Quote:
Originally Posted by UsedToBeGood
That's a fair point but his approval was still in the 48-50% range by election time. I would be shocked to see Donald get above 45%, and much greater chance he stays at 40 or below. Also John Kerry was another establishment elite dweeb like Clinton who was more in that position due to an ability to inspire corporate donors and therefore receive DNC support, not actual voters.
Well Kerry and Clinton were still about the best of the ones who actually ran -- Bernie possibly notwithstanding -- so that's worth remembering.
Meanwhile what concerns me is that less than four months before the election Trump was in the literal doghouse, had insulted a Gold Star family, and basically acted like an ass all over TV, got destroyed in all three debates, and then had the Access Hollywood tape, and STILL managed to turn things around enough to pull out a narrow EC win. The strategy they went with was obvious too -- keep Trump off everything but friendly media, run lots of rallies, and attack HRC at every opportunity. And it worked. That will be their strategy next time too, mark my words. They'll try and get Trump to about the 45% rate by the start of the election year and then fire everything they have at his opponent while keeping him away from anything where he can look bad -- hell they might not even let him have a debate, and hope that his incumbent status, the free media he gets, and the support from his base will be enough to get him through again. And I think that strategy has a real shot.
The other thing that concerns me is that the 'red wall' looks a lot more impervious right now than the 'blue wall'. No way was Trump supposed to win in places like Michigan and Pennsylvania, but he did. Meanwhile there's no way he's ever losing in the R strongholds.
No, I really think the Dems need a powerhouse in 2020. The Reps are holding too many cards. And I still ain't seeing that on their bench anywhere except with Winfrey.