibrated GTO bots, we're playing humans. From the POV of OP, we have, say, 10% equity against the range of hands villain is repping, so even if we say his bluffs have 10% equity (simple math), they need to be there ~ 25% of the time for us to continue, and OP says they likely aren't.
doesn't seem right to me either, but i'll admit I'm not entirely sure what you are saying.
but if villain had a range of 75% value hands and 25% bluffs where his value hands have 100% equity and his bluffs only 10% equity then an opponent would have 22.5% equity vs. that range.
if rather the opponent has 10% equity vs a range that is 75% value and 25% bluffs and the value range has 100% equity then the bluffs would have 45% equity.
and if we are talking the actual hand, villain's value hands don't have 100% equity on the turn.
if the value hands are for example QJT*,AA** then hero has 14.7% equity vs. value.(rivers a winner 13.4% and rivers a tie 2.65% vs the value range)
and if bluff range is A,K,hh then hero has ~90% equity vs. bluff.
if hero commits to showdown on the turn at a cost of $24.49 to showdown while the pot at showdown will be $58.61.
it is at 35.96% bluffs (64.04% value)that it's breakeven between folding and calling (equilibrium)