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The Presidency of Donald J. Trump: No smocking guns. The Presidency of Donald J. Trump: No smocking guns.

08-16-2017 , 05:11 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Yuv
For the dude asking, this is Netanyahu's son. As you can imagine, this is the general response here for the right-wing. I've read less "articulate" versions of this which basically assumes the rally was a quiet peaceful one from law-abiding oppressed right wing, with a few rotten apples.




https://www.facebook.com/yair.netan/...74?pnref=story
He's not entirely wrong. The Nazis hate him, but not his country. Antifa does hate his country (he recognizes they don't hate him). The truth of the dying breed part is in question, but not really relevant. Netanyahu's son and the Israeli right will cozy up with antisemites as long as they are right wingers and support the occupation. They'll cozy up with the Saudi regime as well though, so the pretense that antisemitism is a deal breaker is pretty thin.
08-16-2017 , 05:13 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by microbet
True. I wouldn't cast things as hopeless and without progress. I think new movements like BLM, social media, anonymity online, cell phone video and such have made racism more open and harder to ignore for white people.

Trump is still shockingly racist for a POTUS. The stars aligned in a very bad way and this time Pat Buchanan won, but America isn't really a worse country. The media and the Democrats ****ed up this time. Still, the big change in America is that the thoughts of Buchanan supporters are exposed all around us. It's the same country where Buchanan came in second twice in a row. If you thought about it and many people did, that was a pretty awful sign at the time. If that situation is less tolerable now, that at least means there's more recognition of racism and pressure to confront it. I don't mean to imply I think progress is inevitable though. People have to fight for the world they want.
I agree to an extent. I wouldn't cast things as hopeless. On the other hand, the conditions underlying the rise of the fascist impulse aren't being addressed. So it's hard to see us getting out of this context where Buchanan and Trump don't have huge levels of popular support. I agree it will ebb and flow but Buchanan sort of proves the point I'm making: this is a very long standing political emotion that's been incubating for a long time.

More importantly, to my point: I wouldn't pin our hopes on waiting for Trumpkins to wake up.
08-16-2017 , 05:16 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by microbet
True. I wouldn't cast things as hopeless and without progress. I think new movements like BLM, social media, anonymity online, cell phone video and such have made racism more open and harder to ignore for white people.

Trump is still shockingly racist for a POTUS. The stars aligned in a very bad way and this time Pat Buchanan won, but America isn't really a worse country. The media and the Democrats ****ed up this time. Still, the big change in America is that the thoughts of Buchanan supporters are exposed all around us. It's the same country where Buchanan came in second twice in a row. If you thought about it and many people did, that was a pretty awful sign at the time. If that situation is less tolerable now, that at least means there's more recognition of racism and pressure to confront it. I don't mean to imply I think progress is inevitable though. People have to fight for the world they want.
I think Buchanan winning makes it much harder to denormalize Buchanan in the near future. My maybe uninformed view is that the only way to reduce Trump and his Nazi army (can we stop using alt-right? it actually make it sounds better than it is) back to their original marginal size is if the GOP decides to do so and actually risk something in that effort.

If Lindsay Graham, Paul Ryan and whoever else is somewhat popular and of some importance in the Republican world unite together and say "trump is a racist goon and not what our party stands for", it might help the 50 year old standard republican dad to decide that he should actively vote against Steve Bannon and friends.
08-16-2017 , 05:17 AM
Yeah the Trumpkins aren't going to wake up they are just going to get angrier when most of the campaign promises don't come true.
08-16-2017 , 05:20 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by microbet
He's not entirely wrong. The Nazis hate him, but not his country. Antifa does hate his country (he recognizes they don't hate him). The truth of the dying breed part is in question, but not really relevant. Netanyahu's son and the Israeli right will cozy up with antisemites as long as they are right wingers and support the occupation. They'll cozy up with the Saudi regime as well though, so the pretense that antisemitism is a deal breaker is pretty thin.
True, although at this point "supporting the occupation" is far less important than "hate the left and MSM" for the right wing in Israel. No one cares what the Alt-Right thoughts on settlements are, all they care is that they hate muslim, hate the liberals and hate MSM.
08-16-2017 , 05:36 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DVaut1
Maybe a blip down in his approval rating but the GOP will get every single one of those voters back
Exactly. I don't place much importance on approval rating anymore because of this. A war works too. Trump has assurances backing him up from many sources. Putin, GOP, Fox/Sinclair, every department in government, etc.

The important thing is, WTF can we do about it besides yelling loudly or waiting a full year with hopes of voting them out? It's painfully obvious how different things will be if he's still POTUS that far down the road.

As of maybe 3 or 4 weeks ago, I've lost faith in the GOP, and subsequently, impeachment as well. So has Trump apparently. His recent vicious attacks on McConnell and, what, 7 or 8 other Congressional Republicans show he's willing to part with them, if necessary. He doesn't want to, but if push came to shove... Because Nazis and dictators both get much more respect, and Putin gets infinite respect. Trump's not parting with the latter group anytime soon.

PS (off topic, but I just saw it on TV) I cannot tolerate it when Trump says [crazy ass claim] followed by "you know it" and pointing to a reporter or someone who can't answer back.
08-16-2017 , 06:31 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by cuserounder
Last but not least, I'd say we have a combo draw here in that if Mueller comes through or Congress impeaches sooner rather than later, we can at least have a government that is not aligned directly with overt white supremacists.
There's zero doubt Mueller will come through. Obstruction alone is a slam dunk and Democrat committee members have been saying Mueller has fire* ever since the Manafort raid became public. That was last Tuesday, when Trump threatened to nuke NK immediately after.

You know who else knows Mueller will come through? Yep, those two bastards. Is nobody even slightly curious about how they plan on countering it?

*Like "adoptions" = sanctions and "former KGB" = current FSB, "fire" = Russian collusion.

Quote:
Originally Posted by cuserounder
Even now, they continue to believe it can't and won't get worse, because America.
100% solid advice. Our country dropping the huge egos (like Europeans have done) would help. We're not that special anymore. Who would ever think in 2017 that the US would be looking to Germany for racial morality?

Anyway, accepting that we're not so special also accepts we're not so invulnerable either.
08-16-2017 , 06:42 AM
WHAT?? Who the **** is this Cantwell guy?

Quote:
Later, Reeve reconnects with Cantwell to go over the weekend’s events. “We knew that we were going to meet a lot of resistance,” he tells her. “The fact that nobody on our side died, I’d go ahead and call that points for us.” He then calls the rally “tough to top,” adding, “I think a lot more people are going to die before we’re done here, frankly.”
http://ew.com/tv/2017/08/15/vice-new...ille-episode/]

EDIT: And here's the full "eye-popping" clip:



20:50 YIKES

Last edited by Our House; 08-16-2017 at 06:51 AM.
08-16-2017 , 07:07 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bleh
The amazing thing is that Trump had it perfectly played both ways. He had his initial reaction, which the nazis loved. Then he came out with his canned bull**** condemnation - which the nazis totally didn't buy at all - but would still be perfectly adequate for all the "normie" white people out there.

Butnahhhhhh - he couldn't live with that. Had to go full racist ****** and make SURE the nazis know he's on their side. Bold move Cotton, let's see how it plays out.
it will play out just fine for him.
08-16-2017 , 07:11 AM
Hey guys, chin up. At least the figure that underpins our entire financial system isn't a completely arbitrary fabrication.

oh wait, yes it it.
08-16-2017 , 07:35 AM
08-16-2017 , 07:35 AM
Hey look, same Cantwell guy saying more people will die, but this is 6am today and he's crying his eyes out. Trumpism: Where the bully is the coward.

08-16-2017 , 07:36 AM
08-16-2017 , 07:39 AM
Tomorrow: Jeff Sessions arrests people who use projectors on buildings.
08-16-2017 , 07:46 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by tomdemaine
Hey guys, chin up. At least the figure that underpins our entire financial system isn't a completely arbitrary fabrication.

oh wait, yes it it.
Eh. I mostly agree with what Matt Levine has written recently on this issue, and since he's a much better (and more informed) writer than me I'll just quote him.

TLDR is that the financial system needs an agreed upon number. LIBOR worked for that purpose even if it wasn't really based on anything. The "solution" won't really be any better than LIBOR.

Quote:
Still I am reminded of the notion that banks work by concealing risk. The essence of banking is to issue "risk-free" claims (deposits), and use the money to fund risky activities (loans). This is impossible -- you can't really turn risky activities into risk-free investments -- and also socially necessary, in that it mobilizes savers' money into productive activities. "A banking system," writes Steve Randy Waldman, "is a superposition of fraud and genius that interposes itself between investors and entrepreneurs" to make everyone better off. But like any fraud, it suffers from exposure: If everyone thinks too hard about the fact that banks use risk-free deposits to fund risky loans, then the system collapses. (This, arguably, describes 2008, and every banking panic.)

Similarly, Libor solves (solved?) an important coordination problem by sheer brazen magic: A number was needed, and everyone agreed to provide a number, and not to worry too much about whether the number was "real." Everyone involved kind of knew that, but the people who weren't involved -- including most borrowers and derivatives customers -- didn't, and were happier for not knowing. They just assumed "that the rate they will pay is based on reality." Now that it is seeping into popular consciousness that Libor was fake, its usefulness is also evaporating.
Quote:
What will happen to existing adjustable-rate mortgages when Libor disappears? How will banks and Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac decide what floating rate to use for future adjustable-rate mortgages? I don't know! No one seems to know. The future mortgages seem relatively straightforward; you could tie them to one-year Treasury rates (as some banks already do), or to whatever short-term secured funding rate replaces Libor for derivatives purposes, or whatever. The only issue -- which is hard enough -- is getting everyone to coordinate on the standard.

The existing mortgages seem like a bigger problem, especially because banks have kept writing Libor-based ARMs even as everyone talks about phasing out Libor. Eventually banks -- or whomever they've sold their mortgages to -- will have to choose some "comparable" index. Presumably the index won't be chosen in a way that loses money for the bank.
https://www.bloomberg.com/view/artic...mmunist-boards

https://www.bloomberg.com/view/artic...fargo-mistakes
08-16-2017 , 07:48 AM
In other news Gary Cohn is deeply upset



About a lack of tax cuts

08-16-2017 , 07:51 AM
Best indictment of Trump's character yet. When your mob ties make you too "dangerous" to open a casino 30 years ago, you might be slightly corrupt.

Donald Trump's 'mafia connections' blocked his bid to open Sydney casino 30 years ago

Quote:
President Donald Trump's bid to open Sydney's first casino 30 years ago was thwarted after regulators expressed concern over his alleged "mafia connections", it was revealed on Wednesday.

Australia's New South Wales (NSW) police board recommended against approving an offer from the former New York businessman and a local developer, according to a report from The Australian, because it would have been "dangerous".
08-16-2017 , 07:55 AM
One thing that makes this situation better than some of you are representing is that Trump barely won when facing one of the most unpopular Presidential candidates in modern time and against a large degree of apathy in Democratic voters.

So, I agree he's going to win the large majority of his supporters back in an election. But that's almost certainly not good enough even with increased voter suppression. There are millions of voters that didn't vote or voted third party that should be easily gettable next election after this **** show.

There's a large group of racists (and racist enablers) out there, but they're not enough to get a President elected in the vast majority of situations.

Now... I'm not saying the Democrats can't **** this up. But at the very least there's some room for optimism.
08-16-2017 , 08:03 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jjshabado
One thing that makes this situation better than some of you are representing is that Trump barely won when facing one of the most unpopular Presidential candidates in modern time and against a large degree of apathy in Democratic voters.

So, I agree he's going to win the large majority of his supporters back in an election. But that's almost certainly not good enough even with increased voter suppression. There are millions of voters that didn't vote or voted third party that should be easily gettable next election after this **** show.

There's a large group of racists (and racist enablers) out there, but they're not enough to get a President elected in the vast majority of situations.

Now... I'm not saying the Democrats can't **** this up. But at the very least there's some room for optimism.
Yeah, we were blindsided last election. But don't worry, they're fixing it as we speak.
08-16-2017 , 08:40 AM
At least we might avoid nuclear war?



https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/...84898865553409
08-16-2017 , 08:43 AM
Hillary will be back in 2020
08-16-2017 , 09:13 AM
With P7 closed, maybe FoldN can come back here and update us on how the aging process is going with this Scott Alexander blog that right wingers feverishly shared amongst themselves in November
http://slatestarcodex.com/2016/11/16...l-crying-wolf/
(h/t Max Read on twitter for reminding me)

Good? Did it age good?
08-16-2017 , 09:16 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Subterranean2
Hillary will be back in 2020
And if she does come back, she'll have to revise her estimation of Trump deplorables to something much higher than 50%.
08-16-2017 , 09:16 AM
Just to expand on my previous points and those of others, Donald himself positioned has campaign towards the "silent majority"

http://www.npr.org/2016/01/22/463884...t-mean-in-2016

I think that he believes and maybe rightfully so that there is a majority of at least white America that is still as much of a white supremacist as he is. And the evidence unfortunately seems to bear this out based on the election results and even the fact his support numbers have a hard floor. One reason I suspect the shocking election results occurred is that lots of people have views inside that they don't share with the people around them because they are racist and unpopular (ie the so called Silent Majority). Even though he didn't win the popular vote he won it if you exclude California and he outperformed the polls almost everywhere. 60m+ people voted for a man who was clearly a racist then and even more obviously is one now. That unfortunately tells you a lot about the actual views of our population.

In addition to the openly bigoted morons we have a very large class of closet bigots who agree with DJT and it is terrifying.
08-16-2017 , 09:16 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by FlyWf
With P7 closed, maybe FoldN can come back here and update us on how the aging process is going with this Scott Alexander blog that right wingers feverishly shared amongst themselves in November
http://slatestarcodex.com/2016/11/16...l-crying-wolf/
(h/t Max Read on twitter for reminding me)

Good? Did it age good?
FFS, don't invite them back here. Let's just wait and let the three-year trolling vendetta quietly fizzle out.

      
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