Quote:
Originally Posted by wheatrich
Nope, hill nearly lost VA with a VA VP and as such I think it's looking like a goner soon. It's gonna be ridic lol when they change the rules to split EV and it just gives dems a few points they would've had a 0 otherwise. I said "did it right" as well and with any of the current favorites they've got no shot at KS but 20 points can be overcome if everybody's income goes to total hell in the state and doesn't recover for 4 years. There doesn't appear to be anyone in the party to get them there though, dems badly needed another charismatic IL senator but there are none.
AZ isn't gonna turn D in 4 years as trump will get rid of a lot of D voters by then.
Given the incoming D voter suppression, dems are likely going to have to do what he did--flip a surprise state. Warren seems completely dead with TX but seems to be the best state to try to pull it off but that requires some general policy changes, especially the gun ones. If they don't win TX, they've got to regain a lot of ground in the midwest + get back FL. They're not gonna do it with another east coast lib. Bern's gonna be nearly 80.
Best shot is team trump gets caught so outrageously his own party has to turn on him and it's difficult to be optimistic ever with those, no matter how ridic it turns.
Oh dear God. How do you flat-out make **** up and think you can post it?
VA, 2012: D margin of victory, 3.9%, 149,000 votes
VA, 2016: D margin of victory, 5.3%, 212,000 votes
How did she "nearly" lose it? She also won ages 18-44 there 54%-38%, so I'm not sure why you'd think it'd flip going forwards. Polling this cycle was pretty much dead-on accurate there.
I didn't say AZ would 100% flip in 4 years, but it is winnable for D's in the near future.