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The Tragic Death of the Democratic Party The Tragic Death of the Democratic Party

11-22-2016 , 09:16 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by chuckleslovakian
There was like a month where he was practically eliminated. I feel like that month where the Bernie campaign started playing up the email thing was a net negative to the democrats. I mean Cruz and Kasich bailed when their time was up. I'm not really going to argue but that whole month made me uneasy.
Ok, "uneasy" seems reasonable. "Royally ****ed up", not so much. I mean, Bernie obviously thought that Hillary had an easy road ahead because the GOP nominated the dems dream opponent, so pushing his platform seemed correct at the time, especially considering he's too old to ever run again and do it himself.

Re: bolded, I'm not remembering this happening. But I'm biased. Do you have a link?
11-22-2016 , 09:37 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Double Eagle
Keepin it 1600 had Keith Ellison on the most recent pod and I liked his approach, cliff notes are to refocus on working class economics on the messaging side and grass roots turnout (including off years) on the organizational side.
Yea he seems very down to earth and plain spoken.
11-22-2016 , 10:45 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by WichitaDM
...

I mean you saw glimpses of it within the campaign also. Railroading Bernie through backroom dealing, the terrible way she handled lolparkinsons, not to mention the truly putrid campaign and debate performances (yes still better than Trump, but check my website x10 rather than debating being what stands out the most should tell you something). Then there is the lack of campaigning and a ground game that was much smaller than Obama.

I also think that people didn't like Hillary because we all recognize that co-worker we don't like who literally does anything to advance. And I'm sure some will see that as a misogynist comment but that's not the angle I'm coming from. I don't care if you are a man or women, the person who sells out everything for power or position is not going to be well liked. And in the end Hillary was transparently that.
Wanna know how I know you're lying?
11-22-2016 , 10:49 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by 5ive
Wanna know how I know you're lying?
"I don't care if you are a man or women"? That in reality she crushed the debates?
11-22-2016 , 11:04 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Oroku$aki
"I don't care if you are a man or women"? That in reality she crushed the debates?
More like some fancy retconning to arrive at the absurd statement, "putrid debate performances."

edit: u ninja'd me
11-22-2016 , 11:24 PM
Then again I have my own biases.

I believe the 3rd debate lost it for HRC. Millions of idiots saw that and thought, how dare the mean lady embarrass one of our own so badly.

Everybody's talking about coded language, so what do we think "tells it like it is" really means? It's the logical endpoint of criticizing Obama's egghead liberalness and celebrating idiocy.
11-22-2016 , 11:54 PM
Since we're in the mood for fingerpointing, I'd point out that the polarizing nature of the BLM movement played a role in Trump's success and I called it out as it was happening last summer:

http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...&postcount=789

http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...&postcount=794

http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...&postcount=795

http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...&postcount=797

http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...&postcount=809

http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...&postcount=827

http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...&postcount=831

http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...&postcount=867

http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...&postcount=896

http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...&postcount=964

Quote:
Originally Posted by Phone Booth
If you care about your movement or organization or whatever, either you come up with messaging that is mainstream or you need to deal with presidential candidates behind the scenes, keep the foot soldiers in line and assure them that their concerns are being addressed. A free-for-all may feel cathartic, but gives the opposition far too much ammunition.

BLM wanting the liberals to explicitly acknowledge the pro-blackness of their progressive policy pretty much for no concrete gain whatsoever is a massive political miscalculation given that lower-middle class whites have been duped for years into voting against progressive agenda on the mere suspicion that progressive = pro-black. This is especially unfortunate for the liberals given that progressive economic agenda for the first time in a while seemed destined to win big.

Maybe the stars are really aligning for Donald Trump - he's definitely closest to where the average voter is right now.
It's strange to me that the left can't make up their mind. On the one hand, America is deeply and systematically racist against blacks. But on the other hand, they act as though racists can be converted overnight to support explicitly pro-black messaging and explicitly pro-black policy. You can't have it both ways. If you believe, as Bernie, his supporters and most liberals do, that Americans want a more progressive economic policy than the current political center between the Democrats and the Republicans, that means, if you exclude economic policy, what the Republicans have to offer is much more compelling to the voters than what the Democrats offer. It's not hard to figure out what that is.
11-23-2016 , 12:14 AM
Some more thoughts. We're a gambling forum so I'm kind of surprised no one mentioned this but one growing group that probably broke for Trump is vice voters. There are lots of voters who are much closer culturally to typical Republicans but feel uncomfortable with the Christian rhetoric coming from the right. They may resent rhetoric against sex, against drugs, against abortion, against gambling, against not going to church, against receiving government assistance, etc. They may feel demonized enough by the right's traditional rhetoric to vote for the Democrats or despite cultural disconnect. Sex workers, professional gamblers, single moms, deadbeat dads, drug addicts, people on welfare, gambling addicts, alcoholics, atheists, people estranged from their families, etc. Many of them may adopt moralizing posture against others which may confuse bystanders into misidentifying them but that is a purely defensive weapon deployed against outsiders.

For white otherwise right-leaning vice voters, Trump is the perfect candidate - one byproduct of Trump having led a life relatively free of moral constraints and the Republican rhetoric pivoting from doing the right things to being born the right way is that this election cycle has been relatively free of moralizing rhetoric from the right. Also, Trump's use of race/ethnicity/religion-based insults in lieu of dog whistles has been effective at avoiding collateral damage on whites. Dog whistles are less effective in a world where cultural problems that Republicans blame black communities for are increasingly the same cultural problems that many white communities face.

At the same time, this election cycle, the left has officially become the morality police. Even without the whole "deplorable" gaffe, the left has been obsessed with the incorrectness of Trump's and Trump's supporters' behavior, forgetting that lots of people act that way and lots more people know other people who act that way. Many were predicting at first that the religious right will abandon Trump and after being wrong about this, were giddy that the religious right will no longer have the moral high ground. The problem is that the moral high ground is less than worthless in a world where voters increasingly feel they are on the wrong side of morality. And liberalism is increasingly associated with doing the right thing in every area of life - from eating habits to college education to correctly using social media to being aware of what's going on in the world to pronouncing names correctly to buying the right stuff/car/house. That's before we get to social justice stuff, which comes with a lot of rules and theories and lots of opportunities to be wrong. What's even worse, the left has started to pick up some of the right's rhetoric against poor people and started to deploy against white America. Like how if you're white, being poor is your own damn fault because white privilege. How white people's problems are not real problems compared to the problems of some <insert underprivileged group here>. This has the appearance of political correctness but it's the exact opposite.

It's important to realize that people vote for whoever makes them feel better and in a campaign, political correctness always triumphs over the cold, hard truth. You're not going to change people with some campaign rhetoric. The kinds of people who have genuine conviction, not fleeting fantasies about what makes them feel better, are not swing voters. The most significant quality of Trump's central rhetoric is that it's highly politically correct - he won by telling people that their problem is not their fault and those who had been telling them that they need to change in order to do better are all wrong. He told them, they've been doing the right thing all along or maybe they don't even need to do the right thing because they were born the right way in the right country. It's just that the system's rigged against them and that's why they are struggling. He didn't moralize about what they could do to improve their situation - he told a story about how dark forces are conspiring to hold them down. This is a good template for what you need to say to win an election, whether it's true or not. Liberals worrying about whether any given instance of pandering is rooted in truth is unbelievably poor political instinct.

tl;dr - Trump won by out-PC'ing the libtards. Also read this thread:

http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/41...point-1245897/
11-23-2016 , 12:41 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by 5ive
Wanna know how I know you're lying?
I wrote that exactly for people like you. You are too lost in OMG I spotted a racist/bigot and can't see what is obvious right in front of you. But you really chessmated me this time. Anyways carry on. I'm glad to see the moron class of this forum are back in full force. The week without you guys was probably some of the best discussion this forum has ever had without anyone getting shouted down or the stupid spy hunter routine towards supposed closet Trump supporters.
11-23-2016 , 12:50 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by WichitaDM
I wrote that exactly for people like you. You are too lost in OMG I spotted a racist/bigot and can't see what is obvious right in front of you. But you really chessmated me this time. Anyways carry on. I'm glad to see the moron class of this forum are back in full force. The week without you guys was probably some of the best discussion this forum has ever had without anyone getting shouted down or the stupid spy hunter routine towards supposed closet Trump supporters.
Do you need a safe space?
11-23-2016 , 01:48 AM
How come people tiptoeing around their latent misogynistic tendencies like WichitaDM lash out after letting it slip? lol
11-23-2016 , 02:04 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Oroku$aki
Do you need a safe space?
That was a tell.
11-23-2016 , 02:09 AM
PB, I'm going to suggest that your analysis is incomplete. Or, rather, that nothing you said is anything different from what certain members of the old guard on civil rights within the NAACP and such are saying to BLM. You acknowledge this in some links. But BLM isn't quite an organized movement with specific political objectives just yet. It's more along the lines of the NAACP during it's formation, except for the part that we know how it will play out - or that it will succeed at all. You're right that it flanks them from the left.

However, it's like saying that Trump's core constituents should've channelled their grievances in negotiations with Mitch McConnell, and the old guard of the GOP, in the National Review, because that was the alliance. Those were the proper channels. The right got flanked from the right. The GOPe didn't rally to Trump's banner, even after he consolidated the nomination.

Like, the core of what we now call Trump supporters cultivated the conditions within the GOP by which he could win. With absolutely no groundwork, Trump can't happen. And they weren't laying the groundwork for Trump specifically. He just seized the moment. And he happened to win. The part where he laid waste to his opponent (HRC) during the election never happened. Facts simply don't bear out this conclusion. I mean, other than the fact that he is President elect. If that's what you mean... okay? It's a true statement.
11-23-2016 , 02:29 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Phone Booth
Since we're in the mood for fingerpointing, I'd point out that the polarizing nature of the BLM movement played a role in Trump's success and I called it out as it was happening last summer:
I'm not quite sure anybody ever disagreed with that statement. We saw the rabidity.

Understand I haven't yet read the responses to your links.


Quote:

http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...&postcount=789

http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...&postcount=794

http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...&postcount=795

http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...&postcount=797

http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...&postcount=809

http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...&postcount=827

http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...&postcount=831

http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...&postcount=867

http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...&postcount=896

http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...&postcount=964



It's strange to me that the left can't make up their mind. On the one hand, America is deeply and systematically racist against blacks. But on the other hand, they act as though racists can be converted overnight to support explicitly pro-black messaging and explicitly pro-black policy. You can't have it both ways. If you believe, as Bernie, his supporters and most liberals do, that Americans want a more progressive economic policy than the current political center between the Democrats and the Republicans, that means, if you exclude economic policy, what the Republicans have to offer is much more compelling to the voters than what the Democrats offer. It's not hard to figure out what that is.

Correct me if I'm wrong, but it sounds like you're denying the BLM folk their agency, or assigning Dem folk too much. The "left" can't put BLM on punishment, on timeout, ground them with no TV until they learn to protest better.

Otherwise your analysis is spot on, but you're describing how tornadoes and lightning storms work, a worthy feat, but still separate from discussing if humans have the power to control the weather.

(insert climate change joke)

My criticism of BLM has been they aren't radical enough, in message, not that they're too polarizing. (black lives matter? duh. not exactly cutting to the bone with that slogan {but in hindsight also what makes it brilliant, based on the "polarizing" reactions}) Everybody in the family is gonna have nitpicks and criticisms about the day-to-day of their brothers and sisters, but you can't tell them to stfu and sit down as that's kinda antithetical to the whole point.
11-23-2016 , 02:38 AM
Actually I need to correct myself on BLM mirroring the formation of the NAACP, because that had clear leadership and objectives from the outset. Who is leading BLM is a question without a good answer. It's not that kind of movement yet. And it isn't even clear that it will be.
11-23-2016 , 02:46 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by dessin d'enfant
The Occupy Wall St part of it is thinking that Bernie/Warren etc will somehow be able to change any of that.
If they had the White House and kept the grassroots movement going, they could. This seemed to be Bernie's plan. You need the people who voted for you to keep calling their representative and Senators. It takes a special type of politician to do that, and Sanders seemed to have a very activist group of supporters that may have.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Trolly McTrollson
To be clear, I do think we need to pander to the Rust Belt because I'm in the Rust Belt and I enjoy pandering but also the Dems aren't ever winning without it.
That's not true. Take Trump's winning map and flip Florida (-1.3%) and Arizona (-4.1%) and you win it. You could also sub North Carolina (-3.8%) for Arizona. The strategy in these states would be to win at the local level to fight voter suppression legislation and to fight them in the courts as well, while at the same time running registering drives for as many minority voters as possible. Obviously it's key to recognize that Florida Hispanics are very different from Arizona Hispanics in how they vote, but never the less, these states are within reach.

Given that they have four years to work on it, they should pursue those AND the rust belt (aka better economic policies) with full vigor.

Quote:
Originally Posted by sirio11
I just wish Sanders had decided not to run circa 2015. I believe we would have a Democratic president now.
There has been a populist trend globally and there was a populist trend here, but your solution was for the Dems to not run a populist at all in their primary and to just clear the way for one of the most establishment candidates of all time?

Quote:
Originally Posted by microbet
I just wish Clinton had decided not to run circa 2015. I believe we would have a Democratic president now.
Quote:
Originally Posted by microbet
Seriously, Hillary was supposed to run unopposed? That's what was supposed to happen in the Democratic Party?
They tried... I mean, I don't think Bernie was running to try to win from the outset - he was running to keep her honest on behalf of the left wing of the party. He then had a movement and had a real shot and went for it.
11-23-2016 , 02:56 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Phone Booth
...


At the same time, this election cycle, the left has officially become the morality police. Even without the whole "deplorable" gaffe, the left has been obsessed with the incorrectness of Trump's and Trump's supporters' behavior, forgetting that lots of people act that way and lots more people know other people who act that way. Many were predicting at first that the religious right will abandon Trump and after being wrong about this, were giddy that the religious right will no longer have the moral high ground. The problem is that the moral high ground is less than worthless in a world where voters increasingly feel they are on the wrong side of morality. And liberalism is increasingly associated with doing the right thing in every area of life - from eating habits to college education to correctly using social media to being aware of what's going on in the world to pronouncing names correctly to buying the right stuff/car/house. That's before we get to social justice stuff, which comes with a lot of rules and theories and lots of opportunities to be wrong. What's even worse, the left has started to pick up some of the right's rhetoric against poor people and started to deploy against white America. Like how if you're white, being poor is your own damn fault because white privilege. How white people's problems are not real problems compared to the problems of some <insert underprivileged group here>. This has the appearance of political correctness but it's the exact opposite.

.../[/url]

You say this like it's not 98% a recursive loop of swamp fever propaganda pushed and consumed by gamergaters and breitbartians.

Your post is the hyperintelligent version of, "How dare somebody call me a racist! I'll show them, I'll vote for the candidate the KKK and neo-nazi-esque people just looOooOOve!"

Real People roll their eyes if something is a little too heavy-handed from the so-called SJWs, they don't call the whole thing off and vote for white nationalism.

(the circles of Real People and SJWs overlap)
11-23-2016 , 03:18 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by vixticator
Actually I need to correct myself on BLM mirroring the formation of the NAACP, because that had clear leadership and objectives from the outset. Who is leading BLM is a question without a good answer. It's not that kind of movement yet. And it isn't even clear that it will be.
The BLM people I've talked to don't want it to be and consider a movement as dying when it starts being top down instead of bottom up.
11-23-2016 , 03:28 AM
Maybe if we want to win we just need to push Education


Education, Not Income, Predicted Who Would Vote For Trump
11-23-2016 , 03:29 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by WichitaDM
I wrote that exactly for people like you. You are too lost in OMG I spotted a racist/bigot and can't see what is obvious right in front of you. But you really chessmated me this time. Anyways carry on. I'm glad to see the moron class of this forum are back in full force. The week without you guys was probably some of the best discussion this forum has ever had without anyone getting shouted down or the stupid spy hunter routine towards supposed closet Trump supporters.
Oh mercy me, please proceed.

This post was on 11.11:


Quote:
Quote:
Re: 2016 Presidential Election GAMEDAY THREAD
Quote:
Originally Posted by DVaut1 View Post
But just to be clear, it's not normative, right? Can we belittle black voters, Muslims, recent immigrants, women, and that's an OK electoral strategy? I mean that's exactly what happened and Trump won.

So the argument as I see it is, better genuflect to the sensitivities of white voters. Everyone else, ehh.
Again either you are pretending not to get it or are incapable of doing so. Here is the main differenice between you and I broken down. I want people to be influenced to be less racist, because racism is alive and well and needs to be stamped out. The only real way to do that is to lay the truth out for them and hope you convert some percentage. You on the other hand only care about looking smart and patting yourself on the back while you denigrate half the country. Well guess what this doesn't do anything whatsoever to decrease racism. This was the entire strategy used by the long list of people in the media, pop culture and in this thread. Im not saying that it increases racism as your constant strawmaning responses contend. What I am saying is it does nothing to solve the problem and it might make it worse through getting more of the existing racists out to vote. Even if it doesn't it is still a bad strategy.

As you your second point it is a typical faux-intellectual one designed to make you look smart while meaning nothing. Of course we are discussing the white voters and how to deal with their racism. What else would be be doing. Racism is bad and very real. No one is saying hey let's create a safe space for racist whites like you seem to think. Quite the opposite in fact. Racists should be forced to confront their racism in a way that actual changes their minds (those that are saveable of which there are many) rather than just making them hide out until Adolf Drumpf runs for president.

Your next post was was on 11.19:


Quote:
Originally Posted by WichitaDM
Grunching a bit as have been traveling abroad and haven't kept up here but just a couple thoughts on what I have read. As to the "yay we are winning young people!" the two problems with that level of analysis are that people in general start more liberal and get more conservative as they age. I mean the "lol olds" that get discussed ad nauseum in this forum are mostly products of the 60s which was obviously not a hyper-conservative era.

The other thing is that sure we can't put all trump voters in one basket but I think they almost all fall into one of two baskets or both. Those being the racist deplorables and the other basket being the ones who saw hillary as a corrupt lying career politician that they would never vote for. I think very few trump voters fall into neithrr of those categories. Obviously there is a lot of overlap there to.

Add in the fact that Hillary is a terrible politican and you have a recipe for diasaster. She barely campaigned and acted like she had already won. She is unlikable and basically underperformed every single election she was ever in. She was also deeply disliked as flotus. I'm still in the camp that if the dems ran a real candidate this cycle they win and also do a lot better downballot

Yeah, that "week without you guys" right?

Give us a break here. I don't GAF what your personal baggage is, whether you couldn't stand to see a woman in power or all your friends and family are trumping deplorables, or what, just don't spew all over with dishonest bull****.

I wondered then, right after the election, like I wonder now, how you could possibly say she had horrible debate performances. Feel free to hate everything else, but what kind of bias would cause you to say "putrid" debates?

You ducked then, and duck now, and still feign to talk about "best discussion". ****ing spare me.
11-23-2016 , 03:32 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by crimedopay420
Ok, "uneasy" seems reasonable. "Royally ****ed up", not so much. I mean, Bernie obviously thought that Hillary had an easy road ahead because the GOP nominated the dems dream opponent, so pushing his platform seemed correct at the time, especially considering he's too old to ever run again and do it himself.

Re: bolded, I'm not remembering this happening. But I'm biased. Do you have a link?
For the record. I would of preferred Bernie over Hillary. But the last month or so when it was clear Hill was going to win I wanted Bernie to drop out.

I don't have a link, but I was regularly checking r/politics just to see what the mood was there. That period before Bernie dropped out every single link had email somewhere in the tagline. A month after Bernie dropped out r/politics was still DNC cheated Bernie. I know lol r/politics but it still represents a mood of a select group of people. r/politics finally realized well **** Trump is worse. But I just worry there was some damage done.
11-23-2016 , 03:38 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by microbet
The BLM people I've talked to don't want it to be and consider a movement as dying when it starts being top down instead of bottom up.
I figured as much. I deleted an additional sentence where I said "kind of like an insurgency." That's not a very precise term, and its loaded, but I'm too lazy to find a better one.
11-23-2016 , 04:41 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by sirio11
I just wish Sanders had decided not to run circa 2015. I believe we would have a Democratic president now. Without all the negativity from the Bernie-Bros, non-compromise purist *******s and Sanders campaign in general, a lot of those non-voters would have voted.
It's weird because I share a lot of Bernie ideas, but I think his main contribution to this election was negative (bigly), and history will not be kind to him.
We were already moving toward more progressive values, we really didn't need a "Revolution" nor a Messiah, now this country has moved to the right, and more damage will be done to our progressive values.
I'm sure we will rise again, but so many years will be lost for nothing.
So its Sanders fault Hillary couldn't beat an orange clown? Pathetic. We were not moving in a progressive direction we were moving down the same corporate elite path we have for decades and the voters knew it and rejected it.
11-23-2016 , 04:53 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by indio
Progressives always get rejected after getting in power for 8-12 years. It happened in 1920 when people were sick of it, and it happened this year when everyone (besides the usual loony tune academics, students, celebrities and journalists) have had enough of it. Let's hope we can drive out the scourge of progressive ideology for another 100 years.
Yes lets maintain those awesome conservative values that have resulted in the county being broke, poor, and in perceptual war! Which progressives were rejected? Obama and Hillary were not progressives.

Quote:
Originally Posted by indio
Decent people will always reject the scourge of internationalism and central banking cartels as they attempt to erode the liberties and sovereignty of nations under the guise of "compassion" and "progress" while they rob countries of their culture and turn nations into degenerate, crime ridden, inflationary cookie cutter satellites while their elite overlords rob everyone blind.

It's too late for Sweden, and probably too late for Germany, but Poland and Hungary woke up, England has finally seen the light, the French, the Dutch and even the Italians are coming around, and America, although a bit lazy, will always stand up and reject it when the leftist kooks go too far.
Can you pin point and conservative policies over the last 30 years, that have addresses all these issues you listed?

What we are sadly seeing in reality, is the disillusioned public are resorting to the main culprits for their predicament to try and help them, simple because the left has failed to properly address the issues. Both sides are to blame but the right is far worse on every issues, hence the rejection of the establishment, but sadly they have chosen the wrong 'revolution'.
11-23-2016 , 05:07 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by indio
Every time the Jewish internationalists and their hordes feel like there's a chance the spigot might get turned off, they bring out the same 'ol boogeyman. I figured there was a reason yet another 6 hour mini-series on Hitler was running non-stop on cable TV this week. Maybe they should show a little compassion for all the European woman getting brutally attacked by the hordes of barbarians they're forcing into Europe right now instead of exploiting the suffering of select people in a tragic war from 75 years ago where 50 million people all over the world died and many more suffered.

Funny, I don't ever see any tweets about hate speech towards Christians or the 25 million Russian Orthodox Christians executed, starved to death, or perished in Soviet gulags by mostly Jewish NKVD assassins in Russia from 1918-1939. No museum for them? Where were the tweets about human suffering when we chose to covertly aid and support Saudi and Israeli backed Sunni rebels in Syria that has caused the deaths and suffering of millions of Christians and Shia ? This nonsense gets old.
lol

      
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