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Copeland is not representative of anything. By-elections do not have any correlation with subsequent general elections, there is a wealth of evidence on this subject.
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Everyman and his dog knows by elections dont have any correlation with the GE.
However your level 1 superficial read is missing something very important, and very very obvious, you cant see the obvious because of utter fan boi blindness.
By elections have an internal logic, if you compare one by election to another, obvious patterns emerge.
One of these patterns is that the governing party loses its vote share, often losing quite safe seats,to go on to win them back in the GE. This is a very big noticeable consistent feature of by-elections.
I repeat the governing party doing poorly is a consistent and predictable feature of by-elections.
If you had to predict the outcome of a by-election and the only information you had to hand was previous by-election data, the opposition party losing a seat to the governing party would be a humongous dog.
Which is why it has not happened in 35 years.
You have done your best never to directly confront or accept this through our whole debate, you have been dodging it like a jam factory.
The Copeland result was a massive outlier and big defeat and just handwaving it away as a by-election is very poor reasoning which is just trying to obfuscate a truth that you do not want to confront.