I listened to Rick Tyler making what (I believe) is the most accurate prediction vis-à-vis Trump and the future of the GOP. (Rick Tyler was a top campaign aide for senator Ted Cruz during the 2016 GOP primaries. He is now a political commentator appearing frequently on MSNBC.) Wednesday or Thursday morning, during a panel discussion on "Morning Joe," the topic was whether (or when?) Republicans would "turn" on Donald Trump. Some of the panelists seemed convinced that this Michael Wolff book, full of its bombshell revelations, was the last straw ... that all the steamy and salacious "Trump gossip" will surely turn the majority of voters against Trump and the GOP. After quietly listening to all the pontificating "libruls" on the panel making their points, Tyler cut to the chase. His opinion is that the upcoming 2018 mid-term elections will decide Trump's fate. Tyler believes that if Republicans are clobbered in the mid-terms, suffering huge [Congressional] losses that produce Democratic majorities in both the House and the Senate, what's left of the GOP will turn on Trump. Rick Tyler believes that is what it will take - the GOP suffering a horrendous "thumping" at the polls. In the absence of such a thumping, Trump hangs on.

Charlie Cook, the famed psychic who runs the widely followed "Cook Political Report," has already went on record predicting a [Democratic] "wave election" for 2018. (Nate Silver and his crew over at Five-Thirty-Eight have extensively discussed the likelihood of a Democratic "wave" as well.) There seems to be a general consensus that 2018 is going to be tough for the GOP. It's possible that Republicans will lose the House - Democrats only need a net pickup of 24 seats to regain control of that body. The real indicator of whether or not 2018 will be a true wave election [for the Dems] will be what happens in the Senate. If Republicans don't keep (or increase) their majority in the Senate, that will be a true debacle - for which Trump will be blamed.

obviously tyler's right and everyone else on that panel is a moron.

Prediction:

Democrats do not regain the House or Senate.

Democrats will gain at most a handful of House seats.

Democrats will lose multiple seats in the Senate.

Trump's demise is fake news.

Trump is the Teflon Don.
Nothing sticks to Trump.

.

This reads like the sincere prediction of a center leftwinger and not at all the wishcasting of a hardcore right winger

I'm up for prop bets but for some reason I think you're freerollin

Prediction: Trump drops a major slur on live TV in 2018. Not necessarily a straight-up n-bomb, but something like he's be reported to say in private (e.g. all Haitians have aids)

he's definitely gonna call liz warren pocohantas

I predict that the tax windfall for corporations and the rich will trickle down more than expected. Not because of economic theory but rather because I think that the rich will see this as a short term opportunity to "rescue" a discredited theory long enough to help them win elections.

lol, respectfully disagree

Shut the **** up David.

It will be good to see Walmart's employees get off public assistance.

What would this even look like? Close to 0% chance of it happening and completely unnecessary as the rubes will continue to vote against their own economic interests as long as they get their cultural grievance war.

Are you saying that the upper classes have wed themselves to a political party to enact their political designs on the other classes like a kind of class warfare?

Bizarre. What mechanism do you think the rich will use in their attempt to rescue the theory? Which rich will do it, how will they make the decision, collaborate and enforce participation?

I predict some rich people will donate to The Heritage Foundation so they can write papers claiming that trickle down worked.

Yeah, some might feel there's a need to shore up the public deception, but that's never going to include the dangerous precedent of delivering actual benefit to lower classes.

Denying them the ability to bootstrap would be a huge sin.

Reading this article:

https://www.politico.com/magazine/st...-bannon-216252

reminds me of a comment purportedly made by President Lyndon Johnson. In response to a question concerning why he kept a "disloyal" aide on his staff - an aide who was reportedly leaking damaging information to the press - Johnson replied: "I would rather have [the disloyal aide] pissing on me from inside the tent than pissing on me from outside the tent." Maybe Trump is now wishing he had followed President Johnson's sage advice with respect to Steve Bannon.

w00t:

I love spectacular predictions like this! There's no middle ground here - or room for waddling and obfuscation. You'll either be proved a genius clairvoyant - or a flaming idiot.

No

Dems Take the senate but republicans keep the house. ill go 51 - 49 on senate 221 to 214 in house

Lots of the companies that announced those bonuses have already announced layoffs. Ofc that part didn't get the same press.

The nonsensical theory of "this time they won't do what they always do" gets me too often. I never get this mentality.

This one is pretty far fetched but I could see Republicans leveraging Mueller investigation against Trump.
1) convince Trump they can't protect him and Mueller has enough to take him down.
2) Trumps physical reveals serious illness and he has to leave office.
3) Mueller investigation gets reframed as unnecessary persecution of frail old man who is no longer in power and gets shutdown.
4) Dems momentum evaporates as Anti-trumpism fades and they are left trying to convince Americans that accessible healthcare and functional regulatory agencies are desirable
5) Republicans hold house and Senate in midterms

Trump seems pretty convinced that Mueller is going to hand him an "all clear" note any day now, doubt he'd believe Rs

The TV adoption of Trump's presidency will be the biggest event in TV history. It will be bigger than GoT, BB, BBT & Lost combined.

I figure one season per year + possible prequel and/or Cohen spinoff.