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The Presidency of Donald J. Trump: No smocking guns. The Presidency of Donald J. Trump: No smocking guns.

07-03-2017 , 12:58 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DVaut1
Well that's sort of the point. Let's be the wind. I remain ever confident in the actual, genuine numerical supremacy of our positions and the widespread popular support of what we want versus what the right-wing wants in many areas.

I take serious the notion that Chuck Schumer backslapping with the Kochs and Invaka may very well be an impediment to generating a popular movement to leverage our built-in advantages. If that's so then primary him.

I suppose my only point is that there exists an alternate, hypothetical universe with some slightly different players performing basically the same roles doing the exact same things -- Democrats socializing with the rich and the elites --- and we'd all be fine with it if our leaders actually delivered meaningful, durable political changes we seek. We get the worst of both worlds: Democratic leadership that seems far too cozy with the mega wealthy and precious little to show for whatever this networking is supposed to buy us. I'm far more upset by the 'precious little to show' part than the cozy relationships.
Well, I agree. In hindsight it's easy to say LBJ did a lot of great stuff. I'm glad he was POTUS even though he was a total ******* (maybe I'm not glad after thinking about Vietnam). If I have the choice up front though I'll vote for who I think is a good person who I generally agree with. And also policy is more important. Kasich may be a great guy and not corrupt (or maybe he is, I don't know), but I 'm still not voting for him over Clinton or Schumer. But, character still counts for something.

In the event there's someone who has already done a lot of great stuff, but shows some fault, then no I don't want to join the crowd with pitchforks. Is Schumer that guy? I don't really follow closely enough to say off hand.
07-03-2017 , 12:59 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by eyebooger
All of this is assuming that the Democrats hold ALL of their own seats that are up. They have 10 races to defend in states that Trump won.
This is encouraging on that front.

07-03-2017 , 01:00 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Clovis8
The idea of not using his name or calling them unnamed sources is silly.

My point is the reason we discuss something is if it has content. Trump's tweets contain no policy content at all. They are not treated as direction from anyone in the world including his own party or staff. They are the definition of meaningless.

They serve only three purposes, two of which are stupid and one which is a cancer to democracy.

They serve to rile his base and show how tough he is.
They serve to fuel indignation in his opponents.
The truely cancerous one is the way they distract from the serious issues at hand.

Some argue they are from the president so we must pay attention but they are making a logical failure in applying the standard rules of the presidency to Trump.

I can think of only one example where his tweets played ANY role in the world; when they hurt him on his travel ban case.

Otherwise, they are totally and completely content free, mean nothing, have no force and effect and serve only to district people from serious issues.

What is value in posting his every piggish tweet? Is it new information that he is a disgusting awful human?
I get where you are coming from but any plan which requires a fundamental change to human nature is not a plan.
07-03-2017 , 01:03 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by FlyWf
LBJ was in the majority, cutting deals to get **** done is entirely different than Schumer's role as figurehead of the #resistance.
Sure, and that's fair, but it's also sort of the point. We would stomach, maybe even welcome Schumer sharing the same air as the Kochs and Ivanka if we got **** done -- if Democrats actually got anything out of it. Not worth dwelling on LBJ too much but he actually used his connections to big oil money and made unsavory deals to deliver stuff for Democrats. Back then voters had a quaint notion their public servants were meant to do stuff they wanted, and politicians took the threat and the incentive seriously. LBJ was probably ruthless and franly a little bit corrupt partly because of his personality but definitely because he was ambitious and wanted to succeed, and he bent the rules to deliver things to his voters. He networked with big money people because he saw it as a form of self-preservation but then saw part of the obligation of his role to deliver.

We don't seem to get any of that, but Schumer appears to be having fun. That's the infuriating thing: we're not getting things we want.
07-03-2017 , 01:12 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DVaut1
Sure, and that's fair, but it's also sort of the point. We would stomach, maybe even welcome Schumer sharing the same air as the Kochs and Ivanka if we got **** done -- if Democrats actually got anything out of it. Not worth dwelling on LBJ too much but he actually used his connections to big oil money and made unsavory deals to deliver stuff for Democrats. Back then voters had a quaint notion their public servants were meant to do stuff they wanted, and politicians took the threat and the incentive seriously. LBJ was probably ruthless and franly a little bit corrupt partly because of his personality but definitely because he was ambitious and wanted to succeed, and he bent the rules to deliver things to his voters. He networked with big money people because he saw it as a form of self-preservation but then saw part of the obligation of his role to deliver.

We don't seem to get any of that, but Schumer appears to be having fun. That's the infuriating thing: we're not getting things we want.
This is beyond an obvious point, but the reason Schumer can't get anything done isn't just that he lacks some sort of killer instinct, it's because the electorate gave him a GOP controlled Congress and White House to work with. There's a vicious cycle lurking in the background if you refuse to vote for Democratic politician's because They're All The Same and then you conclude that They're All The Same because they can't enact Democratic policies when the GOP controls everything.
07-03-2017 , 01:14 PM
It seems that Chuck Schumer is the winee and dinee in this situation. Kochs are in the LBJ position, even down to them both being oil money.
07-03-2017 , 01:16 PM
The Kochs were also guests, the host was a Washington Post editor. Democracy dies in darkness, indeed.
07-03-2017 , 01:23 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by bobman0330
This is beyond an obvious point, but the reason Schumer can't get anything done isn't just that he lacks some sort of killer instinct, it's because the electorate gave him a GOP controlled Congress and White House to work with. There's a vicious cycle lurking in the background if you refuse to vote for Democratic politician's because They're All The Same and then you conclude that They're All The Same because they can't enact Democratic policies when the GOP controls everything.
But the bolded is not really my point and Chuck Schumer's role as an important Democratic leader pre-dates 2016. Obviously *now* he's practically hamstrung.

My point hearkening back in history to Lincoln and LBJ is politicians politicians actually, for quite a long time, saw patronage and networking and leveraging their connections to elites as a mechanism to build the practical support to eventually deliver things back to their voters. Perhaps it's an overly romantic view, it surely didn't always play out in practice, but the point is that networking and socializing wasn't inherently parasitical. It was a symbiotic feedback loop -- politicians deeply feared being seen as ineffective, and so politicians gave concessions to the wealthy but then guys like LBJ leveraged their networks and connections to elites to hammer their opponents with it. LBJ built a political machine for a lot of reasons, surely self aggrandizement and ambition but the context and environment meant that he felt democratic support rested on delivering for his constituents and the people who voted for him. He build a political machine that included a lot of big business elites and admittedly corrupt and cutthroat realpolitik type deals but often to an eye toward advancing Democratic goals. Whether he did it out of the goodness of his heart (as I said, he seems to have been a genuine believer in the Social Gospel and had in him a certain sincere populism common among people who came of age during the Depression) or did it because of blind ambition -- who cares? He achieved a lot of good things! ldo he was responsible for many bad things too but you catch my drift. The point is Democrats shouldn't be *overly* concerned with the networking and fraternizing nor anyone's moral character above a certain baseline but instead simply stubbornly insist on having our agenda met.

Getting back to the contemporary era, then: it's really hard to draw a straight line between Democrats networking and partying with elites and any sort of political machinery that should be accompanying that. Well, frankly, the evidence is sort of the opposite, that Democrats leadership almost reflexively pivots to the center and grasps for bipartisanship, and seems to have almost disdain for its base -- it seems part and parcel of a political machinery meant to diminish the political power of its base. The variable that changed isn't "politicians are socializing and networking with elites," that's been true forever. It's that Democrats jumped ship to do the bidding of the elites.

So as I said, my problem isn't with Schumer rubbing shoulders with the rich and the greedy, it's that Schumer hasn't leveraged that those connections into any practical political things that I want to achieve.

Last edited by DVaut1; 07-03-2017 at 01:33 PM.
07-03-2017 , 01:31 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Our House
Now we need someone to make a meme of Trump on his knees blowing Putin's body with a Russia head on it.
That would be hilarious.

Quote:
Originally Posted by poconoder
Президент превращает средства массовой информации в развлекательные СМИ. Все говорят о вражде и личности. Сокращение средств массовой информации, как это хороший план собирается в 2018 году.
Quote:
Originally Posted by poconoder
Мы больше не находимся в чернилах общества баррелей.
Quote:
Originally Posted by poconoder
Не переусердствуйте. Он просто говорит, что я не могу гарантировать, что у вас будет работа, поэтому сделайте резервные планы.
no

Quote:
Originally Posted by Our House
poconoder gets the facetious reply and you get the serious one.

Does anybody else feel like the Dems have no shot to take the Senate OR the House in future elections, even if they perform flawlessly? It definitely seems as if the GOP is stacking the deck, dealing themselves the nuts, and controlling the betting for 2018.

As long as Trump keeps helping Russia attack us and as long as he's doing things like having individual states upload our valuable voter data to unsecured, 3rd party websites ripe for hackers, we're in for more than just an uphill battle.

As sad as it sounds, I think all eggs are in the Mueller basket.
The GOP is definitely trying to do this but I don't think their success is guaranteed.
07-03-2017 , 01:37 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by microbet
I think I've completely refrained from saying it (until now), but at least sometimes I think it would be better for everyone if the business wing of the Democrats just became Republicans. I assume they bring their anti-racism/sexism along with them. The working class Republicans get alienated and hopefully move back to the Democratic party. Racism/sexism diffuses and fades as common interests are clarified.

need a third party

1st party is right wing extremists
2nd party is the group above you describe
3rd party is progressives
07-03-2017 , 01:42 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DVaut1
Hard to say. Let's try a thought exercise. Who was the more successful President?

- Lyndon Johnson, known very conspicuously for being tied to big Texas oil money and being deep into Texan graft and localized corruption schemes. In many ways, he was a total pariah on the political body. On the other hand, was seen as ruthless and cutthroat and quietly instrumental bullying Congress into passing monumental legislation like the Civil Rights Act and the Voting Rights Act, nominated the first black Supreme Court Justice, etc.

- Squeaky clean Barack Obama

It's probably Obama because Vietnam was a ****ing travesty for reasons partly due to Johnson's personal failings
Going to have a stupid internet disagreement and say it's LBJ and AINEC

Vietnam was awful. Obama's failing in Syria and failure to handle the Russian interference in any remotely decent way (combined with the Ukraine ****) will I think have the potential to be just as awful. Too early to tell for now, but we will see.

Still, the Civil Rights Act/VRA are so monumentally important (much more so than the ACA) that I think even considering Vietnam LBJ was more successful. Can you imagine trying to do anything on that grand of a scale today? Impossible.
07-03-2017 , 01:48 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rococo
There is no way that you think Democrats and Republicans are "the same," and there is a huge difference between being at the same large party as someone, and being so close to them that you don't feel comfortable criticizing them.

I have been to plenty of social events where people I actively disliked were also in attendance. I doubt that I am unique in that respect.
This, and I also agree with everything DVaut1 has said on the topic.
07-03-2017 , 01:55 PM
chart from WaPo, re: Kennedy retiring, pretty interesting



The Marshall to Thomas jump makes me want to vomit. ****ing travesty.
07-03-2017 , 02:00 PM
It's a different version of Barry's 600k Wall Street speech. Just a really bad ****ing look.
07-03-2017 , 02:25 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by champstark
Going to have a stupid internet disagreement and say it's LBJ and AINEC

Vietnam was awful. Obama's failing in Syria and failure to handle the Russian interference in any remotely decent way (combined with the Ukraine ****) will I think have the potential to be just as awful. Too early to tell for now, but we will see.

Still, the Civil Rights Act/VRA are so monumentally important (much more so than the ACA) that I think even considering Vietnam LBJ was more successful. Can you imagine trying to do anything on that grand of a scale today? Impossible.
Right. And to my point mostly borrowed from Robert Caro's 3 volume biography: Johnson was largely corrupt, a very unscrupulous political dealer, and totally and completely in bed with big oil. He became Master of the Senate with antics like almost putting the Federal Power Commission (the precursor to FERC) in front of a HUAC committee because he tried to regulate the gas industry. In short, he wasn't a nice guy.

But once he had a goal like getting the CRA/VRA passed, he set those same skills and his big political network to work on achieving it. And we can all look back and compare to Bill Clinton or Barack Obama and see how durable and critical that work was. Who was the better President after all? A morally repugnant big oil sycophant, or the incorruptible Harvard educated University of Chicago law school professor?

In the end, *both* spent plenty of time rubbing shoulders with and fellating elites. That's politics, it's how it goes sometimes. Good governing means building a coalition and sometimes having unflattering allies, even rich bozos. The critical distinction seems to be that LBJ saw it as part of his job to build a coalition of interests to dismantle and disarm his political opposition. The other side, like Barack Obama and modern Democrats, pay lip service to common-sense wisdom about the dangers of getting in bed with elites but quietly ran a party that does little meaningfully to stop it. And seems entirely servile to elite interests, rather than extracting any form of compromise. That's the thing that should upset us; not merely that they fraternize.

Unsurprisingly or not, the shameless ambitious self-dealer stood over some of the largest progressive legislative victories of the century. The other, largely considered quite virtuous, left behind a political system Donald Trump was able to inherit.

I'm not asking anyone to fully abandon their principles and surely both legacies have much more to examine. But what I'm asking is that we instead see politicians for what they are: stop trying to imbue them with our moral goals and virtues, and instead simply insistent they are effective achieving the things we want.

Th perception his voters were mercilessly self-interested is what led LBJ to be driven to maniacal tendencies to destroy his political opponents and see his will done -- he feared and respected the people that voted for him, and he thought he needed them to be powerful. *We* need to be the kind of people Chuck Schumer fears and respects. Sharing the same social space as pampered rich elites doesn't necessarily mean our goals are co-opted. They might be, but that fact alone isn't dispositive. It's easier to see Chuck Schumer as ineffectual because Democrats are going to struggle to achieve majority in the Senate in 2018; that 2010-2016 saw general erosion of our power there. That even when we had total control over power from 2008-2010, we weren't able to do much. That is the galling thing about Schumer, not how he spends his weekends.

I appreciate Barack Obama, don't get me wrong, but we should think critically about this. At the very least what a lot of the lip service and optics about not getting in bed with elites got us, truthfully. The idea isn't to do the opposite and build a coalition with finance and the extraction industry but simply to say Democrats can be entirely too focused on optics and virtues to the exclusion of a focus on practical matters.

I've been an Obama critic for taking health care industry money in the wake of his Presidency and I stand by that. These elite parties have much the same air. But by the same token, the problem here remains as much about practicalities as optics: Democrats are failing to beat back regressive right-wing control, and so charitable interpretations of Democratic behavior ring hollow anyway. Even if Chuck Schumer is just playing the game, he's losing anyway. At least when LBJ dealt with Texas oil money millionaires, he accumulated political power he used to push through the CRA and VRA and other Great Society programs. Chuck Schumer backslaps elites and does what with his influence, exactly?

Last edited by DVaut1; 07-03-2017 at 02:37 PM.
07-03-2017 , 03:11 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by FlyWf
You cannot meaningfully criticize people for wanting to kill the poor and being a pawn of Putin if you're also hanging out with them on the weekends.

It's that sort of **** that makes people think "ah **** it, they are all the same".

Which is, you know, true.
100% agree.
07-03-2017 , 03:11 PM
Trump has horrible approval ratings and his own supporters say his tweets are one of his largest weaknesses

Keep covering the tweets; they are driving down his popularity
07-03-2017 , 03:12 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by FlyWf
It ties in a little with the utterly insane way the media melted down over the wrestling .gif.

Advocating violence against protestors, against Muslims, against black people in general... that's all fine. That's Presidential.

But advocating violence against ME??!?!?!?! My God.

It's like, have some ****ing principles beyond pure shortsighted self-interest. I know that party was probably fun. It would've been cool to be invited. But you gotta say no. That's the ****ing test of whether your principles are sincere or whether they are just posturing.
100% agree.
07-03-2017 , 03:16 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nicholasp27
Trump has horrible approval ratings and his own supporters say his tweets are one of his largest weaknesses

Keep covering the tweets; they are driving down his popularity
if there's one thing 2016 could teach us, it's that people hate hearing about politicians. The more people hear about trump, the less popular he is.
07-03-2017 , 03:19 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Our House
It's a wonder that Trump is still alive. Anyone else surprised?
Disappointed would be a better way of putting it.
07-03-2017 , 03:32 PM
Ruth Bader Ginsberg apparently was quite friendly with Antonin Scalia. By all accounts, they had a much closer relationship than whatever relationship Schumer has with Ivanka and Jared or the Koch brothers. Do posters on this board believe that she compromised her ability to disagree with Scalia by socializing with him?

I assume not.
07-03-2017 , 03:48 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nicholasp27
Trump has horrible approval ratings and his own supporters say his tweets are one of his largest weaknesses

Keep covering the tweets; they are driving down his popularity
I don't remember if I posted these here, but I saw some of his global approval numbers the other day lol.

22% Worldwide average
39% US
53% Russia

Just another Russian coincidence concocted by the liberals to make Trump look bad I'm sure.
07-03-2017 , 03:53 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Noodle Wazlib
if there's one thing 2016 could teach us, it's that people hate hearing about politicians. The more people hear about trump, the less popular he is.
**** YOU 2016!
07-03-2017 , 04:12 PM
A long read about the Democratic candidates from the 1960s to the 1980s. The thread running through it is that what drove the white working class away from Democrats was its turn towards cultural liberalism with the embrace of civil rights. Candidates, like Jimmy Carter or Bill Clinton, would win the white working class when they played down cultural liberalism regardless if they pushed economic populism or not. The exemplar of the failure of full throated liberalism economic and cultural being Jesse Jackson who failed to win over the white working class in spite of them being a keystone in his political rhetoric via economic populism and instead winning upper class whites.

https://agenda-blog.com/2017/07/03/p...working-class/

Last edited by Huehuecoyotl; 07-03-2017 at 04:21 PM.
07-03-2017 , 04:32 PM
Haha nice! Go get 'em Meathead!

https://twitter.com/robreiner/status/881746971718856704

      
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