Open Side Menu Go to the Top
Register
The Tragic Death of the Republican Party The Tragic Death of the Republican Party

01-25-2013 , 08:06 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mondogarage
Here is a good explanation of why the GOP is not going to win over a majority of the black community, no matter who their candidate is (as long as their actual policies and governing philosophy are what they have been for the last couple of decades):
Most urban areas have have elected Democrats for 50 years. How has that worked out for blacks? LBJ, a Democrat, was the person who passed all the war on poverty crap that has indentured people. Democrats are blocking school choice and vouchers not Republicans.

The Republicans just need to do a better job selling why they are better for minorities because they are.
01-25-2013 , 08:08 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Riverman
Republicans don't seem to get it. The financial elites that run the party don't endorse bat**** insane social views because they agree with them, its because a large majority of the country does not endorse right-wing economic policy and so they have to pull voters in from somewhere else. Social crazies are the best such group because of the intensity of their craziness (they'll by and large ignore other policies they don't like or that are against their interests) and the sheer number of people (there are a **** ton of really religious white people). Now, the number of such people is shrinking in relative terms, but as others have said you can't just abandon them because, well, without them you get like 20% of the vote.

Basically, the GOP is trapped. It can't win nationally with the crazy wingnut teabagger contingent, but it can't win without them either. And it is a huge long term negative that in GOP strongholds, primaries are crazy-offs. Because when these clowns get to Washington normal people are like wait, what, no way in hell am I voting GOP for anything.
This is spot on. The idea that true fiscal conservatism or whatever the rhetoric, would kick ass without all the religious social noise is a joke. Guys like Rove and Murdock aren't stupid, you don't hitch your wagon to the social conservatives if you had other better options. Although this strategy seems to have been just enough to get gwb into the white house, I think it's all downhill from here on the national stage at least with the evolving demographics.

I bet if you polled social conservatives a string of questions that essentially implied; if they would accept western european socialism if it meant stopping gays and abortions, i bet most of them snap take that offer, enthusiastically.

Last edited by Cuban B; 01-25-2013 at 08:14 PM.
01-25-2013 , 08:10 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Riverman
Well, it seems to me they should have way more open primaries, and vote in open primary states first. Surely someone in charge realizes the degree to which they are totally ****ing themselves with the current nominating process.
Open primaries leave you vulnerable to getting trolled by activists voting for the weaker candidate to extend the primary. What they actually need is even more closed off primaries and more control over the whole nomination process. Like, the Wall Street money guys got to pick their candidate directly and also pick his platform and then just let the crazy base choose between Jon Huntsman or Chris Christie and the black guy, that might win.

They can't be giving people the opportunity to boo gay soldiers or throw peanuts at random black camera people. Absolute control of the brand.

Can you have a poll tax in primaries? I bet you can. Make it $500 a vote. That'll keep Jethro out of the caucuses.

Last edited by FlyWf; 01-25-2013 at 08:16 PM.
01-25-2013 , 08:12 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by glenrice1
Most urban areas have have elected Democrats for 50 years. How has that worked out for blacks? LBJ, a Democrat, was the person who passed all the war on poverty crap that has indentured people. Democrats are blocking school choice and vouchers not Republicans.

The Republicans just need to do a better job selling why are the are better for minorities because they are.
If by "better", you mean "legislating away their votes, or causing them to count 3/5ths of their own", you'd be right.

What you're euphemistically labeling "school choice" is no more than funneling tax dollars to chuch-sponsored schools, so um yeah...if the Catholic Church (just as an example) wants to say their schools don't have to treat their employees like the rest of Americans, then no, they can't have any of my tax dollars.

What you call "indenturing people" is flat out incorrect. White flight to the suburbs, shipping manufacturing jobs to India and China, shutting down factories because you don't like the existence of a union, now those are good ways to keep a brother down. Don't see much of that happening via Democrats.

It speaks volumes that the most Republican states in the nation are far more reliant on government handouts than they are contributors.

http://www.motherjones.com/politics/...ng-charts-maps
01-25-2013 , 08:14 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cuban B
I bet if you polled social conservatives a string of questions that essentially implied - if they would accept western european socialism if it meant stopping gays and abortions, i bet most of them snap take that offer, enthusiastically.
And if they first had to answer the question of what is western european socialism, before they could answer the second question, most of them would not even be able to complete the survey.
01-25-2013 , 08:17 PM
Black Republican vs White Democrat isnt some unknowable matchup. The racial difference compared to white vs white is 5-10%.

Herman Cain just isnt charismatic and he says all the wrong things to engage the black community. He and his family avoided the civil rights movement choosing to keep his head down, he talks about how black people are solely to blame for their higher unemployment and lower education stats and that there is no such thing as institutional racism in America.

On that 5-10% spread he would be on the low end. When I said he was generally disliked in the 2012 cycle I was not speculating, there was a point that he was polling in a matchup vs Obama worse than Mitt Romney just among black voters.
01-25-2013 , 08:18 PM
Mondo- Glenrice means indenturing black people by giving poor people food stamps. It's unclear why this doesn't indenture white people.

Attention poor black people: Republicans will be better for you by literally taking dinner off the table. Vote Palin/Cruz, where there absolutely will not be a chicken in every pot.
01-25-2013 , 08:20 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by glenrice1
Most urban areas have have elected Democrats for 50 years. How has that worked out for blacks? LBJ, a Democrat, was the person who passed all the war on poverty crap that has indentured people. Democrats are blocking school choice and vouchers not Republicans.

The Republicans just need to do a better job selling why they are better for minorities because they are.
For the record this is why the Republican establishment knows they cannot even try to win over the black vote. Because the Republican base is like glenrice here and doesnt get why black people dont like Republican "sink or swim with a brick tied around your neck" policies.

Crazy black people that overwhelmingly work min wage paying jobs requiring food stamps and other welfare to keep afloat grinding it through life hoping to retire at a reasonable age to get at least half a decade on state pension before dying. Dont they realise how much better they would be if they were paid less, didnt get welfare to top up their earnings and they had no social safety net there for their end of life care.
01-25-2013 , 08:21 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mondogarage
And if they first had to answer the question of what is western european socialism, before they could answer the second question, most of them would not even be able to complete the survey.
That's why i said asked questions that "essentially implied" western european socialism; it's the obamacare effect where you ask people if they support obamacare and a lot say no, but it you ask the same people if they support the major things obamacare does without them knowing it's obamacare, most of those same people support those individual policies.
01-25-2013 , 08:22 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by [Phill]
Black Republican vs White Democrat isnt some unknowable matchup. The racial difference compared to white vs white is 5-10%.

Herman Cain just isnt charismatic and he says all the wrong things to engage the black community. He and his family avoided the civil rights movement choosing to keep his head down, he talks about how black people are solely to blame for their higher unemployment and lower education stats and that there is no such thing as institutional racism in America.

On that 5-10% spread he would be on the low end. When I said he was generally disliked in the 2012 cycle I was not speculating, there was a point that he was polling in a matchup vs Obama worse than Mitt Romney just among black voters.
Like, in that story there's a little bit where Cain was joking that his Secret Service code name could be "Cornbread".

A racist white person might find that disarming and funny. A not racist white person will find it a little sad. A black person finds that **** infuriating.
01-25-2013 , 08:26 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by FlyWf
Mondo- Glenrice means indenturing black people by giving poor people food stamps. It's unclear why this doesn't indenture white people.

Attention poor black people: Republicans will be better for you by literally taking dinner off the table. Vote Palin/Cruz, where there absolutely will not be a chicken in every pot.
C'mon Fly, you haven't been reading enough non-Krugman economists. Don't you know about the increasing marginal utility of money? Give money to poor people, and the poorer they are, the lazier they become. Give money to rich people, and the richer they are, the more productive they become. The inflection point is somewhere around $250k annual income.
01-25-2013 , 08:27 PM
Cain's new radio show is outstanding for some lunchtime derp.
01-25-2013 , 08:29 PM
Is Lunchtime Derp a country in Asia?
01-25-2013 , 08:31 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by FlyWf
Like, in that story there's a little bit where Cain was joking that his Secret Service code name could be "Cornbread".

A racist white person might find that disarming and funny. A not racist white person will find it a little sad. A black person finds that **** infuriating.


01-25-2013 , 08:35 PM
lol exactly
01-25-2013 , 08:36 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MrWookie
It's not just 5 people saying racist things. And yes, it was the GOP actually being racist. When a Democrat says racist things, he gets rebuked. When Bill O'Reilly goes on the air on Fox and says that lazy minorities wanting free stuff from the government was the reason Obama won, everyone just nodded in agreement, and he still has a job. Furthermore, the actions of entire state governments in FL, OH, PA, AZ and others to marginalize non-whites and limit their capacity to vote was blatant racism by more than just a few specific individuals.
Maybe a dumb question here, do you think racist GOP voters enjoy being racist? Like, is being racist a pleasant experience for them?
01-25-2013 , 08:38 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by [Phill]
Is Lunchtime Derp a country in Asia?
You're confusing that with Lunchderpaderpaderpastanstan.
01-25-2013 , 08:38 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Oroku$aki
Maybe a dumb question here, do you think racist GOP voters enjoy being racist? Like, is being racist a pleasant experience for them?
Well, a lot of posters in this forum enjoy the smug sense of superiority they get when they compare themselves to their imagined caricature of the welfare kings and queens.
01-25-2013 , 08:39 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Oroku$aki
Maybe a dumb question here, do you think racist GOP voters enjoy being racist? Like, is being racist a pleasant experience for them?
They don't think they are racist. They've never said the N word (in public) and are generally polite to the less uppity sort of black person. Those are basically the two conditions.
01-25-2013 , 08:51 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MrWookie
Well, a lot of posters in this forum enjoy the smug sense of superiority they get when they compare themselves to their imagined caricature of the welfare kings and queens.
And here, we have the actual average welfare recipient.

http://www.utexas.edu/depts/ic2/et/learner/general.html

A single mother in her 20s-30s, slightly liklier to be white than she is black, as likely to have completed high school as not, with three children or less (but usually, two children or less), and with recent work experience.

Quote:
In an ongoing series of public policy reports, the Urban Institute in Washington, D.C. has collected data and research profiling the U.S. welfare population. The welfare population is characterized as mostly single mothers in their 20s and 30s with one or two children. The population is fairly distributed among the major ethnic groups and covers a wide range of educational attainment.
THISISWHATCONSERVATIVESWISHWASN'TTRUE.JPG
01-25-2013 , 08:53 PM
Huh? Conservatives are pretty happy to acknowledge that is true. That's where the "popping out kids for that sweet welfare money" meme comes from.
01-25-2013 , 08:56 PM
Except a single mother in her 30s with two or less children isn't exactly popping them out.
01-25-2013 , 08:57 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Huehuecoyotl
The GOP will be back because its purpose is to be in power not blind fealty to an ideology.
This is exactly what they have NOT been doing.
01-25-2013 , 09:02 PM
Wookie- It would be horrifyingly unpleasant for a conservative to go to a single mother of 2 and tell her she's a leech to her face, that the state subsidizing her rent check is indenturing her into a plantation mindset.

Every actual poor person the conservative has in their extended family history was obviously just down on their luck. It's the fictional poor people of chain emails and "my cousin heard" that are the takers.
01-25-2013 , 09:04 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by FlyWf
Wookie- It would be horrifyingly unpleasant for a conservative to go to a single mother of 2 and tell her she's a leech to her face, that the state subsidizing her rent check is indenturing her into a plantation mindset.
Dude, Mittens Q. RMoney could do that without even a hint of unpleasantness.

You remember that sick cripple he told he'd throw in jail, with a smile on his face?

      
m