Quote:
Originally Posted by shaunnn
You sure about this? In this hand he didn't fold no pair, and 3rd nut low draw. The player did have an inside straight draw but that's weak with the flush draw on the board.
I think so often we think of situations as one is +EV and the other is -EV. Truth is that when you 3-bet with AKQ7 double suited and flop top two any play is going to make money long term because you hit the flop. Its choosing the best play. Betting smaller with top two protects your range for times you miss the flop and want to continuation bet small. If you bet pot every time you hit a flop you become exploitable because now when you bet 1/4 or 1/2 pot on the flop I know I can get you off your hand with aggression. You need to mix in some smaller bets when you hit the flop to protect your range.... If youre going to mix in some smaller bets when you hit the flop this is the perfect hand/flop to do so IMO.
Obviously player dependent, and villain isn't that type of player. Against a tight or smarter player, you might get that naked nut low draw fold, because who wants to be calling multiple bets with only nut low (if they make it)?
And actually the villain's hand is weirdly more of a call than a naked A2 rainbow IMO, because a turn ace gives a very nutty wrap, the gutshot gives a lot of freerolls, and let's be honest, a turn deuce is going to make the villain the best low a good enough amount. It's one of those hands you can call on the flop and then fold the turn if you don't get the specific cards you need, but that said, it's not a good call in terms of pot odds because of how few cards actually help, and there's certainly reverse implied odds.
