Quote:
Originally Posted by iron81
Yes, to the extent that Priebus could avoid getting fired. Priebus out brings us one step closer to firing Mueller.
OK. I get the argument. But then to make sense of ScreaminAsian's anxiety, then the comparison isn't Priebus::Kelly. Because if the sole concern is Mueller gets to continue his investigation then either Priebus acquiesces to the firing of Mueller, in which case he's no better than anyone else. So his value in staying is nil. I suppose the ScreaminAsian position was that he stays and convinces Trump to let the investigation continue. So he's gone, so that scenario is out.
So if you're fretting about Kelly vis a vis only the fate of the Mueller investigation, then instead the question is a hypothetical replacement Chief of Staff versus Kelly.
But if Trump is firing Priebus because he was standing in the way of firing Mueller, then almost necessarily any replacement was chosen because the new CoS won't bother Trump about it.
So then it's really a question of if some potential replacement who is necessarily servile to Trump's interest in canning Mueller is effective at defending Trump. To that end I suppose the concerns about being a former military guy is accurate -- Kelly probably can't be more incompetent than Priebus -- but it seems like that winds up as a political battle. You'd be much more anxious about say Newt Gringrich or Duncan Hunter or Tom Cotton or someone with political savvy and a working knowledge of Congress and a good relationship with the GOP caucus imo. But it seems sort of debatable and uninteresting at that point. Trying to gauge the best wartime/impeachment consigliere for Trump is more art than science, and I don't see Kelly as particularly menacing in that regard. Frankly I think Priebus would be much more effective at coordinating with the RNC and the GOP caucus like Ryan to coordinate talking points and resources and whip up votes to save Trump. Not convinced that's really John Kelly's thing.