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The Presidency of Donald J. Trump: No smocking guns. The Presidency of Donald J. Trump: No smocking guns.

06-01-2017 , 09:52 AM
The votes of the collection of people whose children were actually murdered by undocumented aliens is not swinging any election. The people who have an irrational fear of it? I guess so.
06-01-2017 , 09:56 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by simplicitus
I'd venture that perhaps most regulations are favorable to long-term corporate profits.
Correct, but you have to think beyond the career span of an average CEO.
06-01-2017 , 10:02 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Clovis8
Let me ask you. Do oil companies do any positive lobbying?
Dunno. I could imagine large companies lobbying for environmental regulations with which they could afford to comply, but smaller competitors couldn't or perhaps to disadvantage foreign competition. There's also the greenwashing/PR that has been mentioned. They could lobby for some foreign policy that would be good, like opening relations with the Democratic Confederation of Northern Syria because it would be in their interest.

I just expect them to lobby for things which are in their fiduciary interest. Mostly that means more extraction, refining, and sales of fossil fuels.
06-01-2017 , 10:05 AM
Quote:
Liberals used to accuse conservative climate science skeptics of merely shilling for the fossil-fuel industry. Certainly the owners of dirty energy reserves have invested in conservative politics with the aim of protecting their assets, and those investments have borne some fruit. (Trump’s EPA director has in the past literally outsourced his job to oil firms.) But there is far more at work in conservative opposition to decarbonization than the hidden hand of oil and coal; indeed, many fossil-fuel companies prefer the predictability of the Paris agreement to policy that jerks back and forth every time the presidency changes hands between the parties.

The dominant spirit of conservative thought — or, more precisely, verbal gestures that seek to resemble thought — is not even skepticism but a trolling impulse. The aim is not so much to reason toward a policy conservatives would favor as to pierce the liberal claim to the moral high ground.
Quote:
I’m highlighting Weinstein’s column not because it’s especially dumb, or especially smart, by the standards of a conservative climate-change polemic. I am highlighting it because it’s close at hand (having run yesterday) and captures the predominant (though not, of course, universal) style of argument on the subject. It contains a defiant refusal to take the policy questions seriously, combined with a gleeful reproach of the urgency with which liberals view the issue. A crude tribalistic impulse overrides any reckoning with the problem. The proximate issue in conservative minds is not climate change itself but the fact that liberals are concerned about all these things. Disintegrating ice shelves, extinctions, or droughts are abstractions.

It is similar to the predominant response to liberal terror over the prospect of handing the most powerful office in the world to an impulsive congenital liar with authoritarian tendencies. Conservatives on the whole devoted less attention to pondering the risks Trump might pose to their own country and party than enjoying the liberal tears.

“Everybody who hates Trump wants him to stay in Paris,” argues conservative activist Grover Norquist. “Everybody who respects him, trusts him, voted for him, wishes for him to succeed, wants him to pull out.” Here is an argument that approaches, even if it does not fully reach, complete self-awareness: The Paris climate agreement is bad because it is supported by people who oppose Trump. Therefore, the opposing position is the correct one.

If the liberal global elites have established a policy architecture to minimize the threat of climate change, weakening that policy architecture is its own reward. There is not much more to it than that.
http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer...ady-wrong.html
06-01-2017 , 10:13 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by microbet
Characterize the Clovis side of the debate. Imho he's just strawmanned people as saying everything corporations do and anyone in a corporation it's evil.
I'm saying the pipeline isn't a terrible idea and while regulations are needed, regulations to make sure everyone operates ideally are excessive
06-01-2017 , 10:19 AM
No one said "regulations to make sure everyone operates ideally" but if anything Clovis is closer to that than anyone else. He certainly has made his pro-regulation position clear.
06-01-2017 , 10:20 AM
Talking about regulations in the abstract is ~always stupid and concedes points to conservatives that should not be conceded.
06-01-2017 , 10:21 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MrWookie
Talking about regulations in the abstract is ~always stupid and concedes points to conservatives that should not be conceded.
So this.

Regulation isn't good or bad. There are good and bad regulations.
06-01-2017 , 10:29 AM
Here's a source about Mueller's hire. http://www.esquire.com/news-politics...-russia-trump/

This story will probably be underreported (unless Maddow picks it up.) Anyone remember the New Yorker story about Trump and the FCPA. Well, looks like Mueller will, at a minimum, be able to pin that on him. Apparently Trump's hack lawyer, not Cohen but the better one, is tasked with putting together a competent defense team. Look for them to hire a FCPA specialist early on.

Last edited by simplicitus; 06-01-2017 at 10:54 AM. Reason: I hope they nail Ivanka on FCPA stuff
06-01-2017 , 10:32 AM
Pete Williams of MSNBC just explained why exec privilege claim would be weak. Not impressed with NY Times reporting on subject, which doesn't expose flaws. WaPo seems to be doing a better job lately, deeper analysis.
06-01-2017 , 10:33 AM
Chiat spot on as usual.
06-01-2017 , 10:42 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MrWookie
Talking about regulations in the abstract is ~always stupid and concedes points to conservatives that should not be conceded.
Changing the topic some, but the way the gop/trump talk about regulations is basically incoherent. That there shouldn't be monopolies is a regulation, as is prohibition against willfully mislead consumers, so are the many much more specific versions of the general principles that appear in the CFR (code of federal regulations), and in the even more specific guidelines and procedures agencies use in interpreting and following the CFR.

Economists who study regulation as a subject probably have some operational definitions but at a general level is basically a useless category.
06-01-2017 , 10:42 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by simplicitus
Here's a source about Mueller's hire. http://www.esquire.com/news-politics...-russia-trump/

This story will probably be underreported (unless Maddow picks it up.) Anyone remember the New Yorker story about Trump and the FCPA. Well, looks like Mueller will, at a minimum, be able to pin that on him. Apparently Trump's hack lawyer, not Cohen but the better one, is tasked with putting together a competent defense team. Look for them to hire a FCPA specialist early on.
Quote:
Originally Posted by simplicitus
Pete Williams of MSNBC just explained why exec privilege claim would be weak. Not impressed with NY Times reporting on subject, which doesn't expose flaws. WaPo seems to be doing a better job lately, deeper analysis.
While I'm sure we're all glad that Trump chooses to prefer loyalty as opposed to competence in counsel, I REALLY hope this doesn't regress into arguments over legal loopholes, largely ignoring the overwhelming facts that the FBI and others possess. They can't let someone with Trump's non-existent credibility discredit career official under oath with mountains of evidence after career official under oath with mountains of evidence. They can't.
06-01-2017 , 10:46 AM
There is among other things a crime/fraud exception to AC Privilege, and there probably is something similar to exec privilege. Asserting exec priv would just be a stall tactic, and Comey has forgotten more about the subject than Trump will ever know.

I don't understand the claim about discrediting. 1) if Trump tries to exert exec privilege it would only discredit Trump 2) Exec privilege is not a substantive legal loophole, just a potential tactic, likely to backfire, to delay Comey testimony on certain topics, over which Trump has most likely already waived privilege (another reason the lawyers don't want him tweeting).

Last edited by simplicitus; 06-01-2017 at 10:55 AM.
06-01-2017 , 10:56 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Vagine
All regulations are detrimental to corporate profits fyi.
this sounds like a too strong of a statement imo. its true in alot of cases but i think there has to be a good portion of excetions. (i will also add here that im talking business profits in a vacuum specifically here - overall regulation is a damn good thing that the us needs more of)

on the top of my head, one example is the consumer debt industry having a regulation that demands a official debt registry. this is even favored by the relevant companies in the region where i live. it will help companies avoid giving loans to people that cant really pay for it so they lose less money.

Last edited by aflametotheground; 06-01-2017 at 11:04 AM.
06-01-2017 , 10:58 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by superleeds
Where the **** do you regs find the time to post? I'm just a office lackey who only finds the time to make a snide comment here or there.
You need to master looking busy so you can **** around on 2+2 and no one questions you.
06-01-2017 , 11:02 AM
First rule of 2p2 at work: keep your back to a wall and have a clear line of sight to anyone approaching who could see your monitor. Obviously these power desks are harder to come by when you're the new guy.

Second rule: if caught, don't immediately switch over to excel or something. That's a noob move. Your coworker very likely has no idea what 2p2 is. It's not like Facebook or something. So don't act guilty. But don't let them stare at it all day either. Just casually find some excuse to look at excel, or your text editor, or whatever, then switch over.

3rd rule: if my avatar or similar is on the screen when caught, ignore rule #2 and just switch over immediately. Your co-worker will ask what that is and you'll have to explain 2p2 - which is much worse than just getting caught switching. Once you have to explain 2p2, that coworker is forever tainted. If that coworker is your boss, you're ****ed.

Last edited by suzzer99; 06-01-2017 at 11:12 AM.
06-01-2017 , 11:02 AM
not sure what has been said and not said but i dont think all lobbying is bad (if thats relevant).

you could argue that lobbying gives some groups or companies with money and power access to politicians that we normal people dont have, so its unfair, but i think at least the big industries needs to have somewhat of a dialogue with the gouvernment about what is needed and not needed to do business in a good way going forward.

however its important that this doesnt get out of hand and politicians are bought like in the US. then it becomes quite different.
06-01-2017 , 11:02 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by aflametotheground
this sounds like a too strong of a statement imo. its true in alot of cases but i think there has to be a good portion of excetions.

on the top of my head, one example is the consumer debt industry having a regulation that demands a official debt registry. this is even favored by the relevant companies in the region where i live. it will help companies avoid giving loans to people that cant really pay for it so they lose less money.
You are exactly right.

There are literally thousands of examples of regulation being great for industry. Mine for example exists solely due to regulation.

The other classic example is requirements for registration in professional associations for things like hair dressers or masseuses. These are great for the industry as they create an artificial supply shortage thus increasing the value of the labor.

This is exactly why Wookie's point is so accurate. There are tons of regulations which hurt some industry but just as many which help another.

As stated earlier the world is not black and white. It's complex.
06-01-2017 , 11:08 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by aflametotheground
not sure what has been said and not said but i dont think all lobbying is bad (if thats relevant).

you could argue that lobbying gives some groups or companies with money and power access to politicians that we normal people dont have, so its unfair, but i think at least the big industries needs to have somewhat of a dialogue with the gouvernment about what is needed and not needed to do business in a good way going forward.

however its important that this doesnt get out of hand and politicians are bought like in the US. then it becomes quite different.
One man's "lobbying" is another man's "petitioning the gubmint." You'd never end lobbying even if you wanted to because it's a bedrock Constitutional principle.
06-01-2017 , 11:14 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Namath12
One man's "lobbying" is another man's "petitioning the gubmint." You'd never end lobbying even if you wanted to because it's a bedrock Constitutional principle.
Yeah. At a certain point, lawmakers know **** all about all manner of **** that does need regulating, and it is better to have people who know something as well as the affected parties at the table rather than having lawmakers flying blind. It's not that we shouldn't have oil industry lobbyists. It's more that the other side lacks representation.
06-01-2017 , 11:15 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by otatop
You need to master looking busy so you can **** around on 2+2 and no one questions you.
Quote:
Originally Posted by suzzer99
First rule of 2p2 at work: keep your back to a wall and have a clear line of sight to anyone approaching who could see your monitor. Obviously these power desks are harder to come by when you're the new guy.

Second rule: if caught, don't immediately switch your monitor to excel or something. That's a noob move. Your coworker very likely has no idea what 2p2 is. It's not like Facebook or something. So don't act guilty. But don't let them stare at it all day either. Just casually find some excuse to look at excel, or your text editor, or whatever, then switch over.
The pro move is to be so very good at a job (where no one else fully understands how difficult it is), that you can get an impressive weeks workload finished in a day or two.
06-01-2017 , 11:20 AM
I pray that little Barron does not hear this awful thing

06-01-2017 , 11:23 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by tomdemaine
The pro move is to be so very good at a job (where no one else fully understands how difficult it is), that you can get an impressive weeks workload finished in a day or two.
That's called having an above average IQ in pretty much every office job ever.
06-01-2017 , 11:23 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Namath12
I pray that little Barron does not hear this awful thing

You should know by now that only violence directed at white men from the left is bad. There is nothing wrong with killing brown people or women. They probably deserved it.

      
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