Well I've been told it is my duty to vote

Guess I will go out to the voting site. Reads the candidates.

Boy I've heard a lot more about how bad Nelson is

I know it is tilting, but these voters exist

Reason number 743 why he should have been primaried. Really he should have retired and turned the reigns over, but when he didn't, he should have been primaried. We should be rooting for the beginning of the Senator Deutch era in Florida.

Apparently one of the Parkland students has raised money to pay for a billboard in Texas with Trump's quote degrading Ted Cruz. I can't wait.

https://www.gofundme.com/texas-against-ted-cruz

I just wish they had kept accepting donations for more billboards

No kidding. One of those every 200 miles or so wouldn't cost much for a 6 month lease.

Donnelly doing the same type of stuff in Indiana.

I've long considered Donnelly a dog to retain his seat - his apparent strategy of being hated by nobody but also being loved by nobody seems like a big loser when running as a Dem in a red state - but the NBC/Marist poll yesterday had him up 49-43.

In 'the Senate's not out of reach' news Bredesen +2 out from NBC/Marist today in TN Senate.

In 'the Senate's out of reach' news today selzer has generic Congressional ballot at only D+2.

Polls just closed in Delaware. Tom Carper ended up maybe facing a challenge from the left. His opponent Kerri Evelyn Harris certainly picked up a lot of news coverage over the past few weeks. Lots of national attention due to the number of successful progressive challengers lately. Waiting to see if it was enough to unseat a pretty uninspiring Democrat...

I see Carper 63 - Harris 37
42% reporting

was always an uphill battle.

49% reporting same gap

Yeah that seat's staying with Carper. /sweat

Does Nelson have a shot basically on the back of Gillum getting a bunch of first time voters and shocking the polls like in the primaries? If Graham won the primary for instance, Scott would be more of a lock? I see more people getting out to vote against Scott than actually FOR Nelson.

Gillum will certainly help more than hurt.

TN and AL possibly having D senators blows my mind especially when R's still hold the senate. This guy knew what was up a long time ago.

Unless investigation comes into play. FL Senate was always flip. I agree Gillum most likely helps a little, but probably doesn't play a very big role.

I think if TN has a democratic senator, Republicans most likely no longer control the senate.

Just based on what I've read so far I'd say holding FL's a bigger dog than TN and we're not even into the massive holds needed or needing to flip TX. Even with a giant blue wave, they can still lose say MT/ND or so. *shrugs* Not that I'm an expert it's just Nelson looks like he's getting his ass kicked atm. TN has a R candidate that isn't popular for a R there vs the most popular D ever. That alone can move that needle something like 5 points there (I pulled that number out of my ass but it's non zero) vs general.

In the trump cycle polls don't matter much right now other than seeing where the money is going to go. sometimes the polls do line up from now in nov and sometimes they're pretty far off and in this cycle, **** that op ed is gonna be forgotten about in two weeks because more crazy is gonna happen.

The last two polls out of FL have it tied, despite Scott massively outspending Nelson. Nelson has a lot more cash on hand for the closing stretch.

My personal take is that Nelson is a flip at worst, and Bredesen is a dog.

Ds are big dogs to take the senate but TN is such a red state that if it moves enough to put a D in the senate, even a popular ex governor, then most of those other races have also moved enough for D incumbents to hold and Ds to take AZ and NV.

For those who love the nyt needle, sweat polls live.

Saw Blackburn talk in person this week. She is horribly uninspiring and comes across as kind of dumb and very much does the politician thing of talking without actually saying anything. The only thing i can say to her credit is someone has obviously told her that her only chance is to talk about tax cuts constantly and avoid everything else and she stays on message.

She's so bad that the PACs here are running ads about her AND Lamar Alexander like they're on a ticket together. He's like the most bland GOP turd in the senate but making it look like a package deal increases her appeal.

Top Trump Adviser Says Ted Cruz Could Lose Texas Senate Race

President Trump’s budget chief, Mick Mulvaney, expressed confidence to Republican donors on Saturday that the party would overcome a Democratic “movement of hate” in November, but he acknowledged Republicans could lose races where they have nominated candidates who are not seen as “likable” enough, like Senator Ted Cruz of Texas.

Speaking at a closed-door meeting in New York City alongside Ronna McDaniel, the Republican National Committee chairwoman, Mr. Mulvaney insisted that Democrats and the media were exaggerating the political threat facing Republicans this fall: “They want you to think there’s a blue wave when there’s not,” he said, according to an audio recording of his remarks that was obtained by The New York Times from a person at the meeting.

But Mr. Mulvaney, who leads both the Office of Management and Budget and the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, conceded that Republicans had nominated poor candidates in places and might struggle to defend a huge number of open House seats where Republican incumbents decided not to run for re-election.

He pointed to the Senate races in Texas and Florida as examples where candidate quality could be decisive.

...

“The president asks me all the time, ‘Why did Roy Moore lose?’” Mr. Mulvaney said. “That’s easy. He was a terrible candidate.”

lmao trump keeps asking tho, all the time

"They want you to think there's a blue wave, no blue wave, fake news, but also we should prepare for the possibility that Texas elects a progressive Democrat"

Currently in Miami for work, watching college football on WatchESPN app. Literally every commercial break, and sometimes twice per break, there is this annoying ad with Nelson as a "Democrat puppet" because he votes with democrats "nearly 90% of the time" and has voted for 375 tax increases in the past 3 decades. No real point, just really ****ing annoyed

Right wingers keep fronting that they're supermacho ubermen but they're scared of ... tofu

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/...as/1254112002/

Cruz really playing on this hysteria, sounds like they need a safe space