https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/...99895803203584
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/...02632687251456

Funny that he doesn't think losing by three million votes and still being president is crazy as well.

Maybe I'm over-optimistic, but it seems like a good sign that Silverman is jumping off the Trump train. Hopefully at some point the coalition of delusional rubes will realize that President Trump isn't actually going to bring back the gold standard or build a wall or make anime real or fulfill all of the real/imagined promises that were made in 2016.

Pretty sure Nate Silver has been banging that drum hard, basically that Trump's coalition was already extremely small relative to other winning Presidential candidates; he won by razor thin margins and was predicated on tons of hard to deliver promises or impossible fantasies so reversion and atrophy in his approval rating is inevitable. He cobbled together just 46% of Americans promising everyone everything, telling everyone what they wanted to hear. In some sense his first 6 months have been buoyed by a relative good economy and few outside problems (compare to the first 6 months of the Obama administration which took place in a deep recession). His deep unpopularity and people jumping off the train shouldn't be surprising and there's still a floor way below his current standing if things go bad or if there's a Katrina type even that really highlights his incompetence.

The problem as I see it is that you have to continue to be skeptical these people won't hop right back on if there's a terrorist attack, or if Trump gets back into campaign mode of endless fantastical promises of goodies for everyone along with tawdry insults. Most of his Presidency, he's just been whiny beta Trump on Twitter or talking to Fox about how unfair the world is to him, but once he has some Democratic punching bags I suspect he'll rebuild a lot of the wayward idiots who are titillated with insults like Pocahontas or Sloppy Joe Biden or whatever.

OTOH, given that live-action Ghost in the Shell is a thing, maybe Trump really did make anime real.

Letting our biggest foreign enemy choose our leaders is pretty bad too, though not everyone agrees.

Pence getting little more than polite applause from Retail Federation when saying Obamacare must go. Not enthusiastic at all.

The movie wasn't all that bad.

Thought it was going to be like the Dragon Ball live action abomination.

It is kind of amazing the entire GOP opposition plan against Warren is just to call her Pocahontas.

I've said this before, but it's telling how post-policy our politics have become that this is all they've got. Warren is allegedly a far-left crazy person who's been in office for a while. Surely they have examples of how her consumer protection agency killed jobs or how she did the Marxism on the US? All they've got are these stale fake Indian jokes. Seems like there's no downside to her staking out far-left positions, bc the Rs are never attacking her on policy.

It was really noticeable too.

You are knocking down a straw man. I wasn't commenting on pre-industrial capitalists vs. modern capitalists. And I wasn't commenting on capitalist intellectual thought of any era or how that thought applied to the laboring class. I was responding to the following quote from einbert:

And that contention still strikes me as ridiculous.

This is surprising, National Retail Federation has been against it since the beginning.

I still don't believe anyone's really jumped off the trump train. It's the same as prior to the election; they're faking it so people won't get mad at them.

At the least, it appears there's more people jumping off the democrat train.

Looks like correct strategy to me. They get people way better than 2p2 does.

Then why does his approval rating keep dropping? Why would they fake it to the pollsters, and more importantly, why would the rate of faking it increase over time?

Disapproving of Trump does not make them Clinton voters. They aren't really off the train until they are aboard another one.

Also he's lost some support from his voters but I saw the other night a report saying that he's got 88% approval with the people who voted for him. They figure that's all they need to win again in 2020 so they just keep doing what they do knowing his idiot voters won't abandon him.

time.com/4861843/chris-christie-donald-trump-jr-russia-meeting/


Is there a chart laying out the palace political cliques?

True but it is unlikely that he will be running against Clinton in 2020. And the number that need to vote for a third party or not bother at all in order for him to lose is not very high.

He needs basically 100% of his voters to win. Almost any net movement towards the Democrat side and he loses.

If this is happening, they're not faking. They're just hanging up on the pollster.

I got a Maritz survey in the mail yesterday, pretty sure that's the first time I've ever been polled in my life

This reminds me of a conversation I had with my brother yesterday. He lives in a deep red area of the country. I asked him what percentage of Trump voters in his area he would describe as ardent racists. He said 20%. (I have no interest in debating the percentage, as it depends largely on how one defines "ardent". Just assume that we are talking about the 20% who are the most racist.)

I asked him how many of the people in that 20% would have voted for Ben Carson if he had been the nominee against HRC. His response: "Almost all of them. That crowd dislikes HRC, and the idea of supporting a party that they associate with welfare cheats and BLM, even more than they dislike the idea of a black guy like Ben Carson being president."