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10-15-2016 , 06:35 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Husker
By that metric the Labour party must have been a complete and utter failure throughout it's existence then.
It used to do awesome things like introducing the NHS.

Ok that's been a while but Wilson was radically far to the left of Blair who could easily have been a tory - no-one would have thought it odd if he had been.
10-15-2016 , 06:37 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by BAIDS
how many times must the hard left be comprehensively rejected by the british electorate before you come to terms w the fact that you're going to have to compromise
Compromise is good. Capitulation is bad.

I dont know where all the defeatism has come from. Alex Salmond was on question time - if had listened to you lot there would be no SMP having all but a few seats in Scotland. Farage wouldn't get to be saying 'well you're not laughing now' (that would be a clearly good thing but the point remains).

When did everybody give up?

Last edited by chezlaw; 10-15-2016 at 06:42 AM.
10-15-2016 , 06:49 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by chezlaw
It used to do awesome things like introducing the NHS.

Ok that's been a while but Wilson was radically far to the left of Blair who could easily have been a tory - no-one would have thought it odd if he had been.
Wilson was just holding the bag till the next Tory government came along
10-15-2016 , 06:54 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by chezlaw
Compromise is good. Capitulation is bad.

I dont know where all the defeatism has come from. Alex Salmond was on question time - if had listened to you lot there would be no SMP having all but a few seats in Scotland. Farage wouldn't get to be saying 'well you're not laughing now' (that would be a clearly good thing but the point remains).

When did everybody give up?
The SNP are far to the right of Labour and are pretty centrist. Maybe even centre-right (when you ignore all their rhetoric and look at their actions). Apparently the word from their conference is that their budget will only be 'marginally' different from teh Tories.
10-15-2016 , 06:54 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Husker
Wilson was just holding the bag till the next Tory government came along
He was participating in the game. Both sides get a turn.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Husker
The SNP are far to the right of Labour and are pretty centrist. Maybe even centre-right (when you ignore all their rhetoric and look at their actions). Apparently the word from their conference is that their budget will only be 'marginally' different from teh Tories.
The point was that it's totally false to argue from the current polls and recent events to what is politically possible.

Successful political movements change the world. If people with good values dont do it then it will be the farages and trumps of this world who do because they're the only ones trying.

Last edited by chezlaw; 10-15-2016 at 06:59 AM.
10-16-2016 , 10:08 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by chezlaw
Compromise is good. Capitulation is bad.

I dont know where all the defeatism has come from. Alex Salmond was on question time - if had listened to you lot there would be no SMP having all but a few seats in Scotland. Farage wouldn't get to be saying 'well you're not laughing now' (that would be a clearly good thing but the point remains).

When did everybody give up?
This is something that I spend too much time thinking about.

Why, when I'm working for a quasi government organisation where everyone is paid far less than the market value of their skills, do most of my colleagues espouse right wing views and refuse to join the union?

Why have the Brits become so obsessed, unhealthily so imo, with the headline rate of income tax but continue to moan and whine about terrible train networks and public services, and an underfunded NHS?

Why do no politicians on the Left ever want to break down clearly the improvements that could be made for a few pence more on income tax for the mainly middle classes who surely could have done without some of the ostentatious excesses we've all seen since the 90s boom?

One of the worst things to ever happen to the Labour Party and to the UK as a whole was the death of John Smith, hardly a left winger in Labour terms but an inclusive and credible leader.
10-16-2016 , 02:32 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by chezlaw

Successful political movements change the world. If people with good values dont do it then it will be the farages and trumps of this world who do because they're the only ones trying.
You have a bit of quantum entanglement in that first sentence. I'll untangle it for you because you are my friend.


Some successful political movements bring about substantial change for the world or for a certain geographic region; for instance the American and French Revolutions and the rise of Simon Bolivar and revolutions in South America to give western examples. Some unsuccessful political movements (lasting less than decades lets say) also bring about substantial change for the world or for a certain geographic region, for example the rise of Fascism in Europe between the two world wars, or the 1911 Chinese revolution against the Qing Dynasty.

It is also contentious and very subjective as to what is really a successful political movement and more importantly, what is really progress in a political sense. See Machiavelli, Cicero, and that blowhard, Plato for some historical updates. Gibbon and Thucydides are excellent resources also, which is why they are largely ignored about this place*.

*this place being a pejorative term for the politics circus of 2+2.
10-16-2016 , 03:06 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Zeno
... for instance the American and French Revolutions...
Bloody colonists, any excuse to bring it up
10-16-2016 , 05:06 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by chezlaw
He was participating in the game. Both sides get a turn.


The point was that it's totally false to argue from the current polls and recent events to what is politically possible.

Successful political movements change the world. If people with good values dont do it then it will be the farages and trumps of this world who do because they're the only ones trying.

Deluded, vainglorious* posturing a la Corbyn leads to unsuccessful movements, entangling the left of British politics in a cluster**** of a civil war and giving the right free rein to rule for 15 years plus.

*More vain than glorious.

Last edited by BertieWooster; 10-16-2016 at 05:18 PM.
10-16-2016 , 05:08 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Zeno
Gibbon and Thucydides are excellent resources also, which is why they are largely ignored about this place*.

*this place being a pejorative term for the politics circus of 2+2.
The best part of this circus is when those who would be high wire acts come crashing down.
10-17-2016 , 09:41 AM
Quote:
A Conservative councillor in Surrey, Christian Holliday, has launched a petition calling for support of UK membership of the European Union to be declared treason.

The petition was added to the UK government and Parliament websites on 15 October.

If it attracts 100,000 signatures, Parliament will be asked to consider for debate that the "Treason Felony Act be amended to include the following offences:

"To imagine, devise, promote, work, or encourage others, to support [the] UK becoming a member of the European Union.

"To conspire with foreign powers to make the UK, or part of the UK, become a member of the EU."
u bluddy wot m8
10-18-2016 , 10:49 AM
So the 16 million people who voted Remain are to go to prison for treason now.

The UK may need those foreign workers after all.
10-18-2016 , 05:00 PM
im oddly fascinated by this story http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016...-approached-t/

how in the world can you carry out cost/benefit analysis on a showpiece boat? cost: a massive amount of money, benefit: it floats, hopefully.
10-19-2016 , 03:20 PM
Latest Ipsos Mori poll



10-19-2016 , 06:17 PM
I'm surprised labour are doing that well.


Also, I think they can just lump in Con and UKIP together, there's very little difference these days
10-22-2016 , 09:22 AM
If ever anything sums up Labour these days it's the Witney by election. All those new members joining the party, locally it more than doubled in size from around 500 to over 1200, and yet it's share of the vote has gone down and it's dropped from 2nd to 3rd place.
10-22-2016 , 09:42 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Zeno
You have a bit of quantum entanglement in that first sentence. I'll untangle it for you because you are my friend.


Some successful political movements bring about substantial change for the world or for a certain geographic region; for instance the American and French Revolutions and the rise of Simon Bolivar and revolutions in South America to give western examples. Some unsuccessful political movements (lasting less than decades lets say) also bring about substantial change for the world or for a certain geographic region, for example the rise of Fascism in Europe between the two world wars, or the 1911 Chinese revolution against the Qing Dynasty.

It is also contentious and very subjective as to what is really a successful political movement and more importantly, what is really progress in a political sense. See Machiavelli, Cicero, and that blowhard, Plato for some historical updates. Gibbon and Thucydides are excellent resources also, which is why they are largely ignored about this place*.

*this place being a pejorative term for the politics circus of 2+2.
I'm not referring to revolutions - when have they ever achieved anyhting worthwhile

Success can be moving the center significantly in the movements direction, or specific large achievements that stick for a significant amount of time. The post war labout parties welfare state is an example of a good one, Thatcherism is an example of a bad one and if it happens brexit will be a very bad but incredible success for Farage & co (good/bad is imo of course)
10-24-2016 , 12:33 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Husker
Latest Ipsos Mori poll



There's something about this I don't buy. The Torys are up 10 points on 2015 with Labour and Lib Dems staying roughly where they are. Supposedly all those northern red fortresses which UKIP did quite well in are all going to go blue?

Also, is it just English constituencies? SNP account for about 5% of the 2015 vote.
10-24-2016 , 12:59 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by joejoe1337
There's something about this I don't buy. The Torys are up 10 points on 2015 with Labour and Lib Dems staying roughly where they are. Supposedly all those northern red fortresses which UKIP did quite well in are all going to go blue?

Also, is it just English constituencies? SNP account for about 5% of the 2015 vote.
I think they only include parties who are contesting seats nationwide.

*Edit, just checked the Ipsos Mori page for more detail and it has 'other parties' at 7% so this would include the SNP etc
10-24-2016 , 01:02 PM
Hmm that's what I figured. Seems like it could really distort the results of a Westminster election
10-24-2016 , 01:10 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by joejoe1337
Hmm that's what I figured. Seems like it could really distort the results of a Westminster election
See the edit I included. There shouldn't be any distortion.
10-24-2016 , 01:34 PM
The polling averages make for interesting viewing

10-25-2016 , 11:58 AM
Yes, it shows big swings are possible in relatively short time frames, which depends on a variety of factors (not least the quality of the surveying. It shows that people's ideas fluctuate.
10-25-2016 , 12:26 PM
Looks pretty in-keeping with the qualitative narrative to me:

New PM gets a honeymoon bounce
Tory party in turmoil in the run-up to the referendum where its politicians are all disagreeing with each other
UKIP falling apart after winning its single goal
Nobody anywhere talking about the lib dems
10-25-2016 , 01:07 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by joejoe1337
Looks pretty in-keeping with the qualitative narrative to me:

New PM gets a honeymoon bounce
Tory party in turmoil in the run-up to the referendum where its politicians are all disagreeing with each other
UKIP falling apart after winning its single goal
Nobody anywhere talking about the lib dems
Part of the Tory bounce will also be UKIP members heading back there.
Labour on a downward slope since April and it's continuing.

      
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