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The Tragic Death of the Democratic Party The Tragic Death of the Democratic Party

11-09-2016 , 06:58 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by suzzer99
Yes it's all about ethical standards. Which is why Trump's scam university, stiffing contractors, compulsive lying and pussy grabbing all got a collective shrug from the Rust Belt anger bears - who apparently now hold this country by the balls until enough Boomers die off.
I am not surprised. Scammers routinely target older people.

Thing is though, me and you in our senility will be just as susceptible and I don't think this is a phenomena that will fade.
11-09-2016 , 07:01 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JoltinJake
Exit polls have Hillary winning by 10 points among people who said the economy was their number one issue. Trump won bigly with people who said immigration or terrorism was most important.
Isn't immigration and economy much the same issue?

The economy is big factor, whatever the exact mix is. And it's those folks who can be pried away from il Duce if the Dems would offer something better than war and bank deregulation.
11-09-2016 , 07:12 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bill Haywood
Isn't immigration and economy much the same issue?
Could be, I mentioned that as a possibility.
11-09-2016 , 07:14 PM
One thing I was really struck by during the Brexit campaign was how hamstrung the Remain camp was in countering the narrative that immigration was heavily impacting the QOL of John Smith in the UK.

The Remain camp could not really go hard in the paint that maybe why public services were feeling a bit strained was due to this thing called Austerity, the clue is in the name.

The PM and the Chancellor, two big hitters for Remain, actually had a vested interest in the its all immigrants fault narrative as it hid the truth of the pain their Austerity policies were causing.
11-09-2016 , 07:23 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Klingbard
Cross-posted from the gameday thread, seems like it belongs here anyway.

---
There's no hard data at the end of this thinkpiece so soon after the election to confirm its electoral implications, but we know that D turnout was down. And it explains exactly why Clinton was the wrong choice to turn out rural whites.

https://medium.com/@Brocktoon/lexing...42e#.1edvdi24e

Hint: It's not about safe spaces.


--
She lost almost every county outside the big cities. Just like the competitive rust belt primaries. She was not their candidate.
So yeah these people happened the swing votes. But w/o the base of Boomers and perfectly well-off suburban racist anger bears like chiefsplanet, Lexington KY doesn't get to decide the election. They're just a sad story in a place that got left behind.
11-09-2016 , 07:26 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by O.A.F.K.1.1
Its almost like history was not chock full of examples of economic problems creating racism and racial tension and fears about immigration and johny foreigner, which fears about terrorism are merely a modulation of.

Its obviously hard to modulate how big those problems are, given I am looking at this through the lens of two economies.

Obviously things have improved since 2008, but a lot of that improvement has been highly concentrated. Where I live in the UK there has been a massive fall in the working conditions and wages of many middle class peers, mostly because much of the employment here is Public Sector.

They still have jobs, but the conditions and prospects within that job are demonstrably worse than prior to 2008.

Austerity ftw.
The rust belt swing voters are the big story here. But the rest of the GOP base consists of tons of very comfortable people who happen to be on the old side, kinda racist, or just hooked on FoxNews. It's way too easy to paint the entire Trump coalition as a down and out rust belter.
11-09-2016 , 07:32 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by suzzer99
The rust belt swing voters are the big story here. But the rest of the GOP base consists of tons of very comfortable people who happen to be on the old side, kinda racist, or just hooked on FoxNews. It's way too easy to paint the entire Trump coalition as a down and out rust belter.
I can totally believe that, and it was the same with Brexit, there was a massive swath of angry working class vote for Brexit, but also a huge block of older traditional conservative middle class affluent support.

There is a wider point though, I dont know how its going down in USA, but plenty of Middle Class people in the UK have seen their deal deteriorate since 2008, sure they still have the nice house "good" job etc, but their purchasing power has declined and their pension has got worse, as has their sick pay and holiday entitlement.

These are all people that had become used to the idea that the deal got better and better not worse.

Last edited by O.A.F.K.1.1; 11-09-2016 at 07:48 PM.
11-09-2016 , 07:34 PM
1. Fire EVERYONE in the DNC.
2. Bernie new head of DNC.
3. Run an actual progressive candidate in 2020, who fights to get money out of politics. Someone that people can actually get behind and be enthusiastic about voting for.

I saw on CNN pundits talking about Tim Kaine being next in line, LMAO. You want 4 more years of Trump?
11-09-2016 , 07:39 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Zimmer4141
Globalization has massively benefited consumers in first world countries aka everybody who lives there. Every American nominally benefits by having iPhones and shoes and shirts made with labor that costs 15 cents an hour.

This comes at the cost of the jobs of some people, but it's a net positive for developed countries.
If the market is allowing Apple to sell the new iPhone for $600 they are going to sell it for $600 regardless of whether it cost them $5 or $50 to make
11-09-2016 , 07:44 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by imjosh
1. Fire EVERYONE in the DNC.
2. Bernie new head of DNC.
3. Run an actual progressive candidate in 2020, who fights to get money out of politics. Someone that people can actually get behind and be enthusiastic about voting for.

I saw on CNN pundits talking about Tim Kaine being next in line, LMAO. You want 4 more years of Trump?
Right? At least Mondale got there
11-09-2016 , 07:47 PM
Price of labor and goods is a big part of what determines pricing, though. It may not be as direct with a high end company like Apple, but it gives a baseline for lower-end phones which in turn set the price range for higher-end phones.
11-09-2016 , 08:26 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bigmoney
The bright side of this is that it should be abundantly clear to the DNC that rolling out an establishment candidate in the next election cycle is clearly not a recipe for success in this political climate.
I think its pretty crazy to assume that is clear. It was a close election and the Dems are probably going to win the popular vote. Demographic changes alone in 4 years could turn this from an L to a W.
11-09-2016 , 08:27 PM
Voter suppression laws are probably coming to more states. We're likely to get a SCOTUS that is amenable to them. The demographic shifts mean squat if its hard/impossible for these people to get to the polls.
11-09-2016 , 08:28 PM
this
11-09-2016 , 08:28 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by dessin d'enfant
I think its pretty crazy to assume that is clear. It was a close election and the Dems are probably going to win the popular vote. Demographic changes alone in 4 years could turn this from an L to a W.
No, no, no, no.
11-09-2016 , 08:30 PM
If anyone doesn't get what I'm talking about, check out this astonishing statement from Bernie:

Quote:
“Donald Trump tapped into the anger of a declining middle class that is sick and tired of establishment economics, establishment politics and the establishment media. People are tired of working longer hours for lower wages, of seeing decent paying jobs go to China and other low-wage countries, of billionaires not paying any federal income taxes and of not being able to afford a college education for their kids - all while the very rich become much richer.

“To the degree that Mr. Trump is serious about pursuing policies that improve the lives of working families in this country, I and other progressives are prepared to work with him. To the degree that he pursues racist, sexist, xenophobic and anti-environment policies, we will vigorously oppose him.”
11-09-2016 , 08:31 PM
and bobman has had a bunch of strong, accurate and very very smart takes in the last 24 hours
11-09-2016 , 08:32 PM
As the demographics move further away from a white majority and the country becomes more educated, the Democratic Party will make a comeback. This is simply a bump in the road. GOP supporters are due to die soon anyway
11-09-2016 , 08:50 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by imjosh
1. Fire EVERYONE in the DNC.
2. Bernie new head of DNC.
3. Run an actual progressive candidate in 2020, who fights to get money out of politics. Someone that people can actually get behind and be enthusiastic about voting for.

I saw on CNN pundits talking about Tim Kaine being next in line, LMAO. You want 4 more years of Trump?
In 4 years Tulsi Gabbard will still be relatively inexperienced for POTUS, but not that much different than Obama in 2008 trading some lawyering for soldiering.
11-09-2016 , 08:51 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SuperUberBob
As the demographics move further away from a white majority and the country becomes more educated, the Democratic Party will make a comeback. This is simply a bump in the road. GOP supporters are due to die soon anyway
I wonder if you might be a little more concerned if you still lived here.
11-09-2016 , 08:54 PM
His supporters are due to die soon? He just got 48% of the vote.
11-09-2016 , 09:03 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SuperUberBob
As the demographics move further away from a white majority and the country becomes more educated, the Democratic Party will make a comeback. This is simply a bump in the road. GOP supporters are due to die soon anyway
It's not that they are dying off, it's that white people without college degrees are going to be a shrinking percentage of the population going forward.
11-09-2016 , 09:06 PM
LOL at the old people dying off and that causing things to change. People tend to get more conservative as they get older, so all these liberal millennials will change a lot over the next 40 years. Don't forget that all of these boomers everyone here hates so much and likes to accuse of being racist were flower children back in the 60's.
11-09-2016 , 09:12 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by zikzak
I wonder if you might be a little more concerned if you still lived here.
Most of my family lives in America. So yes, I am concerned but not panicky.
11-09-2016 , 09:18 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Zimmer4141
Globalization has massively benefited consumers in first world countries aka everybody who lives there. Every American nominally benefits by having iPhones and shoes and shirts made with labor that costs 15 cents an hour.

This comes at the cost of the jobs of some people, but it's a net positive for developed countries.
I think you're overstating things. It's hard to define 'benefited' but if "cheaper things" is your only metric, then yes. But people also like having jobs. having a productive output is a huge source of happiness and a contributes to a feeling of individual purpose. the labor participation rate has plummeted over time. (for males, granted. but that needs to be considered given female participation has fortunately skyrocketed over the decades.). generally happiness has remained stable over time. It's not as simple as cheap chinese production = good.

      
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