A Proper 2018 Senate Elections Thread - Page 13 - Politics and Economics

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A Proper 2018 Senate Elections Thread

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09-25-2018 , 01:55 PM

#301

+rep_lol

banned

Join Date: Sep 2013 Posts: 14,900

lfg

09-25-2018 , 05:43 PM

#302

Klingbard

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Quote:

Originally Posted by Klingbard

Quinnipiac

Nelson 53
Scott 46

(was 49-49 3 weeks ago)

NBC News/Marist

Nelson 48
Scott 45

09-25-2018 , 06:49 PM

#303

cuserounder

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Quote:

Originally Posted by Klingbard

Quinnipiac

Nelson 53
Scott 46

(was 49-49 3 weeks ago)

Quote:

Originally Posted by Klingbard

NBC News/Marist

Nelson 48
Scott 45

Even though the second one isn't quite as good, I think adding it to the mix is actually good news. It makes it less likely that Nelson 53-46 is a crazy outlier and more likely that the real race is somewhere close to 50.5-45.5. I also love that Scott is not able to crack 46% in either poll, even though Nelson's total is lower in the second. Could that suggest a lid on Scott's total?

09-25-2018 , 07:08 PM

#304

m_reed05

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I've been trying to temper the Nelson pessimism itt. Scott threw everything he had at it early and could only get to a slight lead, while Nelson sat and took it, keeping his powder dry for later. Nelson has a lot more money to spend down the stretch unless Scott wants to dump a bunch more of his own money into the race.

09-26-2018 , 09:30 AM

#305

biggerboat

you're gonna need one

Join Date: Feb 2009 Posts: 49,008

Nelson has kicked up the ads as of late.

Scott's platform is anti-washington (whatever that means), and attacking Nelson for not showing up a meetings.

Nelson is trying to appeal to "all of us" and attacking Scott for making a fortune from while in office.

09-30-2018 , 11:46 AM

#306

simplicitus

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This is the sound of Ted Cruz pooping himself.

https://twitter.com/matthewamiller/s...287203841?s=19

09-30-2018 , 12:00 PM

#307

eyebooger

Join Date: May 2010 Posts: 59,242

For the love of Christ: Texas, please don't botch this.

09-30-2018 , 12:01 PM

#308

Max Cut

Guest

Posts: n/a

Time for cruz to issue some more summonses for campaign donations.

09-30-2018 , 12:09 PM

#309

wheatrich

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Quote:

Originally Posted by eyebooger

For the love of Christ: Texas, please don't botch this.

Normally I'd say no chance lolz but Alabama has a D Senator so why the hell not. Still a definite dog, it isn't a special election, it's a day every old shows up to the polls.

09-30-2018 , 12:21 PM

#310

+rep_lol

banned

Join Date: Sep 2013 Posts: 14,900

Quote:

Originally Posted by eyebooger

For the love of Christ: Texas, please don't botch this.

i mean i live in texas now and i've volunteered and donated and plan to do more of both of those things, and i'm optimistic, but let's be real here. any state that would elect ted cruz in the first place...

i think we should probably not pit our hopes on this one to the point that despair is warranted if beto doesn't pull it off. it's a tremendous achievement to be polling this close as it is and probably does reflect a changing of attitudes, given how progressive his platform is.

09-30-2018 , 08:21 PM

#311

Melkerson

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Beto ain't winning. It's Texas.

Probably about a decade too early to have a real shot.

09-30-2018 , 08:28 PM

#312

wheatrich

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Actually texas is projected to go blue at least by 2024. Well this projection was based on them not literally trying to throw out every brown person they could so idk.

09-30-2018 , 08:29 PM

#313

wheatrich

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Cornyn/Cruz. Man for a state that should've sent us 2 massive bulls, all we got from them is their 2 biggest piles of bull****.

10-01-2018 , 05:50 AM

#314

Luciom

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Quote:

Originally Posted by simplicitus

This is the sound of Ted Cruz pooping himself.

https://twitter.com/matthewamiller/s...287203841?s=19

This is exceptionally good

10-01-2018 , 10:59 AM

#315

domer2

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https://stockton.edu/hughes-center/p...-dead-heat.pdf

Beto winning Texas and Menendez losing NJ is a thing that could happen

10-01-2018 , 11:16 AM

#316

champstark

aka starkwired

Join Date: Feb 2006 Posts: 14,838

The bigger problem with NJ isn't that Menendez could lose (if he does, Dems will lose in most of the battleground states so it doesn't matter), it's that they are going to have to start spending in expensive NJ to make sure they don't have to sweat it at all.

10-01-2018 , 11:20 AM

#317

eyebooger

Join Date: May 2010 Posts: 59,242

Menendez not sitting this one out was a terrible move.

Generic D defeats Hugin easily, right?

10-01-2018 , 01:02 PM

#318

cuserounder

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Quote:

Originally Posted by eyebooger

Menendez not sitting this one out was a terrible move.

Generic D defeats Hugin easily, right?

Yup, it shouldn't be anywhere near in play in this environment.

10-01-2018 , 03:45 PM

#319

d10

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Quote:

Originally Posted by champstark

The bigger problem with NJ isn't that Menendez could lose (if he does, Dems will lose in most of the battleground states so it doesn't matter), it's that they are going to have to start spending in expensive NJ to make sure they don't have to sweat it at all.

That's not true. There's a fairly obvious reason why Menendez isn't doing well in NJ and it has zero impact on other Senate races.

10-01-2018 , 04:00 PM

#320

Coasterbrad

veteran

Join Date: Aug 2010 Posts: 2,712

Menendez absolutely should have stepped aside. The attack ads on him are just too easy and too effective. Hugin should have no chance at winning in NJ against any non scandal-ridden generic Dem.

10-02-2018 , 01:53 AM

#321

simplicitus

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https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/...024361987?s=19

10-02-2018 , 12:46 PM

#322

Namath12

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Quote:

Originally Posted by Coasterbrad

Menendez absolutely should have stepped aside. The attack ads on him are just too easy and too effective. Hugin should have no chance at winning in NJ against any non scandal-ridden generic Dem.

Agreed.

Meanwhile Duncan Hunter has a 9 point lead

10-02-2018 , 12:56 PM

#323

wheatrich

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Heitkamp down 10 points in a reported poll just now.
https://www.graydc.com/content/news/494860261.html

You guys all forgot in america we support sexual assault. 60% in ND support vs 27 oppose and it was also their biggest issue for voting. WV reported similar numbers.

Polls don't matter until the votes are cast but if this is the most recent issue in voters minds, most of those red state dems are toast.

This was before ford's testimony but I doubt that matters.

She did win down 10 before though, but it's North Dakota.

Last edited by wheatrich; 10-02-2018 at 01:01 PM.