Quote:
Originally Posted by microbet
Why would Bloomberg enter as a Dem if he thinks Bernie is a runaway favorite to win the nom? Do you think he's that stupid? Why he'd run as an independent is obvious and it wouldn't be to become POTUS.
I wasn't clear. By runaway favorite, I meant "runaway favorite over competitors other than Bloomberg." In other words, for Bloomberg to enter, he has to think that he is presenting a third alternative between Trump and a far left candidate (by US standards, not world standards).
I don't think Bloomberg will run for president as a vanity project or to achieve some business objective. He's different from Trump in that respect. (I'm sure there is a vanity element to flirting with running, but that's different than actually running.) He has to believe he can win. That's why he didn't run in 2012 or 2016, and that's why, at the end of the day, I don't think he'll run in 2020.