Quote:
Originally Posted by mosdef
They thought he was going to get rid of Obamacare (healthcare for blacks and Muslims, probably) not the Affordable Care Act (a good thing for whites).
One minor but extent risk is that the GOP flounders a bit for a few months, even years during the Trump Admin trying to cobble together a coalition for their domestic policies but then settle on precisely this strategy. When Round 2 of the AHCA or RyanCare or whatever it's called is far more explicitly a good things for whites but not blacks or other undeservings kind of plan.
I mean here we are, where the GOP is throwing off the bonds of racial and religious egalitarian norms in
rhetoric but largely not in health care policy yet (e.g., no one on the GOP side is proposing racial or religious tests to get government assistance).
But they also can't get the tax/spending math together to satisfy the Ryan wing, e.g., the tax and debt hawks of the party, and they can't get enough coverage and handouts for the middle class and older whites to satisfy the Trump wing.
What is the modern GOP but a second best compromise between the Ryan wing that lower taxes and a white working class that does NOT want a lower taxes, but does not want to be paying taxes and accepting of tax where benefits go to minorities/immigrants?
The result so far, in rhetoric, increasingly immigration policy, maybe foreign policy -- is nationalist populism that satisfies both groups.
I don't see why they won't arrive to this sooner or later: the judiciary and the law is likely strong enough to stand up to anything overt, but like voters IDs and the now reformed travel ban, like criminal justice and sentencing, like zoning laws in cities -- legislators are entirely capable of writing laws that give de facto assistance to whites over blacks even if they can't do it on a de jure basis.
It's probably far more likely the GOP just flounders and clowns around and does nothing, but I can very easily imagine where the GOP sees electoral risk headed their way and pivots the Trumpian/Bannon, far-right nationalist European path: "OK, OK, conceded: we're going to get a great CBO score on this 'health care for whites, nothing for blacks and other layabouts' plan" whereby they satisfy both wings by giving whites health care and producing the savings by not giving it to blacks and Muslims and single mothers and whoever else.
It's pretty clearly exactly what their voters want. You mean it sardonically but the reason why the right-wing is tearing itself up over this is encapsulated in your quip here: the Ryan wing is trying to reform health care in a race neutral way that simply enriches themselves and gets them more money. The Trump wing is trying to reach the voters who wanted to get rid of Obamacare for blacks but wants to keep the Affordable Care Act for whites. Both sides can get behind what the other wants so long as they get something they want. It seems like they'll square that circle eventually, it's like the perpetual compromise of the modern GOP. Why not here?
Last edited by DVaut1; 03-14-2017 at 07:25 AM.