Quote:
Originally Posted by microbet
It's possible and maybe probable that there is isolated violence, but I'd still put the chances of organized widespread violence from Trumpkins at less than 50% and of the courts deciding who wins and the police and military respecting that at more than 50%. I'm not simplicitus confident, but I think we have a fair chance at a relatively peaceful transfer of power.
I'm
simplictus confident.
The army of rank-n-file deplorables are maxing out their action potential with these MAGA rallies, just like they did with the Tea Party rallies before. That's it, that's all they got.
Those rallies are all astroturfed. They don't happen without active and persistent $$$$ sponsorship. Civil unrest is bad for business. There is no way the Koch bros/etc/etc aren't pulling the plug long before civil unrest might come into play.
The folks that go out and actually do more than rally are a tiny group. The Proud Boys etc/etc are currently outnumbered like 100-1 on the streets. They aren't going to stand up to the cops... they need those cops to protect them from civil society.
If there is violence, it'll be stuff like unorganized mass shootings in churches, pizza parlor basements, and such.