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The Tragic Death of the Democratic Party The Tragic Death of the Democratic Party

11-09-2016 , 11:47 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Shuffle
Saw a statistic that 20% of House Dems are from California. One state.

California, New York, and Massachussetts(lol) make up over 1/3.

That's what the Clinton-Obama corporatists have done.
Given that California and New York are the 1st and 3rd most populous states, this number is supposed to mean what exactly. You do realize that all those giant red states in the middle have nobody living there and have like one house district each right? And Texas accounts for a large portion of the republican house seats.
11-10-2016 , 12:11 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Double Eagle
I was listening to Brian Beutler's podcast today and he made the point that in 2016 the Democratic party was much more in white folks' face on the fundamental issue of diversity than Obama was in either of his runs. Obama never came off as The Black Candidate for white people, he was just a charismatic guy that happened to be black so his coalition wasn't as threatening to white interests (and of course both McCain and Romney are decent people for whom appeals to explicit racism was taboo.) When he felt compelled to go to Executive Action on immigration and the Dems decided that this was a demographic wave to be ridden, the territory was ceded for Trump to start making explicit appeals to racism that wouldn't have resonated in 2008 and 2012.
Interesting point (though I don't agree about Obama's executive action making any difference here). It does seem like pointing out racism more explicitly this cycle backfired. More swing voters seemed to respond defensively with "i'm not racist!" further entrenching any inclination to Trump support. Not too many were like "oh yeah, you're right!".

Sklansky could very well be correct about this, which sucks, because it's not easy to point out racism in a nice way that doesn't cause people to be defensive.
11-10-2016 , 12:19 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by seattlelou
It's overreaction Wednesday but the Democratic party looks pretty demolished and I don't know if demographic changes can save it. That turn out was horrific.
A bit of irony that someone can win the popular vote and be considered a horrific turn out.
11-10-2016 , 12:31 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JoltinJake
Interesting point (though I don't agree about Obama's executive action making any difference here). It does seem like pointing out racism more explicitly this cycle backfired. More swing voters seemed to respond defensively with "i'm not racist!" further entrenching any inclination to Trump support. Not too many were like "oh yeah, you're right!".

Sklansky could very well be correct about this, which sucks, because it's not easy to point out racism in a nice way that doesn't cause people to be defensive.
Yeah he wasn't so much talking about the deplorables and alt-right stuff as he was the Dems' implicit message of "We are the party of demographic destiny, get used to it white folks" that was the basis of the TDOTRP thread. Turns out that rust belt voters could vote for a black president without much issue but an explicitly brown party was a bridge too far.
11-10-2016 , 01:03 AM
Shuffle is crushing these last few posts. Where is Dids? Can he not find a salon article to pass off as his own viewpoints the last few days or what.
11-10-2016 , 01:04 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Huehuecoyotl
A bit of irony that someone can win the popular vote and be considered a horrific turn out.
She crushed in what about 7-8 states while losing most of the rest bigly and narrowly winning a few. Trump won almost twice as many states as her. It matters.
11-10-2016 , 01:49 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by WichitaDM
Shuffle is crushing these last few posts. Where is Dids? Can he not find a salon article to pass off as his own viewpoints the last few days or what.
lol'd
11-10-2016 , 04:08 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by bobman0330
If anyone doesn't get what I'm talking about, check out this astonishing statement from Bernie:
You realise that nothing he says here is in anyway contrary or exclusive to your picture of the economy?

You are looking at massively broad generalisations of the economy such as GDP, employment etc.

You are not looking at the specifics of what is happening in the working conditions of employment.

One of the key reasons why employment and GDP remained relatively stable and has relatively recovered (though there has been no typical post recession boom) is because workers are doing more for less. This is very well documented.

Less does does not always mean less money, though it often does, for example it can mean, smaller overtime rate, less periods considered overtime in general , less money for mileage, less money for cover work, less holiday entitlement, less pension contribution and so on.

Its this kind of cost cutting at the workers expense that has allowed many firms to maintain their bottom line employment numbers.

Indeed instead of being contrarian to your perspective on the economy, much of what he describes is exactly what makes your perspective of the economy possible.

Last edited by O.A.F.K.1.1; 11-10-2016 at 04:22 AM.
11-10-2016 , 05:22 AM
the way i see it democrats are going to be in for some hard times over these next four years as they're going to need to find someone to step up and lead the party, while then determining if the party shifts progressive or continues further right. i also think they're going to have to accomplish something big during trump's presidency if they want to be competitive in 2018 or 2020.

some of the very ideas that got trump elected exist within the democratic party and should be key issues for democrats going forward. in fact, one such issue (that will never be addressed by trump), and one that democrats could begin working on literally tomorrow- would be campaign finance. however like republicans, democrats are so addicted to the cash that scaling back the greed would admittedly be perhaps an insurmountable challenge.

5 states have currently passed bipartisan legislation to call a constitutional convention to amend the us constitution to get money out of politics. trump loosely ran against the donor class, so state republican resistance on this issue would be countering the new will of the voters, so they would likely cooperate, especially knowing trump would have to publicly support. the only requirement to then call the convention would be 2/3 of remaining states passing legislation, so democrats could accomplish this before the 2020 elections.

an achievement of this magnitude would not only restore and solidify party confidence amongst progressives and independents, it may also serve to weaken republicans in future elections, especially in state and local races, and especially if trump does not deliver on his promises. and even though republicans seem unstoppable right now, if the democratic party can shed the elites and become a grass roots party, they will make a powerful comeback.
11-10-2016 , 05:33 AM
Trump addressed campaign finance, saying how he was able to do his campaign with much less money than Hilary and that most of the donations were small donations. Remember, guys like the Koch brothers didn't back Trump.

That was another weak point for Hilary.
11-10-2016 , 05:57 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by amoeba
Trump addressed campaign finance, saying how he was able to do his campaign with much less money than Hilary and that most of the donations were small donations. Remember, guys like the Koch brothers didn't back Trump.

That was another weak point for Hilary.
Adelson gave Trump and related PACs somewhere around $30 million.
11-10-2016 , 06:12 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by amoeba
Trump addressed campaign finance, saying how he was able to do his campaign with much less money than Hilary and that most of the donations were small donations. Remember, guys like the Koch brothers didn't back Trump.

That was another weak point for Hilary.
probably smarter for the koch brothers to distance trump publicly and then support him anonymously via super pac in case he lost. an ironic contrast to a healthy political system, and an example of why it needs reform.
11-10-2016 , 06:13 AM
I am by no means saying that trump is not taking superpac money. When has scam artist trump ever turned down free money?

I am saying that he addressed campaign finance more than Hilary did (albeit as a form of attack on Hilary rather than a call for reform).
11-10-2016 , 06:16 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by locknopair
probably smarter for the koch brothers to distance trump publicly and then support him anonymously via super pac in case he lost. an ironic contrast to a healthy political system, and an example of why it needs reform.
As much as I dislike the Kochs, I believe them when they say they don't back Trump.

I wish people would stop seeing Trump as just a more racist right wing guy. He is far far more dangerous.
11-10-2016 , 07:21 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by stinkubus
Voter suppression laws are probably coming to more states. We're likely to get a SCOTUS that is amenable to them. The demographic shifts mean squat if its hard/impossible for these people to get to the polls.
This is a really important fight for Democrats to wage over the next four years. Like all of the other critical fights, the numbers will be against us, but we need to find a way to win. This can only be one from the grassroots up and the local levels. It's state legislature races, it's changing minds by making calls, holding events, knocking on doors, etc, etc.

Quote:
Originally Posted by stinkubus
No good horses in the stable, either. How badly did that guy who made the commercial putting the gun to together lose? He seems like he could offer crossover appeal to some of Trump's demos.
He lost 49-46%. It may be worth the DCCC encouraging him to try to get away with carpet-bagging, he's such a good candidate but he has virtually no political future in statewide elections in Missouri. Jason Kander is his name, by the way.

There are some good horses in the stable, though:

Elizabeth Warren (67)
Tulsi Gabbard (35)
Cory Booker (47)
Julian Castro (42)
Joaquin Castro (42)
Deval Patrick (60)
Kirsten Gillibrand (49)
Kamala Harris (52)
Jason Kander (35)

I think Warren, Booker and Julian Castro probably throw their hat in the ring for 2020. Maybe one or two of the others, but a few of them will eye 2028. You could argue the pros/cons on a lot of them, but there are good candidates in that group.
11-10-2016 , 08:00 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by GBP04
I think you're overstating things. It's hard to define 'benefited' but if "cheaper things" is your only metric, then yes. But people also like having jobs. having a productive output is a huge source of happiness and a contributes to a feeling of individual purpose. the labor participation rate has plummeted over time. (for males, granted. but that needs to be considered given female participation has fortunately skyrocketed over the decades.). generally happiness has remained stable over time. It's not as simple as cheap chinese production = good.
Sweet, so we got Orange Hitler because a bunch of foolishly proud white people wanted busywork so they didn't feel like The Lazy Blacks.

This keeps getting better and better.
11-10-2016 , 08:12 AM
Did I see correctly that the Democrats gained seats in both houses of Congress? It's hard to know what to make of the death of the Democratic party if that's true and Hillary wins the popular vote, yet Republicans won the presidency and control both houses.
11-10-2016 , 08:12 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by amoeba
I am by no means saying that trump is not taking superpac money. When has scam artist trump ever turned down free money?

I am saying that he addressed campaign finance more than Hilary did (albeit as a form of attack on Hilary rather than a call for reform).

Hillary killed Trump with big donors. Not quite 2 to 1 but close.
11-10-2016 , 08:14 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Huehuecoyotl
A bit of irony that someone can win the popular vote and be considered a horrific turn out.

Republican turnout was bad too for more understandable reasons.
11-10-2016 , 08:57 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by dstock
I disagree. My belief is Trump won because of economics and the fact that the rich get richer and the poor get poorer.

The solutions from the democrats seem to be to raise the minimum wage and tax the wealthy more, helping the bottom 20%. The view from the working and middle class,imo,( pretty much one and the same these days) is that although noble, this does nothing to help the majority of Americans.

Trump's platform was bringing back jobs and making companies compete for labor.

Lol at " right wing media"

So you're saying trump voters said "**** poor people, I want more stuff."

No **** huh?
11-10-2016 , 09:01 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nottherightonebaby
I do not think people who voted for a manipulative liar can claim the moral high ground. Get over the righteousness indignation you have for someone voting for a morally reprehensible candidate, just as you did.
True, white folks dodged a bullet as HRC was gonna ban and deport them post-election.
11-10-2016 , 09:05 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Shuffle
Yeah the idea that Trump's tax cuts are going to bring economic prosperity or equality is a joke.

Like O.A.F said, this is about Americans realizing something is wrong but not understanding how to fix it. They are going back to the good old days and giving trickle-down economics another spin. It will, undoubtedly, end in tears.
Obviously, yes.

So how do you explain to trump voters they went wildly in the wrong direction?
11-10-2016 , 10:24 AM
This is a good piece on the state of the Democratic party. https://www.washingtonpost.com/polit...mepage%2Fstory
11-10-2016 , 10:32 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by O.A.F.K.1.1
You realise that nothing he says here is in anyway contrary or exclusive to your picture of the economy?

You are looking at massively broad generalisations of the economy such as GDP, employment etc.

You are not looking at the specifics of what is happening in the working conditions of employment.

One of the key reasons why employment and GDP remained relatively stable and has relatively recovered (though there has been no typical post recession boom) is because workers are doing more for less. This is very well documented.

Less does does not always mean less money, though it often does, for example it can mean, smaller overtime rate, less periods considered overtime in general , less money for mileage, less money for cover work, less holiday entitlement, less pension contribution and so on.

Its this kind of cost cutting at the workers expense that has allowed many firms to maintain their bottom line employment numbers.

Indeed instead of being contrarian to your perspective on the economy, much of what he describes is exactly what makes your perspective of the economy possible.
I think you're not an American, so maybe some local color will help you interpret this. Donald Trump recently won our elections for president. (FYI in our country, president is not a largely ceremonial position but actually wields an enormous amount of power.) What's more, Trump won the elections despite making a number of openly racist statements, endorsing various extremist policies and having exposed a number of shocking lapses of personal character. Many people view Trump as one of the worst and most dangerous major party candidates for president in many decades.

What strikes some American observers as astonishing about Bernie's statement is that, in the wake of this stunning and devastating victory for Trump, Bernie (who is notionally a political ally of Hillary Clinton, the losing candidate in this week's election) would essentially endorse Trump's voters on their analysis of the main issues in language that parrots key lines of attack that Trump used against Clinton during the campaign.
11-10-2016 , 10:34 AM
I thought we could discuss this civilly. My mistake.

      
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