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The Presidency of Donald J. Trump: No smocking guns. The Presidency of Donald J. Trump: No smocking guns.

07-03-2017 , 04:33 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by microbet
Very true and your point about Soros doing a lot of good as well. But, in the big picture the US has moved to the right for the last 40 years as much because the Dems have had the interests of Wall Street dictating left side of the Overton Window as because the Republicans have had Anarcho-Totalitarians dictating the right side of the window.
Wtf is the Overton Window?
07-03-2017 , 04:39 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by cuserounder
That depends on how you set up Medicare for All and how much you tax the 1%.
Not really....he wants to give 99% of the top 1% a big tax break and massively increase government spending on healthcare. You can reject it outright without knowing anything else.
07-03-2017 , 04:40 PM
trump is meeting with putin this weekend in Hamburg.
07-03-2017 , 04:40 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nicholasp27
Trump has horrible approval ratings and his own supporters say his tweets are one of his largest weaknesses

Keep covering the tweets; they are driving down his popularity
Quote:
Originally Posted by Noodle Wazlib
if there's one thing 2016 could teach us, it's that people hate hearing about politicians. The more people hear about trump, the less popular he is.
Gallup: TRUMP Approval Ratings Leading Up To 2016 Election

Looks like approval ratings for TRUMP were actually worse than they are now leading up to the election. Certainly no better than today and he won. Yes HRCs were nothing to be proud of. TRUMP never has had high approval ratings.

Maybe Bernie should have been the candidate instead of HRC to give the Dems their best shot. The lesson for the Dems should be obvious I would think.
07-03-2017 , 04:41 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dominic
Wtf is the Overton Window?
The range of "acceptable" opinions/ policy considerations. If someone says "that wouldn't work here", "that's a political non starter", etc. it's outside the window.
07-03-2017 , 04:43 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dominic
Wtf is the Overton Window?
Succinctlly and effectively where the center is politically in a given time period. Microbet is asserting the center has shifted to the right compared to say 25 years ago. Almost certainly that is wrong Certainly it is wrong over the last 100 years.
07-03-2017 , 04:43 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by adios
Maybe Bernie should have been the candidate instead of HRC
Sadly, getting the most votes only matters in primaries
07-03-2017 , 04:48 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by adios
Succinctlly and effectively where the center is politically in a given time period. Microbet is asserting the center has shifted to the right compared to say 25 years ago. Almost certainly that is wrong Certainly it is wrong over the last 100 years.
I think it depends on the issue. Social stuff like gay marriage has certainly shifted left. Economic and military issues have shifted right.
07-03-2017 , 04:55 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by campfirewest
I think it depends on the issue. Social stuff like gay marriage has certainly shifted left. Economic and military issues have shifted right.
This is what I was going to say. It obviously depends on the issue, and depending on the issue, it may also depend on whether you cherry pick the endpoints to prove your point.

The midpoint on issues like immigration tends to swing back and forth. The midpoint on issues like tolerance for police violence tends to move only in one direction, even if the movement is imperceptibly slow at times.
07-03-2017 , 04:59 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by campfirewest
I think it depends on the issue. Social stuff like gay marriage has certainly shifted left. Economic and military issues have shifted right.
Not true at all for economic issues. Like 80+% of the country prefers Obamacare redistribution to Bush era healthcare status quo. I would bet against the republicans being able to pass W style tax cuts, granted that may be more related to competence than a leftward policy shift.

Last edited by ecriture d'adulte; 07-03-2017 at 05:08 PM.
07-03-2017 , 05:04 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by adios
Succinctlly and effectively where the center is politically in a given time period. Microbet is asserting the center has shifted to the right compared to say 25 years ago. Almost certainly that is wrong Certainly it is wrong over the last 100 years.
Quote:
Originally Posted by campfirewest
I think it depends on the issue. Social stuff like gay marriage has certainly shifted left. Economic and military issues have shifted right.
I know I'm turning into the resident Maoist or something but the meta political evolution of the last 30-50 years probably isn't best understood on the left-right scale. It's ultimately been a huge victory for capitalism here and globally, which has both buoyed the interests of market orthodox types AND the undermined traditional social order. Both the left and right have things to celebrate and lament; it's been mostly a 50 year stretch of run-good for capitalism.

Consider the unwinding of the Soviet Union, the migration of China from communism to state-sponsored capitalism, the opening of China and India to foreign investment, and the evolution of politics in the west: in cases were popular perception are that things moved "left" on social issues like political civil rights for racial minorities and things like the gay rights movement, or feminism -- all of those were in service to opening up markets and freeing untapped fountains of consumers and/or labor. Most of the move 'left' globally has ultimately been in service to producers, owners of wealth/capital, and management classes. I praise those outcomes on the whole where more statutory rights have been afforded to gays, or women are participating more in the economy. But we should recognize the reality for what it is. I thought OAFK had a great post recently on the forum in the last two days that much of the social libertarianism was essentially prodded along by marketers and advertisers, and whatever organic energy behind those movements quickly co-opted.
07-03-2017 , 05:06 PM
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Originally Posted by David Sklansky
100% agree.
shots fired!
07-03-2017 , 05:10 PM
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Originally Posted by DVaut1
I know I'm turning into the resident Maoist or something but the meta political evolution of the last 30-50 years probably isn't best understood on the left-right scale. It's ultimately been a huge victory for capitalism here and globally, which has both buoyed the interests of market orthodox types AND the undermined traditional social order.

Consider the unwinding of the Soviet Union, the migration of China from communism to state-sponsored capitalism, the opening of China and India to foreign investment, and the evolution of politics in the west: in cases were popular perception are that things moved "left" on social issues like political civil rights for racial minorities and things like the gay rights movement, or feminism -- all of those were in service to opening up markets and freeing untapped fountains of consumers and/or labor. Most of the move 'left' globally has ultimately been in service to producers, owners of wealth/capital, and management classes. I praise those outcomes on the whole, but we could recognize the reality for what it is. I thought OAFK had a great post recently on the forum in the last two days that much of the social libertarianism was essentially prodded along by marketers and advertisers, and whatever organic energy behind those movements quickly co-opted.
I think generally speaking the standard of living in China and India has risen over the last 25 years with globalization. Not sure about African nations. Admittedly I'm not up on Asian politics but I'm going to guess that from a human rights standpoint, things have gotten a lot better. Definitely could be wrong.
07-03-2017 , 05:13 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DVaut1
But the bolded is not really my point and Chuck Schumer's role as an important Democratic leader pre-dates 2016. Obviously *now* he's practically hamstrung.

My point hearkening back in history to Lincoln and LBJ is politicians politicians actually, for quite a long time, saw patronage and networking and leveraging their connections to elites as a mechanism to build the practical support to eventually deliver things back to their voters. Perhaps it's an overly romantic view, it surely didn't always play out in practice, but the point is that networking and socializing wasn't inherently parasitical. It was a symbiotic feedback loop -- politicians deeply feared being seen as ineffective, and so politicians gave concessions to the wealthy but then guys like LBJ leveraged their networks and connections to elites to hammer their opponents with it. LBJ built a political machine for a lot of reasons, surely self aggrandizement and ambition but the context and environment meant that he felt democratic support rested on delivering for his constituents and the people who voted for him. He build a political machine that included a lot of big business elites and admittedly corrupt and cutthroat realpolitik type deals but often to an eye toward advancing Democratic goals. Whether he did it out of the goodness of his heart (as I said, he seems to have been a genuine believer in the Social Gospel and had in him a certain sincere populism common among people who came of age during the Depression) or did it because of blind ambition -- who cares? He achieved a lot of good things! ldo he was responsible for many bad things too but you catch my drift. The point is Democrats shouldn't be *overly* concerned with the networking and fraternizing nor anyone's moral character above a certain baseline but instead simply stubbornly insist on having our agenda met.

Getting back to the contemporary era, then: it's really hard to draw a straight line between Democrats networking and partying with elites and any sort of political machinery that should be accompanying that. Well, frankly, the evidence is sort of the opposite, that Democrats leadership almost reflexively pivots to the center and grasps for bipartisanship, and seems to have almost disdain for its base -- it seems part and parcel of a political machinery meant to diminish the political power of its base. The variable that changed isn't "politicians are socializing and networking with elites," that's been true forever. It's that Democrats jumped ship to do the bidding of the elites.

So as I said, my problem isn't with Schumer rubbing shoulders with the rich and the greedy, it's that Schumer hasn't leveraged that those connections into any practical political things that I want to achieve.
This is a bit of fundamental attribution error though. LBJ had control of both houses of congress throughout his presidency, and usually with filibuster-proof majorities. Neither Clinton nor Obama had that kind of luxury, but both of them pushed progressive healthcare legislation while they had legislative majorities (and may have lost them because of it). I do think you are correct that Democrats need more of a bare-knuckled approach to politics, but it's not realistic to assume they can achieve miracles through it. Mostly where they need to show some spine is by retaliating against the GOP over norm-breaking rather than "going high" or some bull****. And not by snubbing their parties.
07-03-2017 , 05:20 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by bobman0330
This is a bit of fundamental attribution error though. LBJ had control of both houses of congress throughout his presidency, and usually with filibuster-proof majorities. Neither Clinton nor Obama had that kind of luxury, but both of them pushed progressive healthcare legislation while they had legislative majorities (and may have lost them because of it). I do think you are correct that Democrats need more of a bare-knuckled approach to politics, but it's not realistic to assume they can achieve miracles through it. Mostly where they need to show some spine is by retaliating against the GOP over norm-breaking rather than "going high" or some bull****. And not by snubbing their parties.
Sure, fine. I simply want to reiterate I would totally be fine with Schumer or any Democrat sharing the same air and eating off of the same hors d'oeuvre tray as a Koch or a Kushner if they weren't inept. But they are inept. But then it's their ineffectiveness strikes me as far more important to solve rather than who they socialize with. I grant the optics are bad, but it's sort of like saying the Grizzlies biggest problem is how much they overpaid for Chandler Parsons last year giving him a max contract, the optics of splashing around in free agency last year really hurt them trying to recruit other big FA and get them to come to Memphis for lesser deals now.

Well, that's one way to look at the problem. The other more critical problem is probably that Chandler Parsons sucks at basketball and Memphis has to pay him.
07-03-2017 , 05:24 PM
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Originally Posted by FlyWf
LBJ was in the majority, cutting deals to get **** done is entirely different than Schumer's role as figurehead of the #resistance.
Grunching here, but this is an important point, imo. I'd be willing to bet Mitch McConnell wasnt ever caught dead rubbing elbows with Soros or Cecil Richards while they were in the minority.
07-03-2017 , 05:40 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by will1530
shots fired!
I think many Democrats may secretly want the repeal Obamacare to pass as a separate bill because that allows them to vote yes on a compromise with moderate Republicans since they can, in the case of a previous repeal, deny that that voted to repeal Obamacare because it was already done.
07-03-2017 , 05:41 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DVaut1
Sure, fine. I simply want to reiterate I would totally be fine with Schumer or any Democrat sharing the same air and eating off of the same hors d'oeuvre tray as a Koch or a Kushner if they weren't inept. But they are inept. But then it's their ineffectiveness strikes me as far more important to solve rather than who they socialize with. I grant the optics are bad, but it's sort of like saying the Grizzlies biggest problem is how much they overpaid for Chandler Parsons last year giving him a max contract, the optics of splashing around in free agency last year really hurt them trying to recruit other big FA and get them to come to Memphis for lesser deals now.

Well, that's one way to look at the problem. The other more critical problem is probably that Chandler Parsons sucks at basketball and Memphis has to pay him.
Gotta ask, who is a better alternative as Minority Leader than Schumer?

Democrat Senators

Dick Durbin, Feinstein, Warner?

Last edited by adios; 07-03-2017 at 05:47 PM.
07-03-2017 , 05:45 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Money2Burn
Grunching here, but this is an important point, imo. I'd be willing to bet Mitch McConnell wasnt ever caught dead rubbing elbows with Soros or Cecil Richards while they were in the minority.
I don't know about McConnell specifically (although I seem to recall that he is quite friendly with Biden), but there are numerous historical examples of actual, across-the-aisle friendships that extended well beyond "rubbing elbows" at some big party.
07-03-2017 , 05:45 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rococo
I pretty much agree with DVaut. I can't count the number of people who cited HRC's supposed character flaws or lack of ideological purity as a reason to justify their lack of support for her. And as I told them repeatedly, even if I conceded that HRC was no better a person than Donald Trump (a point that I of course would never actually concede), the fact remained that HRC was sure to promote policies that were much more to my liking than Trump.
Sure, though I think it's important not to confuse what liberals "should" do and what they actually "will" do.

Nominating Hillary is a pretty good example of this. Yeah, people obviously should have voted for her over Trump. But many didn't precisely because of the flaws you cited.

I don't think you're going to convince vast swaths of liberals to stop caring about character. What you have more control over is nominating people who are more likely to win elections.
07-03-2017 , 05:47 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by will1530
shots fired!
Democrats shouldn't be friendly with Republicans if they think that they are trying to murder poor people. And Republicans shouldn't be friends with Democrats if they think they are allowing unborn babies to be murdered.

But they can be friendly if they don't really think those things of the other side but are just saying it for their own benefit.
07-03-2017 , 05:51 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by David Sklansky
I think many Democrats may secretly want the repeal Obamacare to pass as a separate bill because that allows them to vote yes on a compromise with moderate Republicans since they can, in the case of a previous repeal, deny that that voted to repeal Obamacare because it was already done.
That's not a secret at all. Of course the replacement bill will be better for dems if you lose the hard right and fill in the holes with centrists democrats. Thats what they would do if Obamacare was actually in trouble on its own.
07-03-2017 , 05:56 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by David Sklansky
I think many Democrats may secretly want the repeal Obamacare to pass as a separate bill because that allows them to vote yes on a compromise with moderate Republicans since they can, in the case of a previous repeal, deny that that voted to repeal Obamacare because it was already done.
Not enough Republicans will sign on unless the replacement is cruel
If it's cruel then Democrats are incentivized to hold out so GOP gets all the blame
07-03-2017 , 06:03 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by th14
Not enough Republicans will sign on unless the replacement is cruel
If it's cruel then Democrats are incentivized to hold out so GOP gets all the blame
This is silly.

Republicans don't want to be cruel. It's simply and unavoidable byproduct of their primary policy goal which is eliminating taxes on the rich. They are then forced to be cruel to other sectors.
07-03-2017 , 07:00 PM
A guide to defending democracy,


https://qz.com/846940/a-yale-history...mp-presidency/

      
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