Quote:
Even the tough-grading Romanian judges put out a 9.0 for these mental gymnastics.
Ah its the 5ive guy. Buddy, i dont think im doing anything like that. There are a few reasons why the far right wing populist/nationalis parties popped up all over europe the past 40ish years but the most central reason is immigration. This goes under the new big political fault line called Globalization.
NYT has an article about this where some nice trends are visible:
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/...a-hungary.html
Also a reference to a study is made in a washington post opine (
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opini...=.3a5384f556c0 ):
"In fact, one statistical analysis of European Union countries found that more immigrants invariably means more populists. According to the study, if you extrapolate from current trends, “as the percentage of immigrants approaches approximately 22 percent, the percentage of right-wing populist voters exceeds 50 percent.” Hostility to immigration has been a core theme of every one of these populist parties."
Link to the study, pay special attention to the lowermost bolded text:
https://arxiv.org/pdf/1612.00270v2.pdf
Among the central tenets of globalization is free migration of labor. Although much has been written about its benefits, little is known about the limitations of globalization, including how immigration affects the anti-globalist sentiment.
Analyzing polls data, we find that over the last three years in a group of EU countries affected by the recent migrant crisis, the percentage of right-wing (RW) populist voters in a given country depends on the prevalence of immigrants in this country's population and the total immigration inflow into the entire EU. The latter is likely due to the EU resembling a supranational state, where the lack of inner borders causes that "somebody else's problem" easily turns into "my problem".
We further find that the increase in the percentage of RW voters substantially surpasses the immigration inflow, implying that if this process continues, RW populism may democratically prevail and eventually lead to a demise of globalization. We present evidence for tipping points in relation to the rise of RW populism. Finally, we model these empirical findings using a complex network framework wherein the success of globalization largely rests on the balance between immigration and immigrant integration.
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So im a bit worried about what will happen in the future wrt immigration. What i would not do is to downplay what political effects it can have. When people are voting or running for public office out of strong feelings of fear then extreme things can eventually happen. Theres no reasons to pretend that immigration is just roses.
Last edited by aflametotheground; 08-03-2017 at 09:07 AM.