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Originally Posted by JoltinJake
Bernie isn't going to start at 40%+ in the polls, though. He was at 31% in a NH poll a few months ago. Clearly he should be lower than that nationally given NH is his neighboring state and is super white.
Also, if Warren runs, she will split at least some of his vote. She already had a good chunk (13%) in that NH poll.
Agree with much of your post, though. Bernie has about as good a shot as anyone, but I think he'll need a few breaks to win. Warren not running would be huge. As would a news focus on economic issues instead of race/gender issues.
That's fair, that he won't start out at 40%+, but he'll start out way in the lead with a big plurality if there are 10+ candidates in the field (which I view as a near-lock). I don't think Warren chips into Bernie's vote as much as others do... But perhaps a little. I am not entirely convinced she will run, at least not seriously. I think she understands that she's not as charismatic, and that it limits her ability to run nationally. I also don't think she's at all as narcissistic as most politicians - and I'm talking "normal" narcissism, not Trump-level, diagnosable disorder. So I think she would be more of a reluctant candidate, as someone upthread mentioned.
I actually think a Sanders/Warren ticket would be amazing. I think she might be open to running as VP for Bernie, if he basically goes to her and says, "Listen, I'm old, you're by far the best VP candidate in my view who has similar beliefs and a lot of credibility behind them, will you run as my VP?"
The energy from the rank and file of the party behind that ticket would be immense. Trump might punch himself out going after her, too. Granted, sexist attacks on her will stick a little more than on Gillibrand (only because conservatives already hate her since she's already been smeared - so she'll rile up Trump's base a bit and increase their turnout slightly), but I think she'd be very effective at essentially deflecting, firing back, and having a measured/responsible response that still says, "Bring it on."
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Originally Posted by Louis Cyphre
He is too old now and I am afraid he might not have kept his hands to himself. Only Trump can get away with pussy grabbing.
Obviously there's no way to know for sure, but I grew up in Delaware and know some women who have run into Biden and interacted with him in close proximity, and he was nothing but polite and appropriate.