Cruz is trying to paint Beto as a drug using hippy.

This for every single topic

Cruz is trying to hype up impeaching Trump as a consequence of electing Beto.

God I wish there was a hell for these people to go to.

Can’t imagine a debate matters in a senate race absent a total meltdown.

I caught the last 10 minutes and thought Beto did pretty well and he got louder cheers after his closing sentiment than Cruz.

Cruz has a nice home crowd too.

What do Texans think of Cruz? He comes off as really smarmy and his whole strategy is to paint Beto as a liberal. Is that a winning strategy? Do these debates even matter? (Trump basically lost every debate with Hillary but it didn't hurt him too much)

No man born with a living soul
Can be working for the clampdown

I don’t think anybody anywhere actually likes Ted. He primaried some guy as part of the tea party anger wave, then won the seat by default. Painting Beto as a liberal is pretty much his only available strategy and will probably work in Tx.

It's going to be a ****ing tragedy if BETO doesn't pull this one out, dude is a beast

Yeah, but Beto dared to say thoughts and prayers aren't enough for mass shootings

It’s Texas, Beto is a straight draw on the turn at best.

His hand motions remind me of free style rap, which is appropriate because he's spitting some straight fire.

I haven't seen Beto talk a lot, but that was pretty good. Not Obama-level polished, but it's almost better because of it. He's either talking unreservedly about his deeply held beliefs, which is pretty rare in politics or he is an amazing actor. But acting that well is so impossibly rare that the former is far more likely to be true.

He's a lock to run for president eventually, right? Probably not 2020 if he gets in the senate but maybe if he loses.

omg

lol

What's going on in the Heller race? Just a weak D candidate?

Talking betting odds, senate flipping is around 30% and i can find people to bet with at that price.

Am i mistaken in thinking that the odds are decently higher than that? i am always wary of betting against the market especially on foreign political issues (i already got burnt with brexit), but it seems correlation of results is being underplayed currently by the odds.

What am i missing? there are several toss up but they are not independent from each other. Any national-wide story (scotus for ex) could affect most or all of them enough to switch them all to the same party.

I think both senate flipping , and gop 52-48 or better have higher odds than currently predicted.

Please find the flaws in my thinking process.

They're not totally independent of each other, but some of these elections are basically being conducted in alternate universes where the political climate is drastically different. Red-state Dems, who also have to win in order to flip the Senate, are trying to pull out wins with totally different strategies, by stressing that they're not THAT hostile to Trump.

While obviously the likes of Donnelly in Indiana are boosted by a favorable national climate, they're still having to walk a brutal tightrope, and these races aren't going to swing on a strong majority sentiment of just voting Democrat for the greater good.

Rosen's a centrist democrat who everyone is voting for because Heller really sucks, not because we're excited to. Anyone else would've been better but pretty much no one else ran.

Literally filed a lawsuit to kill pre-existing conditions protections

ND Senate candidate Kevin Cramer asks: even if Kavanaugh did what he accused of, so what?

The interviewer had to provide the obvious answer for him:

Interesting tactic, leaving the door open for "it did happen and Kavanaugh just didn't know" lmao

Quinnipiac

Nelson 53
Scott 46

(was 49-49 3 weeks ago)