https://twitter.com/JimCarrey/status/998585686570680320

Carrey has serious game.

My quibble with those overly concerned about school shootings [though it is a subject of legitimate concern] is that they maybe take the lives of 100 people per year. Guns kill 30k per year in Murica, mostly by suicide (think "low barrier to entry"). Individual tragedies, whether early death or misery due to lack of health care, unnecessary incarceration, exploitation and poverty brought about in part by worthless private education providers who qualify for federal student loans, and many others, are all tragedies of modern America. Yet many people seem blind to the fact that they are the "choice" of the polity, as represented by the fact that Trump and the GOP Congress were elected. Sure, people did not actually choose them or understand the consequences of their "choices", but an ultimate rule of "democracy" is that you are stuck with your choices, whether you understood them or not. All they need to do is say that the unchurched, or foreign, or eggheads, or the unpatriotic support X, and they will get plenty of voters against X irrespective of the merits.

Example # 12,894,398 that elections have consequences:

Supreme Court sides with employers in class action arbitration cases

heart.jpg RBG

https://us.cnn.com/2018/05/21/politi...uch/index.html

Interesting.


https://twitter.com/michael_nielsen/...75823114551297

Lol at anyone thinking Mueller will end his investigation before he is satisfied it is as completed as he can make it. Trump isn’t up for re-election in November.

That's not what he was doing, like at all. Please stop.

Mortality rate as a percentage of GNP? Gross national product?

Infant mortality tends to go down as GNP rises. I think the point is showing is that there are basically no effect of medical advances over and above GNP effect. (Of course, there are significant changes during the time period, such as proliferation of guns and opioids, but also decrease in smoking and greater vehicle safety.)


https://twitter.com/michael_nielsen/...87599088664576

Edit: don't really know the guy, but he tends to regularly tweet smart and interesting things, which is consistent with his wiki bio (that I just checked):

Surely some of the GNP effect is the result of medical advances.

I was just paraphrasing what a former prosecutor was saying in an article. I don’t think anybody like that was saying Thanksgiving was a reasonable end date.

The y-axis of the graph is labeled "Mortality per 100,000 population", so I am not sure how GNP comes in, even though it says so in the description of the graph. They are absolute values too, even though it says "percentage", so I guess either the title or the y-axis is mislabeling the graphic.

Yeah, something is off and wouldn't the adjustment be inverse of GNP? As a percentage of 1/GNP?

Meh. Not surprising to any doc, and if you think about it, shouldn't be surprising to anyone.

The long term mortality for everyone is 100%. If you don't die of cholera, you die of heart disease or cancer (or nowadays, dementia). Additionally, although the US infant mortality rate is still higher than it should be (compared to say, Switzerland) it's still a lot better than it was in 1900, which bumps the numbers for average date of death to the "right". What has happened, to some degree, is that people are living longer with their hypertension/CAD/cancer before dying......

TBH, it's a **** graph, and the more I look at it the less I think it tells me much of anything.

MM MD

Not going to dig into an issue I found interesting in passing, but the tweet has a link to a pdf of the original 1977 study in a medical journal that "inspired" the updated graph from the book.

Absolutely shocked I tell ya

Yeah, actually I don't think it's unreasonable to assume that the authors addressed (in the asterisk there) whatever concerns we could think up in 15 minutes looking at the little info in the tweet.

This is what I was saying lol. No one believes Huckster saying it so I have no idea why Rudy saying it after going bonkers on TV for a week straight makes anything legit.

An interesting stat re mortality is the modal date of death. ie the age people most commonly die at if nothing else kills them

In the UK this has jumped quite a lot over the last couple of decades.

Here is an example article on the subject


quite a few others if you google -- modal date of death site:.gov.uk --

Hummm....

if you told me, “hey last summer one of your coworkers was actually working as an undercover cop” i wouldn’t freak out. i would be relieved because i know i don’t do illegal **** at my job, and a coworker watching me closely could verify that for investigators.

if i was up to illegal **** and you told me the same thing, i would probably freak out like trump is doing rn

Man, we can't even question someone's morals anymore without them getting so sensitive and offended by it . Hard to adjust to this new PC world. I'm glad we have Trump telling it like it is.

Odds we have a Monday Massacre? 10%? 25%? Higher?

Trump does have a thing for branding, and the alliteration would be a nice touch.

I think there's a greater chance they capitulate, though. It'll be a bogus investigation, but it's not going to find anything anyway. Thus I think they'll decide they are better off capitulating and avoiding a massacre when Congress won't do **** about it.

The silver lining in the class action decision is that it's a benefit to employers so wages will surely be going up now, right? havwal going to get a raise!

i'd like to think i could do a better job of concealing my panic over it, personally