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Who Will Be The 2016 Republican Nominee? (It's Donald Trump) Who Will Be The 2016 Republican Nominee? (It's Donald Trump)

01-16-2016 , 02:13 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by steelhouse
Kasich seemed to be good in debate and might become #2 in New Hampshire. Maybe president? 18 years congress and governor and balanced budgets in both.
Politico had a Trump/Kasich veep article up. Something about the buzz. You heard it here first!
01-16-2016 , 02:14 PM
Cruz's NH add:

"I'm Ted Cruz, and I promise to kill everybody. And I will never apologize"


Ok then.
01-16-2016 , 02:25 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MrWookie
By far the most hilarious outcome is a the GOP congresscritters cutting a deal with the Dems to impeach a President Trump or Cruz and their VP in January 2017 to make Paul Ryan president.
The Trumpites would revolt and the idiots like Bundy would start to actually have a case that the US govt doesn't fairly represent them.

Best strategy by far is just to let Trump fall on his face naturally.
01-16-2016 , 02:28 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by anatta
Iran's American prisoners free. I haven't read how this is yet another example of Obama's weakness... because I haven't read any GOP response yet. well wait, I guess this is just another "reminder" of his fecklessness, and under a Cruz administration any Country that takes our citizens hostage will face the full force and fury of the United States Military!
Dude FoxNews was on in the doctors office this morning. EZ game - Obama is calling it a release but it's really a swap! Rose Garden mendacity!
01-16-2016 , 04:31 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SenorKeeed
Man the GOP establishment finding TRUMP to be less offensive than Cruz would be just delicious irony. The ultimate dream is a brokered convention where TRUMP gets picked over Cruz. That would just crush Cruz's soul.
The real kicker is Cruz has been setting up this situation for years, literally since he entered congress, but now he gets to the big stage and someone even more of a dick and more outsider insider is there and he has a completely different race to what he wanted.

As someone posted earlier he thought he would be the biggest ******* ****ting on everyone else but Trump is a bigger, gold plated ******* who drops refined **** at a rate he just can't compete with.
01-16-2016 , 04:47 PM
Donald Trump
38 %
Marco Rubio
30 %
Ted Cruz
19
Jeb Bush
10 %

http://predictwise.com/politics/2016...an-nomination/
01-16-2016 , 05:01 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by anatta
Iran's American prisoners free. I haven't read how this is yet another example of Obama's weakness... because I haven't read any GOP response yet. well wait, I guess this is just another "reminder" of his fecklessness, and under a Cruz administration any Country that takes our citizens hostage will face the full force and fury of the United States Military!
Swapped seven for four prisoners. America isn't winning anymore in these trades.
01-16-2016 , 05:02 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by anatta
Politico had a Trump/Kasich veep article up. Something about the buzz. You heard it here first!

You could probably try to rationalize accepting the job by telling yourself that Trump needs a lot of help. But that is all Kasich would be doing rationalizing a disgusting decision.
01-16-2016 , 06:16 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sholar
Brooklyn is (as per your link). NYC (even Manhattan which is quite leafy in its norther regions, has that "central park" everyone keeps talking about) isn't that densely population compared with other global mega-cities. But the definition of what counts as that "city" makes it all a little arbitrary as the political boundaries aren't always the most interesting for understanding how the city center feels (from a business or residential density perspective).

Edited to add: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_o...lation_density is probably more interesting for understanding the latter part...
Whoops -- I totally goofed on Brookly vs. Queens.

That list you linked is very interesting. I live in Manhattan Community Board 8, which is the densest part of NYC listed there, and the density is just slightly higher than the 11th arrondissement (densest part of Paris).

Manhattan is crazy dense compared to the rest of the U.S., so it's a little surprising to me that central Paris is similarly dense, but (largely) without the skyscrapers.

Not surprising to me that major cities in the developing world are much more dense.
01-16-2016 , 06:21 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by econophile
Whoops -- I totally goofed on Brookly vs. Queens.

That list you linked is very interesting. I live in Manhattan Community Board 8, which is the densest part of NYC listed there, and the density is just slightly higher than the 11th arrondissement (densest part of Paris).

Manhattan is crazy dense compared to the rest of the U.S., so it's a little surprising to me that central Paris is similarly dense, but (largely) without the skyscrapers.

Not surprising to me that major cities in the developing world are much more dense.
I'm from kansas and could not bring myself to live in a place anywhere close to that dense. My county is the second most dense county in kansas w// 1/20 th the density of any nyc area and I kinda want to move to a mor rural county despite being gay.
01-16-2016 , 06:23 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by awval999
All hail Lord President Trump

If trump wins people will be showing that woman's face a hundred years from now.
01-16-2016 , 07:19 PM
Cruz's NY comments hurt him the most because of what it does for Trump's delegate count in high-delegate states.

NY is proportional, but triggers to winner-take-all on the district and state levels when a candidate gets >50% of the vote in a district or statewide.
NJ is winner take all
CA is winner take all

All of those states are likely to associate positively with the dog-whistle concept of NY values.

That's 318 delegates, or just over 25% of what someone needs to win the nomination.

At the end of the day, Iowa's proportional so the only real thing you're chasing is momentum. No one's going to build a significant delegate lead there. If Cruz wins he's gotta hope for a big bounce coming out or else Trump is gonna waffle crush him across NH (proportional, Trump's up 30:11), SC (WTA, Trump up 11) and NV (pro, Trump up 33:20) leading in to Super Tuesday.
01-16-2016 , 07:22 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by anatta
Donald Trump
38 %
Marco Rubio
30 %
Ted Cruz
19
Jeb Bush
10 %

http://predictwise.com/politics/2016...an-nomination/
39/29/18 now.

Trump really pulling equity from Cruz and Rubio now. Cruz implosion in Iowa seems in progress. If Trump wins Iowa, and seems destined to run away with NH, it gets really hard for me to see how he loses.
01-16-2016 , 07:23 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by spaceman Bryce
If trump wins people will be showing that woman's face a hundred years from now.
she appears to be having an earth moving orgasm.
01-16-2016 , 07:32 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by m_reed05
39/29/18 now.

Trump really pulling equity from Cruz and Rubio now. Cruz implosion in Iowa seems in progress. If Trump wins Iowa, and seems destined to run away with NH, it gets really hard for me to see how he loses.
cruz implosion seems almost inevitable given the rate he has been bleeding support. plus he has no safety net, no one is gonna go to bat for him. plus the skeletons are likely to keep coming out.

two weeks ago, who woulda thunk that it was possible his goose would be cooked by nh? that would be a pretty epic meltdown.

you are right, the trump train is gonna have momentum then. we will find out at that point whether the establishment can summon up enough "power" to shove rubio to the fore.
01-16-2016 , 07:36 PM
Nate might be looking to eat some crow for about the first time ever.
01-16-2016 , 08:38 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ccotenj
she appears to be having an earth moving orgasm.
Meanwhile Trump appears to be sucking the life-force out of her kid.
01-16-2016 , 08:42 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by mmbt0ne
Cruz's NY comments hurt him the most because of what it does for Trump's delegate count in high-delegate states.

NY is proportional, but triggers to winner-take-all on the district and state levels when a candidate gets >50% of the vote in a district or statewide.
NJ is winner take all
CA is winner take all

All of those states are likely to associate positively with the dog-whistle concept of NY values.

That's 318 delegates, or just over 25% of what someone needs to win the nomination.

At the end of the day, Iowa's proportional so the only real thing you're chasing is momentum. No one's going to build a significant delegate lead there. If Cruz wins he's gotta hope for a big bounce coming out or else Trump is gonna waffle crush him across NH (proportional, Trump's up 30:11), SC (WTA, Trump up 11) and NV (pro, Trump up 33:20) leading in to Super Tuesday.
Cruz is actually winning California right now but NY is lost to both him and Trump, its almost certainly going Rubio win with votes spread across the field. NJ looks all but locked up for Trump.

Cruz can kick NY as much as he likes and it probably doesn't affect him there. I also suspect kicking NY does nothing to harm his California support either California Republicans are way closer to Iowans than New Yorkers when you break them down, just linking the two because of their progressive liberal movements misses the fine details.

He is playing a long game delegate gathering strategy building a big machine for the entire race and not just concentrating on a single early state like Christie is for eg, however he needs Iowa and giving up delegates in NY to get an Iowa win for that early momentum and more importantly breaking the trump momentum is huge.

Trump winning all four then going into March as the presumptive unbeatable winner is a disaster for Cruz. Impressions matter.
01-16-2016 , 09:53 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ikestoys
Man with the economic drop and a nasty streak of populism in the air we live in dangerous times

Yeah.
01-16-2016 , 10:02 PM
I hope the economy is not too weak. The Fed still thinks they are on track for 3 rate increases.
01-16-2016 , 10:15 PM
All Hail Lord President TRUMP!
01-16-2016 , 10:17 PM
Or Bernie. Either would be a disaster, albeit for different reasons.
01-16-2016 , 10:28 PM
I would love to feel the Burn.
01-16-2016 , 10:30 PM
Well, then you're supporting someone who wants to make international trade much more difficult in response to an economic downturn. But hey, he's promised you a lot of goodies without any plan to pay for it, what could go wrong?
01-16-2016 , 10:35 PM
The more we spend on goodies the less we have available to spend killing people all over the globe. I call that a win.

      
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