Quote:
Originally Posted by stinkubus
See bolded.
Yes. If you completely ignore the part where I said "unless the progressive vote is consolidated behind a single candidate."
Do I really need to spell out what I am saying? OK.
If no progressive candidate makes a serious attempt to win the primary, then it goes without saying that a conventional Democratic candidate will win the primary. If multiple progressive candidates make a serious attempt to win the primary, then I believe that a conventional Democratic candidate is highly likely to win the primary. If progressives rally early around a single candidate, then I believe a progressive candidate very well could win the primary.
If a progressive Democratic candidate comes out of the primary, I believe that candidate could defeat Trump, but very likely will lose to Trump, especially if that candidate is Elizabeth Warren.
If a more conventional Democrat comes out of the primary, I believe that candidate very likely will defeat Trump in the general, but could lose.
I readily concede that (i) all this depends on who the "conventional" Democratic candidate is, and (ii) the line between conventional and progressive is blurry.
I think that a lot of people are wrongly assuming that because a very conventional Democratic candidate to Trump, a progressive candidate is a better choice to beat Trump.