Quote:
Originally Posted by ScreaminAsian
91.5% sounds like a lot of confidence. maybe 400k democrats knew it was in the bag?
On one hand: sure, not super worried about Democrats not showing up en masse to support someone who had it on the bag
On the other hand: the most recent analogous race in Tennessee seems like 2006 - also a midterm year (and a wave for Ds), where Corker first won his seat in a very, very close race (won by 3) against Harold Ford Jr. In that year's R primary, which was much more contested than Blackburn's, under 500k Republicans showed up to vote, versus over 700k this year (population growth might account for ~50k of those).
So, uh, idk.