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Who will run against Trump in 2020? Who will run against Trump in 2020?

03-14-2019 , 12:53 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by revots33
The idea of stuff actually getting done has its appeal.

Get away from 2p2 now and then and you will realize there are a lot of moderates in this country - even moderate republicans who now realize Trump is a s***show, and who might be persuaded to vote for a center-left Dem.

Trump will effectively try to goad libs into nominating a far left candidate and then cruise to a 2nd term. Given the fact that Dems are bad at politics it might work.
How many times does the centrist dem candidate have to lose the election as a betting favorite before you give up this premise?

Because we're going on 3 in a row now (2000, 2004, 2016). Moderate dems are the Jean van de Velde of presidential politics.
03-14-2019 , 01:00 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by .Alex.
Because we're going on 3 in a row now (2000, 2004, 2016). Moderate dems are the Jean van de Velde of presidential politics.
To be fair to Beto, all three of those candidates were absolute charisma vacuums, whereas he is not.
03-14-2019 , 01:10 PM
So I've never really heard a Beto speech, just some media clips/debate clips when he ran. Just listened to a few minutes of one. My god, if someone wrote a speech specifically designed to go for the mythical moderate Republican voter, it would be a Beto speech. ****.
03-14-2019 , 01:33 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by goofyballer
Ignoring the massive [citation needed]: oh, that's why people think Russia is a "threat to American democracy"? Not troll farming - the stuff that everyone's been talking about for the last few years - but this other thing that no one talks about but conveniently fits into the insane conspiracy theory you want to put on Snowden? lmao

btw, do you have any links to those contemporary taeks you posted on Snowden/Manning?
Uhhh yeah, lots of people have been talking about Russia as a top threat to US interests since well before the election and continue to talk about their electronic warfare capabilities that extend just a bit beyond troll farms today. I know you're just a script monkey but I'd expect someone who works in tech would at least understand the implications of Russia holding a former NSA contractor for the past 6 years.
03-14-2019 , 01:48 PM
Mayor Pete getting some traction in my extended family Dem political discussion after some town hall he did against/with Kamala?

Kamala was the early favorite. Think she is fading already.
03-14-2019 , 01:54 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Trolly McTrollson
Beto is in:


Enjoyed this chart
03-14-2019 , 01:57 PM
Trollys charts are great.

this is p good too

03-14-2019 , 02:21 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by eyebooger
What Democrats might these "moderate republicans" actually vote for?
Uncle Joe
03-14-2019 , 02:35 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MrFeelNothin
Mayor Pete getting some traction in my extended family Dem political discussion after some town hall he did against/with Kamala?

Kamala was the early favorite. Think she is fading already.
I think Beto is going to take the wind out of his sails unfortunately. On the surface they cross over a lot as they are both young, upbeat, and well spoken but Beto is coming in with a huge head start. And that sucks because I feel like both have a good chance of having moderates like them while Buttigieg is low key progressive.

I hope he is still being talked about when my campaign t shirt ships in 3 weeks.
03-14-2019 , 02:38 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by El Rata
criticism of beto seems in very good faith itt

-he's in good shape
-he's not a dickhead
-he apologized once

riveting
UsedToBeGood's post is dead on, but I will say personally what turns me off about Beto is that he's not angry about what's going on. He should be angry. A far right judiciary is striving to destroy workers' power and the rights of minorities. Republicans installed through a massive, coordinated fraud one of the stupidest, most corrupt figures in modern American politics. This is a man who just proposed a trillion dollars in cuts to social programs literally to pay for a tax break to corporations and the 1%. He instituted a Muslim ban, and it was certified by a Supreme Court majority that his party stole. He promotes authoritarians around the world and shows a complete disregard for human rights. He threw kids in cages and said there were "very fine" Nazis. On and on. If you're not visibly disgusted by that, I don't trust you to represent my values.
03-14-2019 , 02:51 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by chymechowder
Trollys charts are great.

this is p good too


03-14-2019 , 02:55 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by revots33
The idea of stuff actually getting done has its appeal.

Get away from 2p2 now and then and you will realize there are a lot of moderates in this country - even moderate republicans who now realize Trump is a s***show, and who might be persuaded to vote for a center-left Dem.

Trump will effectively try to goad libs into nominating a far left candidate and then cruise to a 2nd term. Given the fact that Dems are bad at politics it might work.
If these "moderate" Republicans just stay home instead of vote for Trump and the Democrat base turns out it is a landslide. The #1 risk for Dems (other than actual election fraud and hacking) is their base staying home, not failing to win over moderates. If these "moderates" will vote for Trump over a competent Democrat they aren't really moderate at all. Honestly if Dems can't win with a liberal agenda after the last 4 years of this **** show they should still try because another 4 years of trump will sink the country enough that the electorate will never forget.
03-14-2019 , 03:00 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by dth123451
I don’t know, man. I’m pretty confident people actually want a flamethrower. Democrats win the polling on basically every issue. They lose because they are enormous cowards (often bought off by corporate donors).

Health care is REALLY ****ed up in this country. If I were running, I’d make it my signature issue and just relentlessly emphasize what people would actually experience under single payer. People hate insurance companies. They hate drug companies. They hate everything about health care and they know empty ass platitudes about “access to affordable heath care” are meaningless.

“You get sick, you go get care. You never get a bill, ever. Don’t buy the lies from Republicans - they are bought and paid for b an insurance industry that’s sole reason for existing is to make money by denying care.”
This did not work for Stacey Abrams in GA.
03-14-2019 , 03:05 PM
I don't know whether Abrams emphasized healthcare, but saying something "didn't work" for her seems suspect considering she performed awesome compared with a generic Dem and probably would have won without the extreme riggage perpetrated by Kemp and the Republicans.
03-14-2019 , 03:40 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by UsedToBeGood
Or you can ignore what others and myself have previously said:

- how he voted with Trump more often than the majority of House Dems despite being in a solidly blue district
- how he takes sizable donations from AIPAC, fossil fuel companies, and wall street which clearly informs how he votes and what policies he will put forth
- how he has not really done anything remarkable other than be a 3-term congressmen that no one ever heard of and then lost a senate race to one of the most unpopular politicians in Washington during a blue wave
- how his milquetoast approach to politics about unity and platitudes is not in step with the populism that is driving actual voters today
- how he is a very rich and privileged person, with a multimillion fortune of his own + being married to the daughter of a billionaire

Really, all he has going for him is he's attractive and charismatic and that he may be able to gain support of the establishment thanks to his corporate friendliness, if Kamala goes the way of Jeb, which its starting to look like.
great post. this should be bumped any time someone mentions thinking about voting for this useless, insipid nothing of a person
03-14-2019 , 03:43 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by lozen
Worked for Canada's Prime Minister Justin Trudeau
To be fair Beto is like a 6 while Trudeau is a 9.5
03-14-2019 , 03:55 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by iamnotawerewolf
This did not work for Stacey Abrams in GA.
Yes it did?
03-14-2019 , 04:18 PM
NOPE

03-14-2019 , 04:23 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by 3fiveofdiamonds
I think Beto is going to take the wind out of his sails unfortunately. On the surface they cross over a lot as they are both young, upbeat, and well spoken but Beto is coming in with a huge head start. And that sucks because I feel like both have a good chance of having moderates like them while Buttigieg is low key progressive.

I hope he is still being talked about when my campaign t shirt ships in 3 weeks.
I would think of it the other way around- Beto is an early leader due solely to name recognition. If Mayor Pete is to get traction then peeling off Beto supporters would be one possible path.
03-14-2019 , 05:04 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by dth123451
NOPE

Jesus, that line with "write that poem" on it.. projectile vomited reading that. The more I read or hear Beto the worse it gets.
03-14-2019 , 05:41 PM
I watched a bit of the Iowa town hall and he answered almost every question with vague platitudes.

"What do you think about the GND?"

"Climate change is real and we need to do something about it."

I assume at some point he will come up with specific policies. But he is very charismatic. He will be a legit top tier candidate once he gets more substanace to his candidacy.
03-14-2019 , 06:39 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by UsedToBeGood
Jesus, that line with "write that poem" on it.. projectile vomited reading that. The more I read or hear Beto the worse it gets.


God that whole snippet is just ****ing awful
03-14-2019 , 08:52 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by revots33
The idea of stuff actually getting done has its appeal.
lolololol at equating "getting stuff done" with moderates.

obamacare was a republican plan and got literally zero votes from republicans bro. that was ten years ago.
03-14-2019 , 09:26 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by d10
I know you're just a script monkey but I'd expect someone who works in tech would at least understand the implications of Russia holding a former NSA contractor for the past 6 years.
lol, what is a "script monkey"?

But anyway, if you knew anything about tech, you'd perhaps have paid attention to Snowden when he talks about the technical precautions he took when traveling. And if you knew anything about making good arguments, perhaps you'd have something more convincing than saying "but he's...there" and waving your hands hoping magic dust will appear.

Are you going to respond to others' posts expressing similar disbelief at your idiocy, or take your ball and go home? And did you find those contemporary taeks you were touting before?
03-14-2019 , 09:53 PM
Update on SCHULTZ 2020: Neighbors and the city question Schultz's characterization of his upbringing as "rags to riches"

Quote:
The man who built the Starbucks empire and now calls himself a likely “centrist independent” candidate for president says his is “a rags-to-riches story” in which he started out on “literally the wrong side of the tracks” in “low-income” housing, where “we were all poor,” where “my best defense was a good offense” and where fights “didn’t typically escalate to deadly violence, but they were tough in their own way.”

But Schultz’s depiction of Bayview as a rough, low-income community is inconsistent with the city’s definition of the project, the requirements for tenants to get into the buildings, and the experience of others who lived there.

“It was a shiny, wonderful world,” said former Bayview resident Elyse Maltz, one of many residents of the development who contend that Schultz, 65, has distorted the reality of the place where they grew up in the 1950s and ’60s. “Everything was brand spanking new. “

Maltz, who got to know Schultz in seventh grade and now lives in New Jersey, said the Bayview that her family and Schultz’s moved into “was middle-class, not lower middle. You were interviewed to get in. My family was pretty well off. I know Howard wants to look like he’s rags to riches, but we had a wonderful, plentiful life. I mean, my ma had a cleaning lady. We really didn’t lack for anything.”

She called on Schultz to “please stop referring to us as poor or destitute, because it’s insulting and we didn’t feel that way at all.”
Quote:
“It was the country club of projects,” Blank said, using a phrase several former Bayview residents volunteered. “Howard Schultz makes it sound like a slum, but you couldn’t be poor to live there. Don’t let Howard fool you: It was brand new, a beautiful new place with new kitchens, new plumbing. We’re excited that he’s running, but I yell at the TV when he says this stuff.”

      
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