Who will run against Trump in 2020? - Page 298 - Politics and Economics

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Who will run against Trump in 2020?

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04-27-2019 , 07:47 AM

#7426

beansroast01

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2006 Posts: 20,494

it already looks dumb, and surprise surprise, he underestimated Bernie (or intentionally ignores him, which is perhaps more likely i think)

04-27-2019 , 08:08 AM

#7427

pvn

Guest

Posts: n/a

Quote:

Originally Posted by imjosh

it already looks dumb, and surprise surprise, he underestimated Bernie (or intentionally ignores him, which is perhaps more likely i think)

Or... he's properly evaluating the evidence. Why do you think Nate "intentionally ignoring" Bernie is more likely?

04-27-2019 , 08:49 AM

#7428

beansroast01

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2006 Posts: 20,494

Because even putting Bernie in a "1C" tier with a bunch of people with far less name recognition after he won ~20+ states in 2016 is complete nonsense. I don't doubt that 538/Nate is a good statistician, so the alternative must be that there is a bias against Bernie. It sure seemed like there was in 2016, and it doesn't seem any different now.

I guess another alternative is that Nate is factoring in the Dem party trying to rig the nomination / sabotage Bernie

Or I suppose he strongly underestimated Bernie's likelihood of running

Last edited by beansroast01; 04-27-2019 at 09:09 AM.

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