Quote:
Originally Posted by Louis Cyphre
It's rare for a party to hold the presidency for more than 2 terms. You better make it count. There will be another Republican president at some point. It's no good if the scoreboard after 1 Democratic and 1 Republican presidency looks like this:
tax cuts for the rich
dismantled democratic institutions
increased the deficit and national debt
trade wars
muslim ban
children in cages
alienated all allies
gutted environmental regulations
put global warming into overdrive
2-3 rightwing ideologues on the SC
stacked all lower courts
vs.
Romneycare
2 moderate SC justices
Good post.
And not only that, but for substantial legislative accomplishments, you need a trifecta in today's political climate. Literally zero Republicans voted for Obamacare.
2020 may be the last chance in a long time for Democrats to win a trifecta. It's nearly impossible to win one (or even hold one) while already holding the presidency. And clustering, gerrymandering, voting ****ery, etc will make it harder and harder for Democrats going forward.
So it's REALLY important this time around. Unfortunately, I think the most likely outcome for the near future is:
- Democrat wins POTUS but Republicans hold the senate
- Because of this, Dem POTUS accomplishes nothing and can't get any judges through either
- Red wave(s) in midterm(s), which almost always happens anyway but will definitely happen if Democrats can't accomplish anything
- Republican wins POTUS in either 2024 or 2028
Democrats desperately need another opportunity like 2008 to try to break the cycle, level the playing field, and put some real accomplishments on the board. Combine demographic changes with substantial accomplishments and maybe you even get a durable political realignment.