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The Presidency of Donald J. Trump: No smocking guns. The Presidency of Donald J. Trump: No smocking guns.

03-11-2017 , 11:21 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DVaut1
Well, it's not quite that either; although that's closer than "TRUMP DEFENDER TROLL."

I don't know that merely being stupid deserves punishment, so I'm not arguing for sadism. I wish Trump on no one, not even dumb people.

But yes. What led to Trump and backsliding away from democracy and those sorts of impulses now common in the electorate were systemic failures of our political system and political culture, some dating back the founding of the country, some almost a century in the making, some more recent. Russian interference is a sideshow causative factor and a sideshow to addressing those problems. Believe me, I hope it works. If Trump broke the law, it should be applied to him vigorously. It would solve an urgent problem the way defibrillators might revive a 300lb dude who just collapsed from a heart attack after eating a 2500 calorie meal. But in the end we'll be left as obese fat guys with a severe diet problem. That's not to say we should necessarily put the defibrillators away but let's recognize all of us, collectively, have borne witness to our eating problems and lifestyle build to this moment. Distributed guilt is hard to measure but is a thing.

You seem to think part of the cure for the disease is to ignore one of the symptoms.
03-11-2017 , 11:24 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DVaut1
I think you're correct: it's not propaganda as usual. It was especially stupid and fantastical. I mean, which of the scandals culled from the Podesta emails were truthful? PizzaGate? Spirit Cooking? HILLARY CLINTON GOT THE DEBATE QUESTIONS IN ADVANCE? Bill Clinton's secret black son? Hillary Clinton setting a rapist free because she hates children?
See you're just referring to chain emails and Facebook posts. The hacking wasn't limited to the Podesta emails, there was info on Clinton foundation, strategies vs Bernie, donor information, etc.. I mean I must stress that these are "mini-scandals" and I'm not at all trying to say they weren't blown out of proportion.

But when you have leaks on this scale, and its reported on by basically all forms of media, its simply objectively damaging.
03-11-2017 , 11:24 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by einbert
But your argument is basically "we deserved it" for being stupid?
I don't get it either tbh.

Terrible analogy perhaps, but it kind of reminds me of how people see things in sport. Suppose you support a team and they are just ahead at the death of a game and then lose to a dodgy decision made by an official who turns out to be corrupt and on the take. Some would solely blame that official for the loss. Others may accept that was a factor but talk more about the rest of the game and that the losing team could have been way ahead by the end but for missed chances etc, so should look at themselves more so than the official.

The fact is that many people are stupid and easily led (some politicians believe in Adam and Eve ffs), but that isn't going to change any time soon. It's also obvious that the US has a crappy electoral system. None of that should prevent serious criticism of the Russian influence here. I think if you lived in Eastern Europe you'd want as much push-back against Putin as possible - he's pure evil and a serious threat to more than US democracy.
03-11-2017 , 11:25 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by einbert
I mean, yeah. I've watched Fox News become more and more popular, watched Rush and right-wing radio take over the AM airwaves. I've watched in horror as people that used to call themselves conservationists 20 years ago (because they loved hunting and fishing) now trash any efforts to protect the environment. I've seen very intelligent people succumb to ignorance and hate when they didn't want to deal with difficult issues like LGBT rights or transgender people existing. I've watched all this stuff happen and I've complained and protested about it every step of the way. What more do you expect the good people to do? We came out and voted en masse for Hillary. We got 2,900,000 more votes than the other side. We're just continuing that fight by pointing out Trump's massive crimes and lies. I don't see why you would have a problem with that.
When it comes to the Russian / Trump connections specifically, a good idea would be to tell a very coherent, incisive story that lays out the specific theory of what the wrong-doing is, what the crimes are, the specific incentives of the people involved. I think the left is failing to do that, so coordinating more and settling on a very coherent story would be valuable.

If there are more shoes to drop, let's drop them. If there are investigations to have, let's do that.

But: if we're just planning to yell about this for the next few years, and build more p-hacking type evidence without a coherent frame -- I'd argue voters have for better worse heard enough now and internalized a conclusion either way. The broad outlines of the charges here were known prior to November 2016 and Republicans are in power everywhere, including Trump. It doesn't feel like a political winner even if there's merit. So we should move onto things that are more relevant to people. The focus on Russia feels like replicating some of the worst mistakes and impulses of the Clinton campaign to flatter and covert the remaining college educated white Republicans who might give a **** about the precise ways this story hits home but then loses the focus of the poor, racial minorities, the working class, the kinds of voters who ultimately are going to be behind Democratic ascendancy should it ever arrive and for whom Trump's collusion with a foreign power isn't quite at the top of their political priorities and have far more pressing needs Democrats aren't addressing.
03-11-2017 , 11:27 AM
Here's the problem, though, DVaut1. It's not a political issue. It's a national security issue. I must continue to yell about it because the very fabric of our democracy is at stake, and Republicans have absolutely no intention of working to rescue that democracy!

Russia’s ability to manipulate U.S. elections is a national security issue, not a political one
https://www.brookings.edu/opinions/r...political-one/
Quote:
There’s no need to ask what Republicans would be doing if the shoe were on the other foot—if the Russians had intervened to help elect the Democratic nominee. They would be demanding a bipartisan select committee of Congress, or a congressionally mandated blue-ribbon panel of experts and senior statesmen with full subpoena powers to look into the matter. They would be insisting that, for reasons of national security alone, it was essential to determine what happened: what the Russians did, how they did it and how they could be prevented from doing it again. If that investigation found that certain American individuals had somehow participated in or facilitated the Russian operation, they would insist that such information be made public and that appropriate legal proceedings begin. And if the Democrats tried to slow-roll the investigations, to block the creation of select committees or outside panels, or to insist that investigations be confined to the intelligence committees whose inquiries and findings could be kept from the public, Republicans would accuse them of a coverup and of exposing the nation to further attacks. And they would be right.

But it is the Republicans who are covering up. The party’s current leader, the president, questions the intelligence community’s findings, motives, and integrity. Republican leaders in Congress have opposed the creation of any special investigating committee, either inside or outside Congress. They have insisted that inquiries be conducted by the two intelligence committees. Yet the Republican chairman of the committee in the House has indicated that he sees no great urgency to the investigation and has even questioned the seriousness and validity of the accusations. The Republican chairman of the committee in the Senate has approached the task grudgingly. The result is that the investigations seem destined to move slowly, produce little information and provide even less to the public. It is hard not to conclude that this is precisely the intent of the Republican Party’s leadership, both in the White House and Congress.

This approach not only is damaging to U.S. national security but also puts the Republican Party in an untenable position. When Republicans stand in the way of thorough, open and immediate investigations, they become Russia’s accomplices after the fact. This is undoubtedly not their intent. No one in the party wants to help Russia harm the United States and its democratic institutions. But Republicans need to face the fact that by slowing down, limiting or otherwise hampering the fullest possible investigation into what happened, that is what they are doing.

It’s time for the party to put national security above partisan interest. Republican leaders need to name a bipartisan select committee or create an outside panel, and they need to do so immediately. They must give that committee the mission and all the necessary means for getting to the bottom of what happened last year. And then they must begin to find ways to defend the nation against this new weapon that threatens to weaken American democracy. The stakes are far too high for politics as usual.
03-11-2017 , 11:28 AM
"Move onto things that are more relevant to people"

National security is not relevant to people? The United States system of democracy is not important to people? Corruption and treason at the highest levels through the office of the presidency is not important to people?

If you're right, we might as well give up on democracy now. If you're right, democracy in the U.S. is absolutely 100% doomed to fail and we might as well abandon it early rather than continue to put it on life support. And I had better start learning Russian on duolingo.
03-11-2017 , 11:30 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DVaut1
How did the simple act of hacking a server lead to Trump's victory? You're not arguing they hacked the machines that tabulate votes and stuff, right?
I mean, Nixon didn't break into the place where voting machines were stored.

I do see your larger point, though. In a healthy, functional democracy, Russia flooding the internet with pepe memes would be a zany side story to the 2016 election. That's not the sort of thing that swings elections. The left lost because the American electorate was already primed and ready to believe in Benghaziiii or emailgate or pizzagate or any of the other right-wing agitprop and the most you can say about Russia's influence is that it offered some mild encouragement to the deplorable squad.

On one hand, foreign nations dicking around with our elections is a problem that should be taken seriously and investigated. Let's not put that **** on the back burner. On the other hand, "Dems lost because Russia hacked the election" is a dangerous narrative that papers over the dysfunction in the Democratic party and the nation as a whole.
03-11-2017 , 11:30 AM
It's the flywf emailzzzz test.
What law was broken?
What is the specific evidence do you have that that law was broken?
03-11-2017 , 11:32 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by tomdemaine
It's the flywf emailzzzz test.
What law was broken?
What is the specific evidence do you have that that law was broken?
So you're saying that the email scandal failed to hurt Hillary?
03-11-2017 , 11:36 AM
Anyway here's a start as to "actual laws the Trump admin has broken:"
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Perjury
03-11-2017 , 11:36 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by einbert
So you're saying that the email scandal failed to hurt Hillary?
Are you trying to hurt Trump with fake scandals like they did to Hillary? Like if the goal is to nod and wink and try to innuendo him out of office, godspeed. I'll justify those means to achieve a noble end but you're preaching to the choir here and I doubt the deplorables will be swayed by the tactic.
03-11-2017 , 11:38 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by tomdemaine
Are you trying to hurt Trump with fake scandals like they did to Hillary? Like if the goal is to nod and wink and try to innuendo him out of office, godspeed. I'll justify those means to achieve a noble end but you're preaching to the choir here and I doubt the deplorables will be swayed by the tactic.
No, I'm talking about a long list of crimes. Right now the biggest and most easily provable one is PERJURY by the friggin' Attorney General of the US! But people don't want to look at that because they're too busy handwaving away the entire scandal because they really enjoy their Greenwald hot takes, served fresh and stupid in the morning.


https://twitter.com/T_FisherKing/sta...30135500931073
03-11-2017 , 11:39 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Trolly McTrollson
I mean, Nixon didn't break into the place where voting machines were stored.

I do see your larger point, though. In a healthy, functional democracy, Russia flooding the internet with pepe memes would be a zany side story to the 2016 election. That's not the sort of thing that swings elections. The left lost because the American electorate was already primed and ready to believe in Benghaziiii or emailgate or pizzagate or any of the other right-wing agitprop and the most you can say about Russia's influence is that it offered some mild encouragement to the deplorable squad.

On one hand, foreign nations dicking around with our elections is a problem that should be taken seriously and investigated. Let's not put that **** on the back burner. On the other hand, "Dems lost because Russia hacked the election" is a dangerous narrative that papers over the dysfunction in the Democratic party and the nation as a whole.
Right. My point was that "DIRECT INTERFERENCE" is a purposefully alarmist characterization of what basically amounts to unleashing Pepe on the internet. If this is the kind of thing that really upends your political system it really wasn't worth saving. I categorically dismiss it, partly because I find it asinine but also because if I'm wrong and it's true that Spirit Cooking and Comet Pizza fantasies were truly dispositive, then the whole conversation is fruitless and humanity is ****ed. I choose instead to believe we have far deeper, more fundamental problems if only because it speaks to our possibilities. It's like finding a bed-ridden, paralyzed human and the doctor blaming it on a superficial wart. If it's true, then we should all become Shamen or witch doctors or something. Acknowledging Pepe brought down America is the worst sort of defeatism, it implicitly acknowledges our whole political system rested on norm of judiciously deploying racist frog memes instead of unscrupulously doing it, that once the Russians figured out the secret trick of being serially racist liars then the whole system was doomed. I remain convinced we have better in us, collectively. That the explanations for this moment lie elsewhere.
03-11-2017 , 11:41 AM
We're not talking about Pepe the frog here we're talking about a huge international conspiracy to discredit Hillary Clinton. Do you not remember that The FBI was in on this effort to discredit her, during the friggin' voting period no less?

http://www.slate.com/blogs/the_slate..._director.html
03-11-2017 , 11:42 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by tomdemaine
It's the flywf emailzzzz test.
What law was broken?
What is the specific evidence do you have that that law was broken?
The fly test was aids for a lot of reasons. Russia covertly paying trolls to spread propaganda on the internet presumably doesn't break any laws. That doesn't mean we just let foreign interference happen with no repercussion.
03-11-2017 , 11:45 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DVaut1
Right. My point was that "DIRECT INTERFERENCE" is a purposefully alarmist characterization of what basically amounts to unleashing Pepe on the internet. If this is the kind of thing that really upends your political system it really wasn't worth saving. I categorically dismiss it, partly because I find it asinine but also because if I'm wrong and it's true that Spirit Cooking and Comet Pizza fantasies were truly dispositive, then the whole conversation is fruitless and humanity is ****ed. I choose instead to believe we have far deeper, more fundamental problems if only because it speaks to our possibilities. It's like finding a bed-ridden, paralyzed human and the doctor blaming it on a superficial wart. If it's true, then we should all become Shaman or witch doctors or something. Acknowledging Pepe brought down America is the worst sort of defeatism, it implicitly acknowledges our whole political system rested on norm of judiciously deploying racist frog memes instead of unscrupulously doing it, that once the Russians figured out the secret trick of being serially racist liars then the whole system was doomed. I remain convinced we have better in us, collectively. That the explanations for this moment lie elsewhere.
There is no reason to reduce it to either or.

Both things are true, Russia directly interfered in the election and the US political and media systems were primed for this interference through long developing systematic weaknesses of thier own making.
03-11-2017 , 11:45 AM
What all this is ignoring is that you have a political party (Republicans) that lie constantly and pay absolutely zero price for it. And you want to let them get away with the biggest crime ever? That's not exactly how you solve the underlying problem. In fact, you're only encouraging them to lie more if you let them get away with this.


https://twitter.com/mattyglesias/sta...60169876619264
03-11-2017 , 11:48 AM

https://twitter.com/AshleyRParker/st...45823280058372

https://twitter.com/brianklaas/statu...84115707240453
03-11-2017 , 11:50 AM

https://twitter.com/NPRinskeep/statu...34265666015232
03-11-2017 , 11:51 AM
Ramming down the seemingly badly prepared TrumpCare seems to be a Democratic strategy:

Quote:
As if anyone needs a reminder, Pelosi famously said of the Affordable Care Act as it was being rammed through Congress with no Republican support (emphasis added):

"You’ve heard about the controversies within the bill, the process about the bill, one or the [other]. But I don’t know if you have heard that it is legislation for the future; not just about health care for America, but about a healthier America, where preventive care is not something that you have to pay a deductible for, or out of pocket. Prevention, prevention, prevention—it’s about diet, not diabetes. It’s going to be very, very exciting.

But we have to pass the bill so that you can find out what’s in it--away from the fog of the controversy."


http://www.dailywire.com/news/14329/...ats-frank-camp
03-11-2017 , 11:52 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by einbert

https://twitter.com/NPRinskeep/statu...34265666015232
This American Life has done several stories on the reprehensible actions of the US in abondoning the very people who helped them most during their two wars.

Anyone defending this is scum on the face of it.
03-11-2017 , 11:55 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by kypreanus
Ramming down the seemingly badly prepared TrumpCare seems to be a Democratic strategy:
It took a year to pass Obamacare, numbnuts.
03-11-2017 , 12:00 PM
Paul Manafort's daughter's alleged texts:

"You know he has killed people in Ukraine? Knowingly," Andrea Manafort allegedly wrote of her father in March 2015 in an angry series of texts to her sister, Jessica, about her father's personal and professional life.
"Remember when there were all those deaths taking place. A while back. About a year ago. Revolts and what not," reads another text in reference to the bloodshed in Kiev.
"Do you know whose strategy that was to cause that, to send those people out and get them slaughtered."


"He has no moral or legal compass," Andrea allegedly wrote about her father earlier as part of the same conversation.

http://www.cnn.com/2017/03/10/politi...xts/index.html
03-11-2017 , 12:04 PM
Thanks DVaut for saving me heaps of typing (and further attacks as a white supremacist!)

Careful though, the ghost of DVaut past did not seem to be a fan of maieutics.

Rockfsh,

Now those are some spicy texts. Crazy story. In another series they say:

Quote:
"I was there when it happened. I saw him on his shady email," she allegedly wrote. "They don't write emails. They log on and write in the drafts So it's never transmitted over any servers."
The ol draft shared login routine!
03-11-2017 , 12:08 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Trolly McTrollson
Russia covertly paying trolls to spread propaganda on the internet presumably doesn't break any laws.
Hacking into emails obviously does! I mean I seriously don't get how you and dVault could just miss that there was a very public join intelligence report going into depth about the Russian hacking. Even Trump himself caved and finally admitted "it was probably the Russians".

I mean I know neither of you are Trumpkins, and I actually agree with your larger point, but you're downplaying Russian interference to the point of simply being inaccurate.

      
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