Quote:
Originally Posted by eyebooger
For each of 1, 2, 3 who do you think fits of those currently running?
Using a list of the people who have either declared or formed an exploratory committee or are expected to run who I consider actual major candidates... And pasting the criteria again:
1) Charismatic/electable enough to be big favorites in the general election.
2) Principled in their stances on issues and progressive enough.
3) Going to go in fighting from Day 1 in office because they get what the modern GOP is.
4) Able to serve two terms before they're like 85.
Also, I'll clarify that progressive enough means progressive enough to get the support of the base in both the primary and general. What that means is debatable, but I'd say strongly and clearly supporting a specific form of Medicare for All is mandatory, as-is making climate change a priority, supporting a form of gun control that includes banning AR-15's (lol Beto wtf?), etc. I'm not saying they have to want to go straight to single payer, ban 100% of guns (not even my position personally), or adopt AOC's tax plan (also not my exact position personally).
Without further ado... Here are the flawed 11.
Joe Biden - He's perceived as #1, I don't think he is.
Cory Booker - 1 and 4. He may get #3, but he's running on holding hands and singing Kumbaya so I'm not giving him #3.
Pete Buttigieg - 2, 3, 4. He's charismatic enough, but I don't think he's electable (small town mayor is a ding, and I don't think America is ready for a gay president). I hate that it's that way, but this isn't the election to die on that hill in the name of progress.
Kirsten Gillibrand - 1, 4. Having seen her speak in public at a Women's March, she's got decent/underrated charisma. She'd be more electable in the general than most of the field, but she's got very little shot in the primary because of whiffing big time on #2.
Kamala Harris - 1, 4. Maybe 3, I'm not sure.
John Hickenlooper - 4.
Jay Inslee - Going to admit I don't know a ton about him on specific issues, but I'm pretty sure he's 2, 3 and 4. (Giving him credit for Washington being one of the states fighting pretty hard vs. Trump, assuming it extrapolates.) I don't think hes charismatic enough to be a big general election favorite.
Amy Klobuchar - 4.
Beto O'Rourke - 1, 4. Loved him six months ago, super pissed at him now for turning into an empty suit standing on tables spouting platitudes. If you want electability and charisma, though, he's a mortal lock to beat Trump in the general if he gets there.
Bernie Sanders - 1*, 2, 3. The age hurts his electability a bit, as does the "democratic socialist" label. But I've heard enough people who are right of center say they like him when they hear him speak on issues to think his charisma and ability to message overrides it and gives him #1. But he'd turn 80 his first year in office. (For my personal taste, his policy is a little too far left on a few issues, and while I think his views/beliefs are good on gender and race, he's had a few questionable news stories on that. But he's one of the 3-4 I'm considering voting for at this point.)
Elizabeth Warren - 2, 3, 4. I think she's awesome at town halls and retail politics, but not charismatic enough giving big speeches, and not the best campaigner from a strategic standpoint.
As for my personal considerations at this point in the primary...
Hard no: Biden, Booker, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Klobuchar.
I Could Be Convinced: Kamala, Inslee.
In the Mix: Sanders, Warren, Beto, Buttigieg.
That said, there's nobody on this list who I wouldn't both vote for and volunteer for in the general election. My preferred candidate will come down to weighing their policy stances, their general election electability, and their performance in the next ~year on the campaign trail. My vote will come down to that plus pragmatism. In other words, if the race is clearly down to Biden and Kamala by the time I get to vote, I'm probably voting for Kamala. Or if it's Klobuchar and Biden, I'm probably voting for Klobuchar. I'm not going to waste a vote on someone who has no shot at winning.