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Originally Posted by bobman0330
I think people overestimate the relevance of legal issues here. The necessary and sufficient condition for a Trump impeachment is a critical mass of Republicans deciding that ending the Trump circus is better for them from a political/policy perspective than playing along. Leaks about Russia obviously lead them in that direction, but it's not likely they play a decisive role on their own. Sustained public criticism of GOP legislators plus policy gridlock is what ultimately gets the job done (if it happens). If GOP congresspeople can't have townhalls or take constituent calls because there's an unending storm of hate and rage overwhelming everything else, that will start to get their attention. Likewise if Congress can't make progress on healthcare or tax reform because there is zero presidential leadership on the policy process.
But the risk for them is great, right? Many people are going to feel betrayed by the Republicans if they turn on Trump. Some people who finally realize how they've been duped, Trump true believers, it will fracture this fragile coalition. And right before the census. If the backlash is great enough they stand to lose their gerrymandered districts, many of the statehouses they've spent decades infiltrating, etc. I'm not sure I would count on them quickly pivoting to some self-preservation strategy and turning on Trump. They may assume, and probably rightfully, that their only real political play is to just continue to plow ahead.