Quote:
Originally Posted by Our House
Whoa, wait. Is impeachment voting anonymous? That would change things quite a bit. Or was that an "if"?
No, it's not anonymous, I was just making the point that right now I think the only thing holding back a ton of the Republicans in Congress is putting their name next to their vote - if they could secretly do it, they would. So, once they have a combination of:
a) political cover
and
b) polling that indicates it's in their best interest to do it
They'll do it. I think we're getting closer... The past week gave them more political cover than the Russia stuff, and should hurt his polling, too. I don't know what he needs to drop to, but 20-25% is probably a good guess. Nixon's floor was 24%. Basically, 25% equates to roughly 50% support in the Republican primaries, so with it trending downward, they know they're close to more GOP voters opposing Trump than supporting him. It gets more complicated, because the registered Republicans who vote in primaries skew more conservative than registered/self-identified Republicans in polls, but those guys also have to win general elections after they win primaries... and I don't know how bad a president with 25% approval rating hypothetical messes it up for them in terms of Cook PVI district-by-district, but it's gotta be pretty bad.
It's also a combination of the two, so his approval could jump to 45% and Mueller could drop a bombshell that makes them move on it right away (knowing his approval would subsequently drop and finding it unacceptable to wait).
Anyway, speaking of approval rating...
Quote:
Originally Posted by ScreaminAsian
bannon was pushing for his agenda from the inside, now he's gonna push his agenda from the outside. if trump betrays brightbart-brand conservative values they might actually be critical of him. trump getting it from both sides = harder to get anything done plus he looks like an incapable ****head to more people
It can also be bad news for his approval numbers and his base... Right now the Breitbart wing, the racist right, etc, just love him... He's losing tons of support from both right and left of the political center, but it's all to the left of Trump...
If he starts losing support from the extreme right wing, he'd be losing it from both his left and his right, and he might spin out of control politically (or worse). I think this could send him into the political equivalent of a computer loop, where he keeps pandering to whatever support he thinks he has left.