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Who Will Be The 2016 Republican Nominee? (It's Donald Trump) Who Will Be The 2016 Republican Nominee? (It's Donald Trump)

05-03-2016 , 06:22 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by FlyWf
#NeverTrump beginning to fade away.

The one thing we might see, beyond that we're probably in for a decade plus of out-and-proud white supremacy on the right wing fringe(TBH this pre-dated Trump, the alt-right/gamergate **** started to go big in 2013/2014), is the complete dissolution of the "villager" right wing fake centrist that talks about the deficit a lot, loves free trade, and claims not to have a problem with gays.

I think as we see all the figureheads of the simpering ****tard right(Douthat, Brooks, Will, etc.) either endorsing Trump or getting litmus-tested out of the GOP for their heresy that entire genre of writing might go extinct.
Jay Cost is having daily glorious meltdowns on Twitter over this. Worth reading.

Neocons -> Democrats is basically a done deal at this point
Paleocons -> bend the knee is also a done deal (most of them are cheerleading to begin with)
Various Laffer curve-obsessed people -> I have no idea
George Will -> is actually important because he represents a lot of those very specific bad opinionmaker types. No idea
Kristol -> will bend the knee, because of course he will
Peggy Noonan -> TRUMP lawn signs everywhere
05-03-2016 , 06:41 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DeadMoneyWalking
Tax increases increased debt and inequality
Premature withdrawal lost much of Iraq, leading to quiet re-entry.
DOJ suing private companies to hack cell phones.
Extensive surveillance and predator drone assassination.
Corrupt IRS.
Worse of relations with Libya, Egypt, Israel, Poland, Ukraine and Russia to name a few.
Obamacare,
Hacks in Scotus that have no respect for written law.
Anarchy in South Chicago.
Solyndra
Open border and Amnesty.

That's off the top of my head. Obama has weakened the republic by all classical measures. Only a pure ideologue who agrees with all his social policies should call him a good president.
Considering about a this of your list are essentially fabricated non-stories, Microbet is looking pretty good.
05-03-2016 , 06:54 AM
BTW,

California Republican Presidential Primary
KABC/SurveyUSA
Trump 54 (previous poll last month: 40)
Cruz 20 (32)
Kasich 16 (17)

That last poll was the one where Cruz and Kasich were both leading in parts of the state. In this poll, Kasich is still somehow within 7 in the Bay Area and would probably win at least a couple of districts, but that's about it. When Trump wins Indiana tonight, all he'll need to do to reach 1237 is to hit triple digits in California which seems like a lock.
05-03-2016 , 06:54 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Money2Burn
Considering about a this of your list are essentially fabricated non-stories, Microbet is looking pretty good.
Did I imagine Black Friday too?
05-03-2016 , 07:39 AM
I Think I'm Going To Be Sick ...

It's looking increasingly like adanthar will be right: Barring a last minute political earthquake - or divine intervention - Donald Trump will be the GOP nominee. My confident prediction of a brokered convention and chaos in the GOP will go up in flames.

When it comes to great (incredibly astute) political predictions, I'm zero for 2. My first epiphany was predicting Democrats would hold on to the Senate in the 2014 mid-term elections. (We all know how that one turned out ...) Second was my prediction, as far back as last July or August, that no Republican candidate would get the necessary 1,237 delegate votes on the first ballot which would result in a contested convention and a Republican crackup. Great prognosticating ...

Never one to give up hope, I'll make my next great prediction: Donald Trump will be elected our 45th President! (Hopefully I'll be 0 for 3 after the second Tuesday in November.)

On the plus side our football team will still be National Champions of college football, so all is not lost.
05-03-2016 , 07:53 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DeadMoneyWalking
Premature withdrawal lost much of Iraq, leading to quiet re-entry.
so much wanting. bush signed the sofa bro.
05-03-2016 , 07:59 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Alan C. Lawhon
I Think I'm Going To Be Sick ...

It's looking increasingly like adanthar will be right: Barring a last minute political earthquake - or divine intervention - Donald Trump will be the GOP nominee. My confident prediction of a brokered convention and chaos in the GOP will go up in flames.

When it comes to great (incredibly astute) political predictions, I'm zero for 2. My first epiphany was predicting Democrats would hold on to the Senate in the 2014 mid-term elections. (We all know how that one turned out ...) Second was my prediction, as far back as last July or August, that no Republican candidate would get the necessary 1,237 delegate votes on the first ballot which would result in a contested convention and a Republican crackup. Great prognosticating ...

Never one to give up hope, I'll make my next great prediction: Donald Trump will be elected our 45th President! (Hopefully I'll be 0 for 3 after the second Tuesday in November.)

On the plus side our football team will still be National Champions of college football, so all is not lost.
They always say; the third time's the charm
05-03-2016 , 08:01 AM
So who the hell is TRUMP going to pick for VP? Christie and Gingrich are the obvious two, but Susana Martinez looks like a dream fit. It's hard to imagine she wants it, though.
05-03-2016 , 08:12 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by AsianNit
Bigger tax cuts and bigger wars.
Not to mention that trump surrounds himself with extremely incompetent yes men, which would worsen pretty much any situation imaginable.
05-03-2016 , 08:15 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ChrisV
So who the hell is TRUMP going to pick for VP? Christie and Gingrich are the obvious two, but Susana Martinez looks like a dream fit. It's hard to imagine she wants it, though.
I think this will be a big sign on how we should expect Trump to do in the general. Any normal retread Republican is not the answer he needs. He is going to need to balance out his ticket and pick someone totally off the wall that will appeal to Dem populists. I'm not sure who that someone could be, but I imagine a Trump-Sanders ticket could beat Hillary.
05-03-2016 , 08:22 AM
I'm sure Bernie will jump right on that, as will any other magical GOP+10 unicorn
05-03-2016 , 08:27 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by maxtower
I think this will be a big sign on how we should expect Trump to do in the general. Any normal retread Republican is not the answer he needs. He is going to need to balance out his ticket and pick someone totally off the wall that will appeal to Dem populists. I'm not sure who that someone could be, but I imagine a Trump-Sanders ticket could beat Hillary.
TRUMP is the populist.

He needs a strong conservative to unite the ticket.

I would say Nikki Haley might be the dream VP for Trump. Of course she doesn't like him though.

Scott Walker would be a good fit for him. But he endorsed Cruz.
05-03-2016 , 08:30 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ChrisV
So who the hell is TRUMP going to pick for VP? Christie and Gingrich are the obvious two, but Susana Martinez looks like a dream fit. It's hard to imagine she wants it, though.
I just have a hard time seeing Trump picking a woman as his VP, even if it seems like good politics. He's such a chauvinist, in fact I can't imagine a woman wanting to share the ticket with him.

Is it off the wall to think Ben Carson? One of the few people Trump goes out of his way to say nice things about on the stump. And he would fit with the outsider theme.
05-03-2016 , 08:32 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by revots33
I just have a hard time seeing Trump picking a woman as his VP, even if it seems like good politics. He's such a chauvinist, in fact I can't imagine a woman wanting to share the ticket with him.

Is it off the wall to think Ben Carson? One of the few people Trump goes out of his way to say nice things about on the stump. And he would fit with the outsider theme.
It's not off the wall to think about Carson.

But, Trump has explicitly said he wants a politician to be VP.

If Trump wants to play the "Black" card for ticket diversity; Tim Scott would be a huge win for him.
05-03-2016 , 08:42 AM
So Obama gets blamed for the pullout date set by Bush? The one where if we had troops remain they would have been subject to regular Iraqi law?
05-03-2016 , 08:43 AM
Here's an amazing ad from 1964. Imagine replacing "Goldwater" with "Trump," and this entire ad is absolutely devastating.



(From Rachel Maddow's show)

Some sort of "Conservatives for Hillary" SuperPAC needs to run ads exactly like this fall. Not some focus grouped bull**** with scary voiceover text, but a simple ad of a real Republican white guy in a suit saying that the presidency (and the Senate!) is too important to go to some nutjob, and it's better to vote for the liberal socialist pantsuited one than the orange ball of rage.
05-03-2016 , 09:06 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ChrisV
So who the hell is TRUMP going to pick for VP?
Quote:
Originally Posted by maxtower
Trump is going to need to balance out his ticket and pick someone totally off the wall that will appeal to Dem populists. I'm not sure who that someone could be




only going for 5c on predictit
05-03-2016 , 09:09 AM
[Q UOTE=Noze;49940842]So Obama gets blamed for the pullout date set by Bush? The one where if we had troops remain they would have been subject to regular Iraqi law?[/QUOTE]

It was a common argument in these parts that Obama was responsible for Bush establishing the withdrawal date (until things went to ****.)
05-03-2016 , 09:12 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ChrisV
So who the hell is TRUMP going to pick for VP? Christie and Gingrich are the obvious two, but Susana Martinez looks like a dream fit. It's hard to imagine she wants it, though.

His daughter? The Trump blood is all that matters it seems. Only half kidding.
05-03-2016 , 09:19 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by seattlelou
His daughter? The Trump blood is all that matters it seems. Only half kidding.
Ugh, another period joke? Sexist much?
05-03-2016 , 09:20 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Shark Sandwich
Ugh, another period joke? Sexist much?

Wat?
05-03-2016 , 09:21 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ChrisV
So who the hell is TRUMP going to pick for VP?
Quote:
Originally Posted by seattlelou
His daughter? The Trump blood is all that matters it seems. Only half kidding.
05-03-2016 , 09:21 AM
When TRUMP is President, America will have blood coming out of its whatever.
05-03-2016 , 09:26 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ChrisV
When TRUMP is President, the world will have blood coming out of its whatever.
fyp.
05-03-2016 , 09:39 AM
Trump just suggested that Ted Cruz's father was involved in the JFK assassination during a Fox News phone call in

Quote:
“His father was with Lee Harvey Oswald prior to Oswald's being — you know, shot. I mean, the whole thing is ridiculous,” Trump said Tuesday during a phone interview with Fox News. “What is this, right prior to his being shot, and nobody even brings it up. They don't even talk about that. That was reported, and nobody talks about it.”
“I mean, what was he doing — what was he doing with Lee Harvey Oswald shortly before the death? Before the shooting?” Trump continued. “It’s horrible.”



      
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