wow, you guys really need to let this ****ty thread die

been dealt aces twice in a row twice in the past week on stars

I'd like to add to the suckiness of this thread. Figure this one out PhNerdsklanksyites:

I got 2 royal flushes in less than 1 week. Online (true. rigged). I was not a particularly prolific player back then (about 5 years ago). About 12 hours of play total for the whole week, 2 tabling, limit holdem, full ring.

What are the odds? Make any assumptions you want to fill in the missing info. I would assume this is very difficult to calculate mathematically. For instance, you'd have to make some assumption about how often hands go to the river, b/c that would affect the chances of getting a royal flush. It was Party Poker small stakes back in the day, and it was limit, so the assumption should probably be that it went to the river most of the time.

[I've also had 2 more royal flushes in my life--a 3rd one online and 1 live]

Here's another little oddity. In a two week period playing 16 tables for 8 hours a day I managed to hit quads 16 times. Two other times I folded what would have become quads.

I only skimmed through this thread but a large portion of you really should take a statistics class or something because you are really off base in your assumptions of how odds work, and it's honestly frightening to imagine you playing poker with such a poor grasp of stats

Post last month's graph plz.

Anyway, semi-grunch - to flog this dead camel some more...

What the woman is really asking (whether she realises it implicitly or not):

Or possibly:

She couldn't possibly be asking "What are the odds that I get Aces on EXACTLY two hands?" ... which is 1/48,841. Because that would imply she's thinking some variant of "What would be the odds of sitting down and my first two hands being aces?" Clearly she's not pondering that at all.

So I am playing 1-2 NLHE in a B&M last night. I had been totally card dead for an hour and a half. I started getting a few hands and was winning a bit. I got AA on the button and promptly lost about $120.00 with it against Q4o that made QQQ. Next hand, I look down and I have AA again. I go on to lose another $80 against KQo when the villain flops a K and then turns a K. After he went all in for his last $32, I counted out the cover and announced to the table that they would not believe this.

Saying.

What are is the probability of being dealt aces my NEXT TWO hands- that is most certainly 1:480000.

But you have to consider the session size when saying: what is the probability of getting dealt two pocket aces in a row...over 200 million hands:

Then it is almost 100% certain that it will happen. What is the probability of getting dealt pocket aces twice in a row in a 5 hand session? Well, it can be 1st, 2nd or 2nd, 3rd or 3rd,4th or...etc..increasing the probability.

There's two answers to this:
1) It will happen on average every 48k hands
2) As you will/have played so many poker hands, the probability of it happening to you is practically 1, i.e 100%.

If you read this thread and did not come to this simple conclusion before this simple conclusion was revealed then you should call me to arrange a pokerz game plz ty xx

zomg I just got dealt aces twice in a row and I was only a hundred hands into my session

what are the odds of that?

This one night while playing 5/5 NL at Fallsview Casino. I got AA 3 hands in a row. Got stacked the first time, pretended to be on tilt the 2nd and got stacked again. Stole the blinds the 3rd time. Was about 2 years ago. FML

Okokok... what are the odds of THIS.....
me and anotehr guy both got dealt AA on THE SAME HAND???!!!! then, the next hand IT HAPPENED AGAIN (different suits though)!!! Then right after that the Spice Girls jumped on the table with a gaggle of midgets and started fellating everyone???

OMGGGGGGG!!!!! WHAT ARE THE ODDS???? A BILLION TO ONE??? MAYBE A THRILLION TO ONE????? I DON'T KNOW! GET ME SOMEONE WHO KNOWS MOLECULAR BIOLOGY!

I got teh rocketz 3 time in teh rowz this 1 time at band camp

My record for this is got AA 3 times in a row then next hand got an ace too.

I play for a living.. always wondered what the odds of this was..
48k to one on two times.

how much on 3 times ?

mike

you play for a living and can't do the math on this? Seriously?

aces 3 times in a row is insane RARE..wow

standard

Getting AA 3 times in a row is 1/221^3=1/10,793,861

Same 2 guys getting AA in same hand twice in a row depends on the question you're asking. If it has to be 2 specified players before any cards are dealt, it's (4/53*3/52*2/50*1/49)^2=1/270,725^2=1/73,292,025,625.

If it could be any 2 guys getting the first AA,AA, then it would depend on the number of players at the table. For a 9 handed game, the 1st AA,AA would be 1/270,725*36 (the number of different 2 player combinations you can make from a 9 handed game)=~1/7,520. Once 2 guys had gotten the first AA,AA, the next AA,AA would be 1/270,725. So, the combined probability would be ~1/7,520*1/270,725=~2,035,852,000.

As far as the spice girls part, I'd say the probability is none and less than none.

The odds of getting aces three times in a row is 220:1 obviously.

That's incorrect. Each hand is a statistically independent event. The product of the 3 gives you the chances/odds of it happening 3 times in a row. Since the chances of getting AA are 1/221, the chances of it happening 3 times in a row are 1/221^3=1/10,793,861 or odds of 10,793,860:1 against.

It's no different than flipping a coin. The chances of it coming up heads (its not allowed to land on its edge) are 1/2. The chances of its coming up heads twice in a row are 1/2*1/2 or 1/2^2=1/4. That's because there is only one outcome that meets your requirement of HH, but there are 4 possible outcomes, HH,HT,TH,TT. Flip it a 3rd time and there is still only one outcome, HHH, that meets your requirement but there are 8 possible outcomes. So, the chances of a coin coming up heads 3 times in a row is 1/2^3=1/8 or odds of 7:1 against.

pretty sure jman's post was a sort of a joke, based on this thread in its entirety. what are the odds of that?

Why don't you just ask jman and find out?

in before this thread rolls for another year