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Originally Posted by goofyballer
TLDR cliffs: This doesn't add up at all
I'm all on board with the thread, but I don't know about this one, and with a bit of knowledge related to ag, I feel like I have to comment. When I read this story, it just didn't seem to add up. Perhaps it's just the journalist not having a clue about ag and the vernacular etc and not being able to convey.
It is hard to make judgments because the facts are very unclear...how many farmers are involved, how many fields are involved, how much yield damage, etc.
Generally, or at least in my experience, seed quality would be related to 1. germination (the seeds grow into plants) 2. genetics (the plants grow and yield well) 3. technologies (the seeds are genetically modified, usually to have a herbicide resistance to herbicides useful to kill weeds (roundup, liberty, dicamba, or 2-4,d).
They start by saying the seeds germinated and grew into plants. But the plants were weird and didn't yield well. Then at the end, they switch and say the seeds tested had 0 germination.
If the seeds truly had 0% germination, there would be 0 plants growing in the the field to notice height, leaf shape, low yield etc.
Second, plant height has very little correlation to yield, and is often just a variety characteristic. Some varieties are taller, some shorter. Usually the best varieties are not the tallest.
Different varieties can also have different leaf shapes. Really odd leaf size/shape would most likely be the result of herbicide damage. Either their own doing (usually accidentally) or drifting from a neighbor (also usually accidentally) these things happen quite frequently. Shorter stunted plants would also be consistent with herbicide damage.
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Meanwhile, fields that used other soybean seeds yielded about 48 bushels per acre, but the Stine Seed products yielded less than half of that, Jackson said in the lawsuit.
Burrell also said in the suit that fields where another variety of seeds were used grew 50 bushels per acre, but Stine's yielded less than five bushels per acre.
These 2 paragraphs back to back are kind of nonsense.
It's not a satisfying answer, but there really are a ton of factors in play here, and bad seed seems unlikely to be the cause to me. And bad seed deliberately given to sabotage specific black farmers seems really unlikely, just because of the logistics of how the seed companies and dealers work.
But like I said there are a ton of factors in play, and fields right next to each can definitely yield quite differently based on timing of planting, variety, drainage, fertility, weather, disease, inputs... etc.
Having fields yield half of other fields in the area would be unlikely but not extraordinarily so. Having fields yielding 50, right next to theirs yielding 5 (this isn't really clear from the 2 nonsense paragraphs I quoted above), would be very rare.
It really sounds like herbicide damage to me, but there's just not enough info to be decisive. The dicamba drift the company suggests could certainly be to fault. It's a hot button issue right now, because of a new seed technology released in the last 2 years, that has resulted in a lot more dicamba being sprayed, especially later in the season. It is a very volatile chemical and can volatize and move through the air days after being sprayed. Many farmers want it banned, because it has caused so much off target damage.
If they were sabotaging with bad seed, the only plausible way I see of it happening is the dealer/salesmen selling them years old seed that has very bad germination.